Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>Following its ADR listing, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sk-hynix-inc-a4e8e2ec-1a75-4752-b58c-eaa0d074d145" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:50283:1" rel="noopener">SK Hynix (SKHY US)</a> will be added to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vaneck-vectors-semiconductor" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32807:1" rel="noopener">VanEck Vectors Semiconductor (SMH US)</a> ETF in September. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/skyworks-solutions-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6121:1" rel="noopener">Skyworks Solutions (SWKS US)</a> will be deleted.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 6.4% resulting in a round-trip trade of US$8.8bn. There are 2 stocks with over a yard and a half to trade.</li>
<li>The largest flows will be in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sk-hynix-inc-a4e8e2ec-1a75-4752-b58c-eaa0d074d145" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:50283:1" rel="noopener">SK Hynix (SKHY US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nvidia-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5891:1" rel="noopener">NVIDIA (NVDA US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/advanced-micro-devices-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19009:1" rel="noopener">Advanced Micro Devices (AMD US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/micron-technology-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13382:1" rel="noopener">Micron Technology (MU US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kla-tencor-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1115:1" rel="noopener">KLA-Tencor (KLAC US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asml-holding-nv-b0092428-e3ec-4a92-bdd6-2f6eff7f1879" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28204:1" rel="noopener">ASML Holding (ASML US)</a>. </li>
</ul>


Following its ADR listing, SK Hynix (SKHY US) will be added to the VanEck Vectors Semiconductor (SMH US) ETF in September. Skyworks Solutions (SWKS US) will be deleted.
Estimated one-way turnover is 6.4% resulting in a round-trip trade of US$8.8bn. There are 2 stocks with over a yard and a half to trade.
The largest flows will be in SK Hynix (SKHY US), NVIDIA (NVDA US), Advanced Micro Devices (AMD US), Micron Technology (MU US), KLA-Tencor (KLAC US) and ASML Holding (ASML US). 


MV US Listed Semiconductor 25 Index Rebalance: SK Hynix ADR Added as Trade Nears US$9bn

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>AI boom reflected in record fund ownership in ASML Holding NV (ASML NA), NVIDIA Corp and Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) (2330 TT).</li>
<li>The 'Magnificent 7' group of stocks have hit a record underweight of -6.83% below the MSCI ACWI index.  They collectively account for 11.2% of the average Global fund.</li>
<li>Recovery Stocks: The old guard of At&amp;T Inc (T US), International Business Machines (IBM US) and General Electric (GE US) appear to be gathering some support from active Global funds.</li>
</ul>


AI boom reflected in record fund ownership in ASML Holding NV (ASML NA), NVIDIA Corp and Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) (2330 TT).
The 'Magnificent 7' group of stocks have hit a record underweight of -6.83% below the MSCI ACWI index.  They collectively account for 11.2% of the average Global fund.
Recovery Stocks: The old guard of At&amp;T Inc (T US), International Business Machines (IBM US) and General Electric (GE US) appear to be gathering some support from active Global funds.


Global Stock Positioning:  MSFT Dominates, Mag7 Record U/W, Apple Inflows, Tobacco Uninvestable?

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist, Ingenuity

William Keating

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist

Ingenuity

Our focus is exclusively on in-depth research & consulting in the broader semiconductor industry. We focus on the key players, namely Intel, Micron, Qualcomm, Apple, Samsung, NVIDIA, AMD, TSMC & Global Foundries - as well as some of the lesser known, but nonetheless critical, companies such as ASML (for EUV), Mellanox, Cavium, Xilinx etc. We specialise in their products, roadmaps, process technologies, competitive advantages & threats etc. We also help our clients understand the implications of new and emerging technologies, e.g. 3D X-Point, 3D NAND, Carbon Nanotubes, Autonomous Driving, Graphene, Silicon Photonics, Wafer-Level Optics, Artificial Intelligence, FPGA, GPU, ASIC etc. 

Semiconductor Analysis & Research

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Revenues of $7.05 billion were marginally higher than midpoint of $6.93 billion, up 4% QoQ and up 5% YoY.  Guided current quarter at $7.15 billion +1.5% QoQ , +10.5% YoY</li>
<li>Most WFE share prices have retreated to early 2022 levels, matching with when annual revenues first exceeded the $100 billion level</li>
<li>After a 44% growth spurt in 2021, we have had three years with mostly no growth. We expect the same in 2025. </li>
</ul>


Revenues of $7.05 billion were marginally higher than midpoint of $6.93 billion, up 4% QoQ and up 5% YoY.  Guided current quarter at $7.15 billion +1.5% QoQ , +10.5% YoY
Most WFE share prices have retreated to early 2022 levels, matching with when annual revenues first exceeded the $100 billion level
After a 44% growth spurt in 2021, we have had three years with mostly no growth. We expect the same in 2025. 


