Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Tracking Traffic

Focusing on Asian logistics, transportation, and travel companies

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Chinese domestic and outbound air travel activity rebounded sharply in July - why?</li>
<li>If we're right about the reasons for July's recovery in traffic, bounce likely to be short-lived</li>
<li>We expect platform Trip.com to confirm a weak outlook when it reports Q226 results</li>
</ul>


Chinese domestic and outbound air travel activity rebounded sharply in July - why?
If we're right about the reasons for July's recovery in traffic, bounce likely to be short-lived
We expect platform Trip.com to confirm a weak outlook when it reports Q226 results


Monthly Chinese Tourism Tracker | Air Travel Growth Rebounded in July | Why? And Is It Sustainable?

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Reportedly cashed-up <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tokio-marine-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7591:1" rel="noopener">Tokio Marine Holdings (8766 JP)</a> is running a ruler over <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/insurance-australia-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:712:1" rel="noopener">Insurance Australia (IAG AU)</a> or <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/suncorp-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4218:1" rel="noopener">Suncorp (SUN AU)</a>, each with market cap of ~A$20bn.</li>
<li>IAG recently (partially) settled its Greensill legal exposure; but hasn't stress tested the remaining cases. Plus its acquisition of RACWA's insurance underwriting arm has entered Phase 2 with the ACCC.</li>
<li>Suncorp is potentially a cleaner play after selling Suncorp Bank to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/anz-group-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40898:1" rel="noopener">ANZ Group Holdings (ANZ AU)</a> in 2024.</li>
</ul>


Reportedly cashed-up Tokio Marine Holdings (8766 JP) is running a ruler over Insurance Australia (IAG AU) or Suncorp (SUN AU), each with market cap of ~A$20bn.
IAG recently (partially) settled its Greensill legal exposure; but hasn't stress tested the remaining cases. Plus its acquisition of RACWA's insurance underwriting arm has entered Phase 2 with the ACCC.
Suncorp is potentially a cleaner play after selling Suncorp Bank to ANZ Group Holdings (ANZ AU) in 2024.


Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

<ul>
<li>
Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.</li>
<li>
 Highlights: Currently seven pair trade opportunities persist across three markets and five sectors. 
</li>
<li>
Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.</li>
</ul>



Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.

 Highlights: Currently seven pair trade opportunities persist across three markets and five sectors. 


Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.


Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (24 Aug 2026)

<ul>
<li>
Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.</li>
<li>
Highlights: In Australia, currently four pair trade opportunities persist across four sectors.</li>
<li>
Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.</li>
</ul>



Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.

Highlights: In Australia, currently four pair trade opportunities persist across four sectors.

Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.


Australia: Relative Value Opportunities and Pair Trades (21 Aug 2026)

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Index Rebalance

Virgin Australia Holdings / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>Bain Capital raised around US$440m via selling some of its stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/virgin-australia-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:814:1" rel="noopener">Virgin Australia (VAH AU)</a> IPO in June 2025. All of Bain’s stake could be released from escrow soon.</li>
<li>Virgin Australia (VA) is the second largest airline group operating in the Australian aviation market, with an average 32% domestic RPT capacity market share in CY24.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics and possible placement.</li>
</ul>


Bain Capital raised around US$440m via selling some of its stake in Virgin Australia (VAH AU) IPO in June 2025. All of Bain’s stake could be released from escrow soon.
Virgin Australia (VA) is the second largest airline group operating in the Australian aviation market, with an average 32% domestic RPT capacity market share in CY24.
In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics and possible placement.


Aequitas: Virgin Australia IPO Lockup - Bain Set for Full and Final US$600m Release

Australia

ANZ Group Holdings Limited operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides banking and financial products and services to retail and business customers. ANZ Group Holdings offers loans, transaction and institutional banking services, deposits, and other financial products.

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ANZ Group Holdings (ANZ AU)

Monthly Chinese Tourism Tracker | Air Travel Growth Rebounded in July | Why? And Is It Sustainable?

After weak growth in Q226, Chinese domestic and outbound air travel activity suddenly rebounded in July. But is the improvement sustainable? We...

Tracking Traffic

IAG/Suncorp: Tokio Marine Kicking Tyres

According to the FT, Tokio Marine identified Suncorp as its preferred takeover target. This follows Berkshire's recent investment in Tokio Marine,...

David Blennerhassett

Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (24 Aug 2026)

Discover seven pair trade opportunities across three markets and five sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.

Gaudenz Schneider

Australia: Relative Value Opportunities and Pair Trades (21 Aug 2026)

Discover four pair trade opportunities across four sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.

Gaudenz Schneider

Aequitas: Virgin Australia IPO Lockup - Bain Set for Full and Final US$600m Release

Bain Capital raised around US$440m via selling some of its stake in Virgin Australia (VAH AU) IPO in June 2025. All of Bain’s stake could be...

Sumeet Singh

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Monthly Chinese Tourism Tracker | Air Travel Growth Rebounded in July | Why? And Is It Sustainable?

After weak growth in Q226, Chinese domestic and outbound air travel activity suddenly rebounded in July. But is the improvement sustainable? We...

Tracking Traffic

IAG/Suncorp: Tokio Marine Kicking Tyres

According to the FT, Tokio Marine identified Suncorp as its preferred takeover target. This follows Berkshire's recent investment in Tokio Marine,...

David Blennerhassett

Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (24 Aug 2026)

​Discover seven pair trade opportunities across three markets and five sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.

Gaudenz Schneider

Australia: Relative Value Opportunities and Pair Trades (21 Aug 2026)

​Discover four pair trade opportunities across four sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.

Gaudenz Schneider

Aequitas: Virgin Australia IPO Lockup - Bain Set for Full and Final US$600m Release

Bain Capital raised around US$440m via selling some of its stake in Virgin Australia (VAH AU) IPO in June 2025. All of Bain’s stake could be...

Sumeet Singh

Discover seven pair trade opportunities across three markets and five sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.

Discover four pair trade opportunities across four sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.