Independent Investment Research, The IDEA!

The IDEA!

Independent Investment Research

The Idea-Driven Equities Analyses company (the IDEA!) is an employee-owned boutique providing independent investment research and financial consultancy services with a clear focus on the Benelux countries. The company was founded in the summer of 2007 by Henk Slotboom and Maarten Verbeek, both with more than 35 years of professional experience in the financial sector. The IDEA! differentiates itself by focusing on adding value through self-initiated in-depth, idea-driven investment research, as well as by bespoke research assignments for institutional investors, hedge funds and private equity. In addition, we provide market intelligence, strategic research and – together with our business partners – consultancy services to businesses. In case you are interested in receiving more information, a sample of our products or an introductory meeting, please send a message to info@theidea.nl.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>In this edition: • Unilever | rumored to bid for supplement maker Thorne • IMCD | to acquire Merit Solution • Arcadis | enters into a strategic partnership with Stok • SBM Offshore | completes USD 465m financing of FSO Chalchi • Alfen | CFO Onno Krap to step down per 1 July</li></ul>

In this edition: • Unilever | rumored to bid for supplement maker Thorne • IMCD | to acquire Merit Solution • Arcadis | enters into a strategic partnership with Stok • SBM Offshore | completes USD 465m financing of FSO Chalchi • Alfen | CFO Onno Krap to step down per 1 July

What's New(s) in Amsterdam - 29 June (Unilever | IMCD | Arcadis | SBM Offshore | Alfen)

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

MSCI Emerging Markets Index / Technical Analysis

Supporting our global bull market thesis, uptrends remain intact for the major global indexes (MSCI ACWI, ACWI ex-US, EAFE, and EM). At this point, concerns surrounding the Wuhan coronavirus have led to some market setbacks and deterioration in market indicators, however they have not resulted in breakdowns. This is true even for areas of the market most-directly affected, including China (MSCI China) and emerging markets (MSCI EM). For these reasons and, as long as there is no significant additional damage, we view recent weakness as a buying opportunity - especially within EM. We see coronavirus concerns as helping correct the excess bullish sentiment and optimism in the short-term.

Supporting our global bull market thesis, uptrends remain intact for the major global indexes (MSCI ACWI, ACWI ex-US, EAFE, and EM). At this point, concerns surrounding the Wuhan coronavirus have led to some market setbacks and deterioration in market indicators, however they have not resulted in breakdowns. This is true even for areas of the market most-directly affected, including China (MSCI China) and emerging markets (MSCI EM). For these reasons and, as long as there is no significant additional damage, we view recent weakness as a buying opportunity - especially within EM. We see coronavirus concerns as helping correct the excess bullish sentiment and optimism in the short-term.

<ul><li>In this edition: • ING | rolls out global subscription banking model • Arcadis | launches PRICE framework for better adaptation investment funding decisions • Sligro Food Group | Dutch household consumption up 1.0% YoY in April • Dutch banking sector | ASN Bank will remain state-owned for at least another year • Bnode | bpost enters partnership with Colruyt Group to accelerate APM expansion • DHL | FedEx and China Southern Air Logistics sign MoU</li></ul>

In this edition: • ING | rolls out global subscription banking model • Arcadis | launches PRICE framework for better adaptation investment funding decisions • Sligro Food Group | Dutch household consumption up 1.0% YoY in April • Dutch banking sector | ASN Bank will remain state-owned for at least another year • Bnode | bpost enters partnership with Colruyt Group to accelerate APM expansion • DHL | FedEx and China Southern Air Logistics sign MoU

<ul><li>In this edition: • Ahold Delhaize | Food manufacturers appeal to EC on alleged market power large retailers • KPN | CEO Ziggo Group expects broadband churn to end this year • SBM Offshore | partnership with Solstad Offshore for a new installation vessel • Arcadis | awarded EUR 90m design work for high-speed rail train depot in the UK • Bnode | distribution deal with Digi Belgium fits within the strategy for its branches • April retail sales | sharp drop in consumer confidence did not reflect in retail sales • Dutch CPI | up 3.5% YoY in May</li></ul>

In this edition: • Ahold Delhaize | Food manufacturers appeal to EC on alleged market power large retailers • KPN | CEO Ziggo Group expects broadband churn to end this year • SBM Offshore | partnership with Solstad Offshore for a new installation vessel • Arcadis | awarded EUR 90m design work for high-speed rail train depot in the UK • Bnode | distribution deal with Digi Belgium fits within the strategy for its branches • April retail sales | sharp drop in consumer confidence did not reflect in retail sales • Dutch CPI | up 3.5% YoY in May

Rotation is alive and well. Once-dormant Sectors and Groups are helping propel the market to new highs. While Tech, the overachiever, continues to lead, we’re finally seeing the Energy  Sector contribute. And other economically sensitive Groups, like Casinos and Engineering &amp; Construction, are bullishly inflecting, confirming the risk-on message. Combined, this is (1) a positive sign for the market, and (2) actionable.In today’s report we highlight ideas within the following Groups: Engineering &amp; Construction, Semiconductors, and Auto Dealers.

Rotation is alive and well. Once-dormant Sectors and Groups are helping propel the market to new highs. While Tech, the overachiever, continues to lead, we’re finally seeing the Energy  Sector contribute. And other economically sensitive Groups, like Casinos and Engineering &amp; Construction, are bullishly inflecting, confirming the risk-on message. Combined, this is (1) a positive sign for the market, and (2) actionable.In today’s report we highlight ideas within the following Groups: Engineering &amp; Construction, Semiconductors, and Auto Dealers.

U.S. Equity Strategy: Cyclicals Continue to Lead; Energy Is Bottoming.

Netherlands

Arcadis N.V. offers consulting and engineering services worldwide.  The Company performs feasibility studies, develops projects, offers financial and legal consulting services, assists in the permitting process, and offers design and maintenance services.

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Arcadis NV (ARCAD NA)

What's New(s) in Amsterdam - 29 June (Unilever | IMCD | Arcadis | SBM Offshore | Alfen)

In this edition: • Unilever | rumored to bid for supplement maker Thorne • IMCD | to acquire Merit Solution • Arcadis | enters into a strategic...

The IDEA!

EM Pullback Opportunity

Supporting our global bull market thesis, uptrends remain intact for the major global indexes (MSCI ACWI, ACWI ex-US, EAFE, and EM). At this point,...

Vermilion Research

bpost SA - What's News in Amsterdam

In this edition: • ING | rolls out global subscription banking model • Arcadis | launches PRICE framework for better adaptation investment funding...

The IDEA!

bpost SA - What's News in Amsterdam

In this edition: • Ahold Delhaize | Food manufacturers appeal to EC on alleged market power large retailers • KPN | CEO Ziggo Group expects...

The IDEA!

U.S. Equity Strategy: Cyclicals Continue to Lead; Energy Is Bottoming.

Rotation is alive and well. Once-dormant Sectors and Groups are helping propel the market to new highs. While Tech, the overachiever, continues to...

Vermilion Research

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