Index Rebal/Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal/Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Quiddity's "Who is Ready" series of insights aims to objectively identify names listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange that are potential additions to the TOPIX Index in future.</li>
<li>This insight is a follow-up to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/topix-inclusions-who-is-ready-dec-2022" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:85784" rel="noopener">TOPIX Inclusions: Who Is Ready (Dec 2022)</a>. </li>
<li>Our latest top pick for TOPIX Inclusion pre-events is <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/artspark-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20774:1" rel="noopener">Artspark Holdings (3663 JP)</a>. </li>
</ul>


Quiddity's "Who is Ready" series of insights aims to objectively identify names listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange that are potential additions to the TOPIX Index in future.
This insight is a follow-up to TOPIX Inclusions: Who Is Ready (Dec 2022). 
Our latest top pick for TOPIX Inclusion pre-events is Artspark Holdings (3663 JP). 


TOPIX Inclusions: Who Is Ready (Jan 2023)

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/appier-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32165:1" rel="noopener">Appier Group (4180 JP)</a> had been among our picks for TSE Prime promotion and we had recommended positioning for it. That worked. On 8 Dec they announced the promotion.</li>
<li>The company is now part of TSE Prime which means a TOPIX Inclusion at end-January and an upweight in April. More than 20% of TSE float to buy by end-April.</li>
<li>Share price performance has not kept pace with potential, and yesterday's BOJ decision saw a flurry of volume selling (bailing). Pre-IPO holder overhang may be the biggest "risk" here.</li>
</ul>



Appier Group (4180 JP) had been among our picks for TSE Prime promotion and we had recommended positioning for it. That worked. On 8 Dec they announced the promotion.
The company is now part of TSE Prime which means a TOPIX Inclusion at end-January and an upweight in April. More than 20% of TSE float to buy by end-April.
Share price performance has not kept pace with potential, and yesterday's BOJ decision saw a flurry of volume selling (bailing). Pre-IPO holder overhang may be the biggest "risk" here.


Appier (4180) - Down But Not Out; Shareholder Structure Still The Biggest Risk

<ul>
<li>Quiddity's "Who is Ready" series of insights aims to objectively identify names listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange that are potential additions to the TOPIX Index in future.</li>
<li>This insight is a follow-up to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/topix-inclusions-who-is-ready-oct-2022" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:81556" rel="noopener">TOPIX Inclusions: Who Is Ready (Oct 2022)</a> </li>
<li>At present, there are 60 names that satisfy all of these conditions and there are more names that are close to being in that group.</li>
</ul>


Quiddity's "Who is Ready" series of insights aims to objectively identify names listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange that are potential additions to the TOPIX Index in future.
This insight is a follow-up to TOPIX Inclusions: Who Is Ready (Oct 2022) 
At present, there are 60 names that satisfy all of these conditions and there are more names that are close to being in that group.


TOPIX Inclusions: Who Is Ready (Dec 2022)

<ul>
<li>On 17 Feb 2022, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/janaghan-jeyakumar-cfa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="accounts:3173" rel="noopener">Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA</a> wrote about <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/appier-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32165:1" rel="noopener">Appier Group (4180 JP)</a> suggesting it was a TOPIX inclusion candidate in the not-distant future.</li>
<li>In mid-August 2022, he reiterated his opinion. Three days later, the company said they had applied for TSE Prime membership. We are coming up on the timing for an announcement.</li>
<li>It would mean buying, but the shareholder structure is interesting, and intentions are not easy to read. But if they announce imminently, the calendar makes the event even more interesting.</li>
</ul>


On 17 Feb 2022, Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA wrote about Appier Group (4180 JP) suggesting it was a TOPIX inclusion candidate in the not-distant future.
In mid-August 2022, he reiterated his opinion. Three days later, the company said they had applied for TSE Prime membership. We are coming up on the timing for an announcement.
It would mean buying, but the shareholder structure is interesting, and intentions are not easy to read. But if they announce imminently, the calendar makes the event even more interesting.


Appier (4180) Nearing A TSE Prime (And TOPIX) Announcement?

Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Appier has been by far the best performing small-cap growth stock in Japan this year</li>
<li>The company is gaining market share overseas, massively augmenting the Total Addressable Market</li>
<li>It's high growth, rising margins, and growing TAM makes this a top stock for SaaS investors</li>
</ul>


Appier has been by far the best performing small-cap growth stock in Japan this year
The company is gaining market share overseas, massively augmenting the Total Addressable Market
It's high growth, rising margins, and growing TAM makes this a top stock for SaaS investors


Appier (4180) | Why Has the Stock Outperformed?

Japan

Appier Group, Inc. provides artificial intelligence software as a service (AISaaS) services based on data-driven decisions. The Company offers data analysis for potential users predicting and acquiring, relationships building and maintaining, purchasing and action motivation, audience intelligence, and more. Appier Group serves clients across Asian.

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Appier Group (4180 JP)

TOPIX Inclusions: Who Is Ready (Jan 2023)

Out of the 1,600+ TSE-listed names that are not part of the Prime market, around 100+ can satisfy most of the key conditions for a prime market...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Appier (4180) - Down But Not Out; Shareholder Structure Still The Biggest Risk

The Appier IPO Price (¥1600) plus ¥100 has been strong resistance this year. Tuesday's BOJ surprise saw a sharp high-volume selldown. Paper hands...

Travis Lundy

TOPIX Inclusions: Who Is Ready (Dec 2022)

There are currently four names identified with high likelihood of TOPIX Inclusion within the next few months: Medley, Appier, Chubu Steel, and...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Appier (4180) Nearing A TSE Prime (And TOPIX) Announcement?

Appier (4180) announced in late August it had applied for TSE Prime. It has continuously maintained the standard for listing since. I expect an...

Travis Lundy

Appier (4180) | Why Has the Stock Outperformed?

Appier’s digital platform for customer acquisition and engagement relies on AI and first party data to deliver positive ROI for customers, and it's...

Mark Chadwick

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