Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 170 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 59.2% as of Jan 30th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 0.7ppt week-on-week, led by consumer discretionary, utilities, industrials and offset by energy, real estate, financials.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Railway, CNOOC, Ningbo Joyson Electronic, YOFC, Tianqi Lithium, Foshan Haitian Flavouring And Food.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 170 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 59.2% as of Jan 30th.
The average A-H premium changed by 0.7ppt week-on-week, led by consumer discretionary, utilities, industrials and offset by energy, real estate, financials.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Railway, CNOOC, Ningbo Joyson Electronic, YOFC, Tianqi Lithium, Foshan Haitian Flavouring And Food.


A-H Premium Weekly (Jan 30th): China Railway, CNOOC, Ningbo Joyson Electronic, YOFC, Tianqi Lithium

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>The H-share IPO of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/muyuan-foods-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3705:1" rel="noopener">Muyuan Foods Co (2714 HK)</a> should draw good interest given its position as the world's largest hog farming company by capacity. </li>
<li>Its IPO price of HK$39 equals 8.8x FY26F PER, which is 10% below <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wh-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13200:1" rel="noopener">WH Group (288 HK)</a>. It is relatively cheap vs. the global peers' average of 11.3x.</li>
<li>Based on 10% discount to its A-share, the IPO's fair value is assessed at HK$46.90, 20.2% upside; and the floor is HK$41.70, being 20% discount.</li>
</ul>


The H-share IPO of Muyuan Foods Co (2714 HK) should draw good interest given its position as the world's largest hog farming company by capacity. 
Its IPO price of HK$39 equals 8.8x FY26F PER, which is 10% below WH Group (288 HK). It is relatively cheap vs. the global peers' average of 11.3x.
Based on 10% discount to its A-share, the IPO's fair value is assessed at HK$46.90, 20.2% upside; and the floor is HK$41.70, being 20% discount.


Muyuan Foods (2714 HK) IPO: Inexpensively Priced

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/muyuan-foodstuff-co-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3705:1" rel="noopener">Muyuan Foodstuff Co Ltd A (002714 CH)</a> , a leader in the hog farming industry, aims to raise around US$1.4bn in its H-share listing.</li>
<li>MF is a leading pork company with over 30 years of expertise in the hog farming industry.</li>
<li>We have looked at the past performance and likely A/H premium in our previous note. In this note, we talk about the IPO pricing.</li>
</ul>



Muyuan Foodstuff Co Ltd A (002714 CH) , a leader in the hog farming industry, aims to raise around US$1.4bn in its H-share listing.
MF is a leading pork company with over 30 years of expertise in the hog farming industry.
We have looked at the past performance and likely A/H premium in our previous note. In this note, we talk about the IPO pricing.


Aequitas: Muyuan Foods A/H Listing - Decent Pricing, Weak Momentum

Eastroc Beverage / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/eastroc-beverage-group-co-ltd-f3283290-a611-4cb4-8857-93101786e283" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45048:1" rel="noopener">Eastroc Beverage Group (9980 HK)</a> has a solid growth outlook with a 3-year EPS CAGR of 27.8%, given its leadership position in China's functional beverage market. </li>
<li>Its IPO price of HK$248 equals 20.4x FY26F PER. This is at 44% premium to the sector and 19% discount to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nongfu-spring-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28955:1" rel="noopener">Nongfu Spring (9633 HK)</a>, which is justified. </li>
<li>The cap and the floor is 5% and 15% discount to the A-share, i.e. HK$239-265.1, implying a 7% upside and 4% downside. The IPO (11.2% discount) is fairly priced.</li>
</ul>



Eastroc Beverage Group (9980 HK) has a solid growth outlook with a 3-year EPS CAGR of 27.8%, given its leadership position in China's functional beverage market. 
Its IPO price of HK$248 equals 20.4x FY26F PER. This is at 44% premium to the sector and 19% discount to Nongfu Spring (9633 HK), which is justified. 
The cap and the floor is 5% and 15% discount to the A-share, i.e. HK$239-265.1, implying a 7% upside and 4% downside. The IPO (11.2% discount) is fairly priced.


Eastroc Beverage (9980 HK) IPO: Close to Fairly Priced

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 169 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 58.5% as of Jan 23rd.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -3.0ppt week-on-week, led by information technology, energy, materials and offset by financials, health care.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining, Flat Glass, Maanshan Iron &amp; Steel, China Tourism, Sinopec, Sany Heavy.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 169 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 58.5% as of Jan 23rd.
The average A-H premium changed by -3.0ppt week-on-week, led by information technology, energy, materials and offset by financials, health care.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining, Flat Glass, Maanshan Iron &amp; Steel, China Tourism, Sinopec, Sany Heavy.


A-H Premium Weekly (Jan 23rd): Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining, Flat Glass, Maanshan Iron & Steel

China

Anjoy Foods Group Co. Ltd. operates as a food manufacturer. The Company produces and distributes individually packaged quick freezing seafood, meat, flour, rice, and other processed food products. Anjoy Foods Group mainly conducts businesses in China.

Price Gauge
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Anjoy Foods Group (2648 HK)

A-H Premium Weekly (Jan 30th): China Railway, CNOOC, Ningbo Joyson Electronic, YOFC, Tianqi Lithium

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for China Railway, CNOOC, Ningbo Joyson Electronic, YOFC, Tianqi...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Muyuan Foods (2714 HK) IPO: Inexpensively Priced

Muyuan's IPO offers good value due to its position as the world's largest hog farming company by capacity. It is valued at HK$46.90, with a floor...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Aequitas: Muyuan Foods A/H Listing - Decent Pricing, Weak Momentum

Muyuan Foodstuff Co Ltd A (002714 CH) , a leader in the hog farming industry, aims to raise around US$1.4bn in its H-share listing. In this note,...

Sumeet Singh

Eastroc Beverage (9980 HK) IPO: Close to Fairly Priced

Eastroc has solid growth with a 3-year EPS CAGR of 27.8%, supported by leadership in China's functional beverage market. Its IPO is fairly priced...

Osbert Tang, CFA

A-H Premium Weekly (Jan 23rd): Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining, Flat Glass, Maanshan Iron & Steel

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining, Flat Glass, Maanshan Iron &...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

A-H Premium Weekly (Jan 30th): China Railway, CNOOC, Ningbo Joyson Electronic, YOFC, Tianqi Lithium

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for China Railway, CNOOC, Ningbo Joyson Electronic, YOFC, Tianqi...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Muyuan Foods (2714 HK) IPO: Inexpensively Priced

​Muyuan's IPO offers good value due to its position as the world's largest hog farming company by capacity. It is valued at HK$46.90, with a floor...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Aequitas: Muyuan Foods A/H Listing - Decent Pricing, Weak Momentum

Muyuan Foodstuff Co Ltd A (002714 CH) , a leader in the hog farming industry, aims to raise around US$1.4bn in its H-share listing. In this note,...

Sumeet Singh

Eastroc Beverage (9980 HK) IPO: Close to Fairly Priced

​Eastroc has solid growth with a 3-year EPS CAGR of 27.8%, supported by leadership in China's functional beverage market. Its IPO is fairly priced...

Osbert Tang, CFA

A-H Premium Weekly (Jan 23rd): Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining, Flat Glass, Maanshan Iron & Steel

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining, Flat Glass, Maanshan Iron &...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Muyuan's IPO offers good value due to its position as the world's largest hog farming company by capacity. It is valued at HK$46.90, with a floor...

Eastroc has solid growth with a 3-year EPS CAGR of 27.8%, supported by leadership in China's functional beverage market. Its IPO is fairly priced...