External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

HDFC securities is the best online trading platform for stocks, IPOs, mutual fund in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>In Q2FY25, our coverage universe’s revenue is expected to grow by 4% YoY (volume-driven)</li><li>Pipes demand has weakened in Q2. Pipes channel inventory is low owing to decreasing resin prices</li><li>The tiles and wood panel sectors continue to deliver sub-par volume performance</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

In Q2FY25, our coverage universe’s revenue is expected to grow by 4% YoY (volume-driven)Pipes demand has weakened in Q2. Pipes channel inventory is low owing to decreasing resin pricesThe tiles and wood panel sectors continue to deliver sub-par volume performanceContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Building Materials (Q2FY25 Results Preview): Muted Demand Compresses Margins

<ul><li>Siemens: Siemens India Ltd (SIL) delivered weak standalone Q3FY24 revenue/EBITDA/APAT of INR 47.6/6.1/5.3bn, missing our estimates by 13.3/22.1/18.9%</li><li>EBITDA margin was 12.8%(+148bps/-207bps YoY/QoQ) vs our estimate of 14.2%</li><li>SIL received new orders worth INR 62.5bn (+18/+17.1% YoY/QoQ), which is strong, considering the slowdown in bid/order process amid election season</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Siemens: Siemens India Ltd (SIL) delivered weak standalone Q3FY24 revenue/EBITDA/APAT of INR 47.6/6.1/5.3bn, missing our estimates by 13.3/22.1/18.9%EBITDA margin was 12.8%(+148bps/-207bps YoY/QoQ) vs our estimate of 14.2%SIL received new orders worth INR 62.5bn (+18/+17.1% YoY/QoQ), which is strong, considering the slowdown in bid/order process amid election seasonContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Siemens, Trent, Infoedge, Balkrishna Industries, Astral, Gujarat State Petronet

<ul><li>In Q1FY25, our coverage universe’s revenue is expected to grow by 13% YoY (volume-driven)</li><li>Like earlier quarters, volume growth remains healthy in the pipes sector</li><li>The tiles and wood panel sectors continue to deliver muted volume performance</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

In Q1FY25, our coverage universe’s revenue is expected to grow by 13% YoY (volume-driven)Like earlier quarters, volume growth remains healthy in the pipes sectorThe tiles and wood panel sectors continue to deliver muted volume performanceContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Building Materials (Q1FY25 Results Preview): Sectoral Dynamics Remain Unchanged

<ul><li>Oil India: Our ADD recommendation on Oil India with a target price of INR 680 is premised on oil production growth at 9% CAGR and gas production growth at 26% CAGR over FY24-26E</li><li>Q4FY24 EBITDA stood at INR 23bn (-1% YoY, +11% QoQ), and PAT at INR 20bn (+14% YoY, +28% QoQ) came in above our estimate, driven by higher-than-expected realisations and higher other income</li><li>Oil and gas production stood at 1.65mmtoe (+5% YoY, -1% QoQ), below our estimates. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Oil India: Our ADD recommendation on Oil India with a target price of INR 680 is premised on oil production growth at 9% CAGR and gas production growth at 26% CAGR over FY24-26EQ4FY24 EBITDA stood at INR 23bn (-1% YoY, +11% QoQ), and PAT at INR 20bn (+14% YoY, +28% QoQ) came in above our estimate, driven by higher-than-expected realisations and higher other incomeOil and gas production stood at 1.65mmtoe (+5% YoY, -1% QoQ), below our estimates. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Oil India, Astral, Eris Lifesciences, Aether Industries

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The Closing Auction Session (CAS) kicked off on 3 August for Indian stocks that are part of the Futures &amp; Options (F&amp;O) segment of the market.</li>
<li>Daily total turnover in CAS since launch has averaged around US$128m. In comparison, global passives will need to trade around US$4bn of F&amp;O stocks at the CAS on 31 August.</li>
<li>There could be large moves in affected stocks in the lead up to the CAS on Monday, followed by more large moves at CAS, and a potential reversal on Tuesday. </li>
</ul>


The Closing Auction Session (CAS) kicked off on 3 August for Indian stocks that are part of the Futures &amp; Options (F&amp;O) segment of the market.
Daily total turnover in CAS since launch has averaged around US$128m. In comparison, global passives will need to trade around US$4bn of F&amp;O stocks at the CAS on 31 August.
There could be large moves in affected stocks in the lead up to the CAS on Monday, followed by more large moves at CAS, and a potential reversal on Tuesday. 


India: Key CAS Test on Monday as Global Index Rebalances

India

Astral Polytechnik Limited manufactures and markets CPVC plumbing systems for residential and industrial applications. The Company also manufactures ASTM solvent weld lead free PVC plumbing systems.

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Astral Ltd (ASTRA IN)

Building Materials (Q2FY25 Results Preview): Muted Demand Compresses Margins

In Q2FY25, our coverage universe’s revenue is expected to grow by 4% YoY (volume-driven). Pipes demand has weakened in Q2. Pipes channel inventory...

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: Siemens, Trent, Infoedge, Balkrishna Industries, Astral, Gujarat State Petronet

Siemens India Ltd (SIL) delivered weak standalone Q3FY24 revenue/EBITDA/APAT of INR 47.6/6.1/5.3bn, missing our estimates by 13.3/22.1/18.9%

HDFC Securities

Building Materials (Q1FY25 Results Preview): Sectoral Dynamics Remain Unchanged

In Q1FY25, our coverage universe’s revenue is expected to grow by 13% YoY (volume-driven). Like earlier quarters, volume growth remains healthy in...

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: Oil India, Astral, Eris Lifesciences, Aether Industries

Our ADD recommendation on Oil India with a target price of INR 680 is premised on oil production growth at 9% CAGR and gas production growth at 26%...

HDFC Securities

India: Key CAS Test on Monday as Global Index Rebalances

CAS kicked off on 3 August and turnover has averaged US$128m. A global index rebalance on Monday will require passives to trade many multiples of...

Brian Freitas

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