Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of MS-Japan in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on Shimizu, Kioxia, Mitsui &amp;, Mitsubishi, Nissan Motor, Eneos, Honda Motor.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of MS-Japan in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on Shimizu, Kioxia, Mitsui &amp;, Mitsubishi, Nissan Motor, Eneos, Honda Motor.


MS-Japan Index Earning Revision (Mar): Shimizu, Kioxia, Mitsui &, Mitsubishi, Nissan Motor, Eneos

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/itochu-shokuhin-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14985:1" rel="noopener">Itochu Shokuhin (2692 JP)</a> has recommended an offer from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/itochu-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18448:1" rel="noopener">Itochu Corp (8001 JP)</a> at JPY13,000, a 3.6% premium to last close and a 39.8% premium to the undisturbed price (13 November).</li>
<li>While the offer represents an all-time high, it is light compared to precedent transactions, Sapphireterra’s fair value and below the midpoint of the special committee IFA DCF valuation range.</li>
<li>However, tendering by crossholders and a few retail holders will satisfy the minimum (14.20% ownership ratio). Therefore, this is a done deal.</li>
</ul>



Itochu Shokuhin (2692 JP) has recommended an offer from Itochu Corp (8001 JP) at JPY13,000, a 3.6% premium to last close and a 39.8% premium to the undisturbed price (13 November).
While the offer represents an all-time high, it is light compared to precedent transactions, Sapphireterra’s fair value and below the midpoint of the special committee IFA DCF valuation range.
However, tendering by crossholders and a few retail holders will satisfy the minimum (14.20% ownership ratio). Therefore, this is a done deal.


Itochu-Shokuhin (2692 JP): Itochu (8001 JP)’s Tender Offer Is Light but Done

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Since the announcement of the US$1.5 billion secondary offering, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nintendo-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5415:1" rel="noopener">Nintendo (7974 JP)</a>’s shares have declined 3.5% to the undisturbed price of JPY8,995 per share (26 February).</li>
<li>It is instructive to look at recent large Japanese placements to understand the potential trading pattern. Nintendo's share decline is lower than the median of recent large placements.</li>
<li>The offering will likely be priced on 9 March. The average large Japanese placement tends to generate positive returns.</li>
</ul>


Since the announcement of the US$1.5 billion secondary offering, Nintendo (7974 JP)’s shares have declined 3.5% to the undisturbed price of JPY8,995 per share (26 February).
It is instructive to look at recent large Japanese placements to understand the potential trading pattern. Nintendo's share decline is lower than the median of recent large placements.
The offering will likely be priced on 9 March. The average large Japanese placement tends to generate positive returns.


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nintendo-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5415:1" rel="noopener">Nintendo (7974 JP)</a> has announced a secondary offering of 32.7 million shares (37.6 million including overallotment), worth around US$1.8 billion (US$2.1 billion including overallotment).</li>
<li>There are four selling shareholders: Nomura Trust and Banking Co, Bank of Kyoto, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dena-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:747:1" rel="noopener">DeNA (2432 JP)</a>, and Resona Bank.</li>
<li>The offering as a percentage of outstanding shares and ADV is below average compared to recent large placements. A ToSTNeT-3 repurchase (up to JPY100 billion) will mitigate the impact.</li>
</ul>



Nintendo (7974 JP) has announced a secondary offering of 32.7 million shares (37.6 million including overallotment), worth around US$1.8 billion (US$2.1 billion including overallotment).
There are four selling shareholders: Nomura Trust and Banking Co, Bank of Kyoto, DeNA (2432 JP), and Resona Bank.
The offering as a percentage of outstanding shares and ADV is below average compared to recent large placements. A ToSTNeT-3 repurchase (up to JPY100 billion) will mitigate the impact.


Nintendo (7974 JP): A US$2.1 Billion Secondary Offering

Shin Etsu Chemical / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Since the announcement of the US$1.0 billion secondary offering, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shin-etsu-chemical-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4481:1" rel="noopener">Shin Etsu Chemical (4063 JP)</a>’s shares have declined 6.3% to the undisturbed price of JPY5,476 per share (27 January).</li>
<li>It is instructive to look at recent large Japanese placements to understand the potential trading pattern. Shin Etsu's share decline is lower than the median of recent large placements.</li>
<li>The offering will likely be priced on 4 February. The average large Japanese placement tends to generate positive returns.</li>
</ul>


Since the announcement of the US$1.0 billion secondary offering, Shin Etsu Chemical (4063 JP)’s shares have declined 6.3% to the undisturbed price of JPY5,476 per share (27 January).
It is instructive to look at recent large Japanese placements to understand the potential trading pattern. Shin Etsu's share decline is lower than the median of recent large placements.
The offering will likely be priced on 4 February. The average large Japanese placement tends to generate positive returns.


Shin Etsu Chemical (4063 JP): The Current Playbook

Japan

Asahi Group Holdings, Ltd. produces beer and other beverages including non-alcoholic drinks. The Company sells its products in Japan and overseas.

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Asahi Group Holdings (2502 JP)

MS-Japan Index Earning Revision (Mar): Shimizu, Kioxia, Mitsui &, Mitsubishi, Nissan Motor, Eneos

We analyzed MS-Japan's consensus for Mar 2026 and highlighted changes of EPS in Shimizu, Kioxia, Mitsui &, Mitsubishi, Nissan Motor, Eneos, Honda...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Itochu-Shokuhin (2692 JP): Itochu (8001 JP)’s Tender Offer Is Light but Done

The shares have traded marginally above terms since the deal was announced. In response to this, Itochu has announced irrevocables representing 1.5...

Arun George

Nintendo (7974 JP): The Current Playbook

The offering, which was reduced due to the ToSTNeT-3 repurchase, will likely be priced on 9 March. The average large Japanese placement tends to...

Arun George

Nintendo (7974 JP): A US$2.1 Billion Secondary Offering

The offering as a percentage of outstanding shares and ADV is below average compared to recent large placements. A ToSTNeT-3 repurchase (up to...

Arun George

Shin Etsu Chemical (4063 JP): The Current Playbook

The offering will likely be priced on 4 February. The average large Japanese placement tends to generate positive returns.

Arun George

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