Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.</li>
<li>In the IPO space, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wuxi-xdc-cayman-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39917:1" rel="noopener">WuXi XDC</a> ended up doing well, as expected. Now <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-technologies" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23700:1" rel="noopener">Tata Technologies </a>will be another one to watch.</li>
<li>The placements continued to flow in this week as well, with both Australia and Japan deals coming relatively thick and fast, at least by 2023's pace.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.
In the IPO space, WuXi XDC ended up doing well, as expected. Now Tata Technologies will be another one to watch.
The placements continued to flow in this week as well, with both Australia and Japan deals coming relatively thick and fast, at least by 2023's pace.


ECM Weekly (19th Nov 2023)- Asahi, Ajinomoto, Steadfast, Karoon, Wuxi, Ecopro, Zeekr, Tata Tech

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pasona-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15778:1" rel="noopener">Pasona Group (2168 JP)</a> is massively net cash. And it's ofloading <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/benefit-one-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14502:1" rel="noopener">Benefit One Inc (2412 JP)</a>. Though we don't know what the future holds, Pasona is the wrong price.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/enn-energy-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:316:1" rel="noopener">ENN Energy (2688 HK)</a> controlling shreholder announced it intends to increase it stake. And it's been in the market almost everry day since the interims. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhejiang-expressway-co-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2178:1" rel="noopener">Zhejiang Expressway (576 HK)</a> announced its rights offering. It's at a long-term low price, and about to earn a long-term high net income, and have a long-term high payout ratio</li>
</ul>



Pasona Group (2168 JP) is massively net cash. And it's ofloading Benefit One Inc (2412 JP). Though we don't know what the future holds, Pasona is the wrong price.

ENN Energy (2688 HK) controlling shreholder announced it intends to increase it stake. And it's been in the market almost everry day since the interims. 

Zhejiang Expressway (576 HK) announced its rights offering. It's at a long-term low price, and about to earn a long-term high net income, and have a long-term high payout ratio


Last Week in Event SPACE: Zhejiang, Pasona, ENN Energy, Asahi Group, Azure Minerals

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>Nine shareholders are looking to sell 33.48m shares of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asahi-group-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10482:1" rel="noopener">Asahi Group Holdings (2502 JP)</a>. That is US$1.28bn, 24x ADV and 6.6% of shares outstanding.</li>
<li>Given the recent run up in the stock, there could be downside over the next couple of weeks ahead of the pricing date.</li>
<li>There will be buying from global trackers but nothing from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tokyo-stock-exchange-tokyo-price-index-topix" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22910:1" rel="noopener">TOPIX</a> trackers, so not a lot of stock will be mopped up. Passive buying before settlement could create a squeeze.</li>
</ul>


Nine shareholders are looking to sell 33.48m shares of Asahi Group Holdings (2502 JP). That is US$1.28bn, 24x ADV and 6.6% of shares outstanding.
Given the recent run up in the stock, there could be downside over the next couple of weeks ahead of the pricing date.
There will be buying from global trackers but nothing from TOPIX trackers, so not a lot of stock will be mopped up. Passive buying before settlement could create a squeeze.


Asahi Group (2502 JP): Big Placement with Limited Index Buying; Timing Is Key

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asahi-group-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10482:1" rel="noopener">Asahi Group Holdings (2502 JP)</a> announced a pure secondary offering of 33.5 million or 6.61% of outstanding shares. At the last close, the placement was worth JPY194 billion (US$1.3 billion).</li>
<li>Notwithstanding Asahi's explanation, the selling shareholders' motivation for exiting their shareholding is likely to capitalise on the strong share price performance - Asahi shares are up 45% YTD.</li>
<li>Looking at recent large Japanese placements is instructive to understand the potential offer price. The pricing date will fall between 28 November and 1 December (likely 28 November).</li>
</ul>



Asahi Group Holdings (2502 JP) announced a pure secondary offering of 33.5 million or 6.61% of outstanding shares. At the last close, the placement was worth JPY194 billion (US$1.3 billion).
Notwithstanding Asahi's explanation, the selling shareholders' motivation for exiting their shareholding is likely to capitalise on the strong share price performance - Asahi shares are up 45% YTD.
Looking at recent large Japanese placements is instructive to understand the potential offer price. The pricing date will fall between 28 November and 1 December (likely 28 November).


Asahi Group (2502 JP): US$1.3bn Secondary Placement

Travis Lundy

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asahi-group-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10482:1" rel="noopener">Asahi Group Holdings (2502 JP)</a> today announced a collection of 10 shareholders (mostly financial institutions) would sell a total of 33.48mm shares (6.6% of shares out) in Asahi Group. </li>
<li>This will become more of a thing going forward. Cross-holders "want" to unwind. And in many cases, the cross-held want to buy back stock (reduce E, raise ROE).</li>
<li>This deal is "good" in that it clears out a lot of the bank cross-holders in one fell swoop. But there are more crossholders behind.</li>
</ul>



Asahi Group Holdings (2502 JP) today announced a collection of 10 shareholders (mostly financial institutions) would sell a total of 33.48mm shares (6.6% of shares out) in Asahi Group. 
This will become more of a thing going forward. Cross-holders "want" to unwind. And in many cases, the cross-held want to buy back stock (reduce E, raise ROE).
This deal is "good" in that it clears out a lot of the bank cross-holders in one fell swoop. But there are more crossholders behind.


Asahi Group Holdings (2502) Offering - Some Index Demand But Needs Lots of Active Long-Onlies

Japan

Asahi Group Holdings, Ltd. produces beer and other beverages including non-alcoholic drinks. The Company sells its products in Japan and overseas.

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Asahi Group Holdings (2502 JP)

ECM Weekly (19th Nov 2023)- Asahi, Ajinomoto, Steadfast, Karoon, Wuxi, Ecopro, Zeekr, Tata Tech

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

Last Week in Event SPACE: Zhejiang, Pasona, ENN Energy, Asahi Group, Azure Minerals

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

Asahi Group (2502 JP): Big Placement with Limited Index Buying; Timing Is Key

9 shareholders are looking to sell 33.48m shares (6.6% of shares out). The stock has run up and should correct in the short-term. Global passives...

Brian Freitas

Asahi Group (2502 JP): US$1.3bn Secondary Placement

Looking at recent large Japanese placements is instructive to understand the potential offer price. The pricing date will fall between 28 November...

Arun George

Asahi Group Holdings (2502) Offering - Some Index Demand But Needs Lots of Active Long-Onlies

9 financial institutions (and their liability-hedge assets) have decided to sell cross-holdings in Asahi Group (2502). Active shareholders need to...

Travis Lundy

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