IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/denso-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18703:1" rel="noopener">Denso Corp (6902 JP)</a> announced a secondary offering of up to 294.8 billion shares (including overallotment) and a buyback (maximum shares of 125 million or maximum value of JPY200 billion).</li>
<li>Denso also announced a cross-holding reduction policy. In an unspecified timeframe, it will sell part of its holdings in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyota-industries-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4500:1" rel="noopener">Toyota Industries (6201 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aisin-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11809:1" rel="noopener">Aisin (7259 JP)</a>.</li>
<li>Looking at recent large Japanese placements is instructive to understand the potential offer price. The pricing date will fall between 13 and 18 December (likely 13 December).</li>
</ul>



Denso Corp (6902 JP) announced a secondary offering of up to 294.8 billion shares (including overallotment) and a buyback (maximum shares of 125 million or maximum value of JPY200 billion).
Denso also announced a cross-holding reduction policy. In an unspecified timeframe, it will sell part of its holdings in Toyota Industries (6201 JP) and Aisin (7259 JP).
Looking at recent large Japanese placements is instructive to understand the potential offer price. The pricing date will fall between 13 and 18 December (likely 13 December).


Denso (6902 JP): US$4.0 Billion Secondary Offering and US$1.4 Billion Buyback

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>Following yesterday's news release by Reuters that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyota-motor-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:73:1" rel="noopener">Toyota Motor (7203 JP)</a> could sell up to 10% of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/denso-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18703:1" rel="noopener">Denso Corp (6902 JP)</a>, the deal was officially launched today.</li>
<li>Toyota is the company’s largest shareholder and its largest customer.</li>
<li>We have covered the deal background in our earlier note, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/denso-corp-placement-possible-placement-by-toyota-to-raise-us-4-7bn" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:118615" rel="noopener">Denso Corp Placement - Possible Placement by Toyota to Raise US$4.7bn</a>. In this note, we talk about the final terms.</li>
</ul>


Following yesterday's news release by Reuters that Toyota Motor (7203 JP) could sell up to 10% of Denso Corp (6902 JP), the deal was officially launched today.
Toyota is the company’s largest shareholder and its largest customer.
We have covered the deal background in our earlier note, Denso Corp Placement - Possible Placement by Toyota to Raise US$4.7bn. In this note, we talk about the final terms.


Denso Corp Placement - Toyota to Raise US$4.4bn, as Expected

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Two weeks ago, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asahi-group-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10482:1" rel="noopener">Asahi Group Holdings (2502 JP)</a> revealed plans for a secondary offering, aiming to sell 33.48m common shares in international markets.</li>
<li>In this insight, we delve into the fundamentals of the business, identifying an opportunity if the offering is priced at a decent discount compared to Asahi’s current price.</li>
<li>We think recent price hikes and ongoing alcohol tax reforms position Asahi to outperform <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kirin-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16977:1" rel="noopener">Kirin Holdings (2503 JP)</a> in the next 3-4 years.</li>
</ul>


Two weeks ago, Asahi Group Holdings (2502 JP) revealed plans for a secondary offering, aiming to sell 33.48m common shares in international markets.
In this insight, we delve into the fundamentals of the business, identifying an opportunity if the offering is priced at a decent discount compared to Asahi’s current price.
We think recent price hikes and ongoing alcohol tax reforms position Asahi to outperform Kirin Holdings (2503 JP) in the next 3-4 years.


Asahi Offering: Discount Presents a Good Entry Point As Price Hikes & Tax Reforms Strengthen Asahi

Asahi Group Holdings / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Since the US$1.3 billion secondary placement announcement, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asahi-group-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10482:1" rel="noopener">Asahi Group Holdings (2502 JP)</a>’s shares are down -6.2% from the undisturbed price of JPY5,804 per share (16 November).</li>
<li>Looking at recent large Japanese placements is instructive to understand the potential trading pattern. So far, Asahi’s shares have followed the pattern of previous large placements. </li>
<li>The offering will likely be priced on 28 November. Investors participating in previous large Japanese placements tend to secure positive returns.</li>
</ul>


Since the US$1.3 billion secondary placement announcement, Asahi Group Holdings (2502 JP)’s shares are down -6.2% from the undisturbed price of JPY5,804 per share (16 November).
Looking at recent large Japanese placements is instructive to understand the potential trading pattern. So far, Asahi’s shares have followed the pattern of previous large placements. 
The offering will likely be priced on 28 November. Investors participating in previous large Japanese placements tend to secure positive returns.


Asahi Group (2502 JP): The Current Playbook

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zensho-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4586:1" rel="noopener">Zensho Holdings (7550 JP)</a> aims to raise around US$300m via a public offering.</li>
<li>As per the company it will use the proceeds from the deal for potential M&amp;A transactions.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>



Zensho Holdings (7550 JP) aims to raise around US$300m via a public offering.
As per the company it will use the proceeds from the deal for potential M&amp;A transactions.
In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.


Zensho Placement - Good Price to Raise At, at Least for the Company

Japan

Asahi Group Holdings, Ltd. produces beer and other beverages including non-alcoholic drinks. The Company sells its products in Japan and overseas.

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Asahi Group Holdings (2502 JP)

Denso (6902 JP): US$4.0 Billion Secondary Offering and US$1.4 Billion Buyback

Looking at recent large Japanese placements is instructive to understand the potential offer price. The pricing date will fall between 13 and 18...

Arun George

Denso Corp Placement - Toyota to Raise US$4.4bn, as Expected

Following yesterday's news release by Reuters that Toyota Motor (7203 JP) could sell up to 10% of Denso Corp (6902 JP), the deal was officially...

Sumeet Singh

Asahi Offering: Discount Presents a Good Entry Point As Price Hikes & Tax Reforms Strengthen Asahi

A discount could be a good entry point, as price hikes and ongoing alcohol tax reforms position Asahi in a fundamentally strong position.

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

Asahi Group (2502 JP): The Current Playbook

The shares are down 6.2% since announcing the offering, which will likely be priced on 28 November. Investors participating in previous large...

Arun George

Zensho Placement - Good Price to Raise At, at Least for the Company

Zensho Holdings (7550 JP) aims to raise around US$300m via a public offering. In this note, we talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal...

Sumeet Singh

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