IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In response to media reports, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/appen-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15825:1" rel="noopener">Appen Ltd (APX AU)</a> disclosed a non-binding indicative proposal from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/telus-international-cda-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35398:1" rel="noopener">Telus International (TIXT US)</a> at A$9.50, a 48.4% premium to the undisturbed price of A$6.40.</li>
<li>Appen also announced a weak trading update. The 1HFY22 EBITDA is expected to be materially lower than the comparable period due to the lower revenue and the ongoing investment. </li>
<li>Subsequently, Appen noted that Telus revoked its indicative proposal. No reason was given for the decision. Nevertheless, Appen’s depressed share price will continue to attract suitors. </li>
</ul>


In response to media reports, Appen Ltd (APX AU) disclosed a non-binding indicative proposal from Telus International (TIXT US) at A$9.50, a 48.4% premium to the undisturbed price of A$6.40.
Appen also announced a weak trading update. The 1HFY22 EBITDA is expected to be materially lower than the comparable period due to the lower revenue and the ongoing investment. 
Subsequently, Appen noted that Telus revoked its indicative proposal. No reason was given for the decision. Nevertheless, Appen’s depressed share price will continue to attract suitors. 


Telus Revokes It’s A$9.50 Bid for Appen

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>AI data service provider <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/appen-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15825:1" rel="noopener">Appen (APX AU)</a></strong> has announced an unsolicited, conditional, and non-binding indicative proposal from Canada's Telus International, by way of a Scheme of Arrangement, at A$9.50/share.  </li>
<li>That's around a 48% premium. Appen's board is seeking an improvement in terms through offering a limited course of due diligence.</li>
<li>The Offer backs out an equity value of A$1.2bn, significantly down from Appen's 2020 pandemic peak of A$5.4bn.</li>
</ul>


AI data service provider Appen (APX AU) has announced an unsolicited, conditional, and non-binding indicative proposal from Canada's Telus International, by way of a Scheme of Arrangement, at A$9.50/share.  
That's around a 48% premium. Appen's board is seeking an improvement in terms through offering a limited course of due diligence.
The Offer backs out an equity value of A$1.2bn, significantly down from Appen's 2020 pandemic peak of A$5.4bn.


Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/telus-international-cda-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35398:1" rel="noopener">Telus International (TIXT US)</a> has made an unsolicited, conditional and non-binding indicative proposal to acquire 100% of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/appen-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15825:1" rel="noopener">Appen Ltd (APX AU)</a> at A$9.5/share, valuing the company at A$1.17bn.</li>
<li>The offer is a 48% premium to the last close but a discount to longer-term VWAPs. It should require a bump for the Appen Board to unanimously recommend to shareholders.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/appen-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15825:1" rel="noopener">Appen Ltd (APX AU)</a> is a potential deletion from the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a> at the June rebalance. Short interest is 10% of shares out. There will be covering.</li>
</ul>



Telus International (TIXT US) has made an unsolicited, conditional and non-binding indicative proposal to acquire 100% of Appen Ltd (APX AU) at A$9.5/share, valuing the company at A$1.17bn.
The offer is a 48% premium to the last close but a discount to longer-term VWAPs. It should require a bump for the Appen Board to unanimously recommend to shareholders.

Appen Ltd (APX AU) is a potential deletion from the S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) at the June rebalance. Short interest is 10% of shares out. There will be covering.


Appen (APX AU): Telus' 48% Premium; 10% Short Interest; Potential ASX200 Deletion

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/crown-resorts-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:808:1" rel="noopener">Crown Resorts</a> Scheme Meeting is scheduled for 20 May and the last trading day could be 24 May, while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/the-lottery-corporation-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35970:1" rel="noopener">The Lottery Corp</a> is expected to start trading 24 May.</li>
<li>The changes for the S&amp;P/ASX 50 Index and S&amp;P/ASX 100 Index will depend on the market cap of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/the-lottery-corporation-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35970:1" rel="noopener">The Lottery Corp (TLC AU)</a> and new <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tabcorp-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6837:1" rel="noopener">Tabcorp Ltd (TAH AU)</a>.</li>
<li>The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes over the last week and couple of months so there will be some pre-positions in there already.</li>
</ul>


The Crown Resorts Scheme Meeting is scheduled for 20 May and the last trading day could be 24 May, while The Lottery Corp is expected to start trading 24 May.
The changes for the S&amp;P/ASX 50 Index and S&amp;P/ASX 100 Index will depend on the market cap of The Lottery Corp (TLC AU) and new Tabcorp Ltd (TAH AU).
The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes over the last week and couple of months so there will be some pre-positions in there already.


