Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The Closing Auction Session (CAS) kicked off on 3 August for Indian stocks that are part of the Futures &amp; Options (F&amp;O) segment of the market.</li>
<li>Daily total turnover in CAS since launch has averaged around US$128m. In comparison, global passives will need to trade around US$4bn of F&amp;O stocks at the CAS on 31 August.</li>
<li>There could be large moves in affected stocks in the lead up to the CAS on Monday, followed by more large moves at CAS, and a potential reversal on Tuesday. </li>
</ul>


The Closing Auction Session (CAS) kicked off on 3 August for Indian stocks that are part of the Futures &amp; Options (F&amp;O) segment of the market.
Daily total turnover in CAS since launch has averaged around US$128m. In comparison, global passives will need to trade around US$4bn of F&amp;O stocks at the CAS on 31 August.
There could be large moves in affected stocks in the lead up to the CAS on Monday, followed by more large moves at CAS, and a potential reversal on Tuesday. 


India: Key CAS Test on Monday as Global Index Rebalances

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

HDFC securities is the best online trading platform for stocks, IPOs, mutual fund in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>In Q3FY24, our coverage universe’s revenue/EBITDA/APAT are expected to grow by 8/31/43% YoY respectively</li><li>Revenue growth is muted owing to sub-par demand for tiles, wood panels and lower realisation for pipes</li><li>EBITDA/ PAT will rise strongly, mainly owing to higher inventory loss (pipes) and gas price (tiles) in the base quarter</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

In Q3FY24, our coverage universe’s revenue/EBITDA/APAT are expected to grow by 8/31/43% YoY respectivelyRevenue growth is muted owing to sub-par demand for tiles, wood panels and lower realisation for pipesEBITDA/ PAT will rise strongly, mainly owing to higher inventory loss (pipes) and gas price (tiles) in the base quarterContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Building Materials (Q3FY24 Results Preview): No Sign of Demand Revival, Stable Margins

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>Samvat 2079 proved to be an intriguing year for the Indian equity market, characterized by notable volatility in the first half.</li><li>Several factors contributed to this turbulence, including a) A hawkish central bank view on the interest rates, b) Rising bond yields, c) Rising Covid-19 cases in China towards the end of 2022, d) Imposition of lockdowns in the Chinese economy, e) Union budget-related developments, and f) Other macroeconomic challenges.</li><li>These occurrences collectively subdued market performance in the first half of Samvat. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Samvat 2079 proved to be an intriguing year for the Indian equity market, characterized by notable volatility in the first half.Several factors contributed to this turbulence, including a) A hawkish central bank view on the interest rates, b) Rising bond yields, c) Rising Covid-19 cases in China towards the end of 2022, d) Imposition of lockdowns in the Chinese economy, e) Union budget-related developments, and f) Other macroeconomic challenges.These occurrences collectively subdued market performance in the first half of Samvat. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

<ul><li>Hindustan Unilever: HUL’s revenue growth of 3.5% YoY was slow but in line with expectations</li><li>Volume growth was at 2% (HSIE 3%) and sustained a four-year CAGR at &lt;3%</li><li>Rural recovery has been slow despite price cuts and overall softening in the inflation</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Hindustan Unilever: HUL’s revenue growth of 3.5% YoY was slow but in line with expectationsVolume growth was at 2% (HSIE 3%) and sustained a four-year CAGR at &lt;3%Rural recovery has been slow despite price cuts and overall softening in the inflationContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Hindustan Unilever, ITC, UltraTech Cement

<ul><li>Berger Paints: BRGR grew 9.8% growth YoY to INR30.3bn (broadly in-line HSIE: INR30bn)</li><li>Decorative business grew 11.4% (~14% volume growth)</li><li>Industrial businesses performed well, aided by improved realization</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Berger Paints: BRGR grew 9.8% growth YoY to INR30.3bn (broadly in-line HSIE: INR30bn)Decorative business grew 11.4% (~14% volume growth)Industrial businesses performed well, aided by improved realizationContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Berger Paints, Infoedge, Astral, Fsn E-Commerce Ventures (Nykaa)

India

Astral Polytechnik Limited manufactures and markets CPVC plumbing systems for residential and industrial applications. The Company also manufactures ASTM solvent weld lead free PVC plumbing systems.

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Astral Ltd (ASTRA IN)

India: Key CAS Test on Monday as Global Index Rebalances

CAS kicked off on 3 August and turnover has averaged US$128m. A global index rebalance on Monday will require passives to trade many multiples of...

Brian Freitas

Building Materials (Q3FY24 Results Preview): No Sign of Demand Revival, Stable Margins

In Q3FY24, our coverage universe’s revenue/EBITDA/APAT are expected to grow by 8/31/43% YoY respectively. Revenue growth is muted owing to sub-par...

HDFC Securities

Diwali Muhurat Picks SAMVAT 2080

Samvat 2079 proved to be an intriguing year for the Indian equity market, characterized by notable volatility in the first half.

Axis Direct

HSIE Results Daily: Hindustan Unilever, ITC, UltraTech Cement

Hindustan Unilever: HUL’s revenue growth of 3.5% YoY was slow but in line with expectations. Volume growth was at 2% (HSIE 3%) and sustained a four...

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: Berger Paints, Infoedge, Astral, Fsn E-Commerce Ventures (Nykaa)

Berger Paints: BRGR grew 9.8% growth YoY to INR30.3bn (broadly in-line HSIE: INR30bn). Decorative business grew 11.4% (~14% volume growth)

HDFC Securities

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