For Its WFE Q324 Season Finale, AMAT Returns ASML's Favour & Sinks Semis Yet Again

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) (TSM US)

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing)

<ul>
<li>The fab is the first buyer of Taiwan's robot parts: smart manufacturing was SEMICON Taiwan 2026's largest zone, up 20% against 6% for advanced packaging.</li>
<li>Labor drives the orders: TSMC has about 20 fabs under construction and calls construction workers a limiting factor, while ASE lists labor among six packaging challenges.</li>
<li>TSMC will release its packaging-equipment automation specs and simulation software free in 4Q, which lowers the entry bar for local automation makers.</li>
</ul>


The fab is the first buyer of Taiwan's robot parts: smart manufacturing was SEMICON Taiwan 2026's largest zone, up 20% against 6% for advanced packaging.
Labor drives the orders: TSMC has about 20 fabs under construction and calls construction workers a limiting factor, while ASE lists labor among six packaging challenges.
TSMC will release its packaging-equipment automation specs and simulation software free in 4Q, which lowers the entry bar for local automation makers.


TechChain Insights: Walking SEMICON 2026 Showed the Fab Is the First Buyer of Taiwan's Robot Parts

<ul>
<li>KLA’s annual revenue grew 12% in 2024, 17% in 2025, and is on track for low-20% growth in 2026. Operating profits have expanded by ~400 basis points over this timeframe.</li>
<li>I think growth rates into 2027 are probably in a similar range, maybe higher.  Our backlog is very strong. We just disclosed our backlog of $12.6 billion in our 10-K</li>
<li>KLA’s share of advanced packaging inspection/metrology market rose from ~2% in 2023 to roughly 7%–8% in 2026. This business is growing 70% YoY (~$1.1 billion), roughly 2x market growth rate.</li>
</ul>


KLA’s annual revenue grew 12% in 2024, 17% in 2025, and is on track for low-20% growth in 2026. Operating profits have expanded by ~400 basis points over this timeframe.
I think growth rates into 2027 are probably in a similar range, maybe higher.  Our backlog is very strong. We just disclosed our backlog of $12.6 billion in our 10-K
KLA’s share of advanced packaging inspection/metrology market rose from ~2% in 2023 to roughly 7%–8% in 2026. This business is growing 70% YoY (~$1.1 billion), roughly 2x market growth rate.


KLA Corporation (KLAC) @ Citi Global TMT Conference. Key Takeaways & Full Transcript

Netherlands

ASML Holding N.V. develops, produces, and markets semiconductor manufacturing equipment, specifically machines for the production of chips through lithography. The Company services clients worldwide.

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ASML Holding NV (ASML US)

MV US Listed Semiconductor 25 Index Rebalance: SK Hynix ADR Added as Trade Nears US$9bn

SK Hynix ADR replaces Skyworks in the index. Estimated one-way turnover is 6.4% resulting in a round-trip trade of US$8.8bn. Watch the Hynix ADR...

Brian Freitas

Global Stock Positioning: MSFT Dominates, Mag7 Record U/W, Apple Inflows, Tobacco Uninvestable?

The latest in stock-level investor positioning among over 300 active Global funds. We explore the AI boom, key over/underweights, Tobacco's...

Steven Holden

For Its WFE Q324 Season Finale, AMAT Returns ASML's Favour & Sinks Semis Yet Again

AMAT's so-so quarter & outlook tanked semis as earnings season ends, just like ASML did when it began. Most WFE share prices are now back at early...

William Keating

TechChain Insights: Walking SEMICON 2026 Showed the Fab Is the First Buyer of Taiwan's Robot Parts

Labor drives the orders: TSMC has about 20 fabs under construction and calls construction workers a limiting factor, while ASE lists labor among...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

KLA Corporation (KLAC) @ Citi Global TMT Conference. Key Takeaways & Full Transcript

KLA’s share of advanced packaging inspection/metrology market rose from ~2% in 2023 to roughly 7%–8% in 2026. This business is growing 70% YoY...

William Keating

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