S&P/​ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Tabcorp, Crown & Potential Changes in June

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations

<ul>
<li>The S&amp;P/ASX Index family is a widely-tracked group of indices and sub-indices which represent the performance of ASX-listed companies. It rebalances four times a year.</li>
<li>In June 2022, Index rebalance events will take place for the S&amp;P/ASX capitalization-weighted indices including ASX 200, 100, 50, and 20. There is likely to be an intra-quarter change too.</li>
<li>This is a follow-up insight to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/s-p-asx-indices-quiddity-leaderboard-for-june-2022-rebalance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:68033" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/​​​ASX Indices: Quiddity Leaderboard for June 2022 Rebalance</a>. with updated expectations for inclusions/changes in the various indices in the next 6 weeks. </li>
</ul>


The S&amp;P/ASX Index family is a widely-tracked group of indices and sub-indices which represent the performance of ASX-listed companies. It rebalances four times a year.
In June 2022, Index rebalance events will take place for the S&amp;P/ASX capitalization-weighted indices including ASX 200, 100, 50, and 20. There is likely to be an intra-quarter change too.
This is a follow-up insight to S&amp;P/​​​ASX Indices: Quiddity Leaderboard for June 2022 Rebalance. with updated expectations for inclusions/changes in the various indices in the next 6 weeks. 


S&P/​​​​ASX Indices: Quiddity Leaderboard for June 2022 Rebalance 2.0

Australia

Appen Ltd is a language, search, and social technology company. The Company provides solutions to improve internalization of products, management of data, and project management for companies.

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Appen Ltd (APX AU)

Telus Revokes It’s A$9.50 Bid for Appen

Telus pulled its A$9.50 indicative offer likely due to the weak trading update. Nevertheless, Appen’s depressed share price will continue to...

Arun George

Appen (APX AU): Telus' Indicative Offer

This is not a firm Offer. Yet, Appen has been on an 18-month downward trajectory, despite FY21 revenue and earnings gains. I'd be picking shares up...

David Blennerhassett

Appen (APX AU): Telus' 48% Premium; 10% Short Interest; Potential ASX200 Deletion

Telus has made an indicative proposal to acquire 100% of Appen at A$9.5/share, valuing the company at A$1.17bn. Short interest is 10% of shares out...

Brian Freitas

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Tabcorp, Crown & Potential Changes in June

The Crown Resorts privatisation and Tabcorp spinoff will add to the S&P/ASX changes in June. There is a lot to trade on the potential adds/deletes...

Brian Freitas

S&P/ASX Indices: Quiddity Leaderboard for June 2022 Rebalance 2.0

A look at the leading candidates who could become S&P ASX Index Adds/Deletes during the June 2022 Rebalance and other potential irregular changes.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

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52-week Range

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Telus Revokes It’s A$9.50 Bid for Appen

Telus pulled its A$9.50 indicative offer likely due to the weak trading update. Nevertheless, Appen’s depressed share price will continue to...

Arun George

Appen (APX AU): Telus' Indicative Offer

This is not a firm Offer. Yet, Appen has been on an 18-month downward trajectory, despite FY21 revenue and earnings gains. I'd be picking shares up...

David Blennerhassett

Appen (APX AU): Telus' 48% Premium; 10% Short Interest; Potential ASX200 Deletion

Telus has made an indicative proposal to acquire 100% of Appen at A$9.5/share, valuing the company at A$1.17bn. Short interest is 10% of shares out...

Brian Freitas

S&P/​ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Tabcorp, Crown & Potential Changes in June

The Crown Resorts privatisation and Tabcorp spinoff will add to the S&P/ASX changes in June. There is a lot to trade on the potential adds/deletes...

Brian Freitas

S&P/​​​​ASX Indices: Quiddity Leaderboard for June 2022 Rebalance 2.0

A look at the leading candidates who could become S&P ASX Index Adds/Deletes during the June 2022 Rebalance and other potential irregular changes.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Tabcorp, Crown & Potential Changes in June

S&P/ASX Indices: Quiddity Leaderboard for June 2022 Rebalance 2.0