External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Emkay Global Financial Services Limited

Emkay

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Emkay Global Financial Services Limited

Emkay Global Financial Services Ltd. is a leader in the financial services sector, actively creating wealth for our clients for over two decades. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Equity Bottom-Up

AU Small Finance Bank Limited / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>AU SFB logged a muted performance with a 5% miss on PAT at Rs5.3bn/RoA at 1.5%, mainly on lower other income and elevated provisions owing to ongoing stress in unsecured loans (MFI, Cards, PL) and seasonality impact on the agri and wheels book.</li><li>The management indicated that 20% of the MFI portfolio (MFI book is 7% of overall loans) will be impacted by the MFIN 2.0 guidelines, and thus expects higher slippages/credit cost in Q4.</li><li>The bank has taken corrective measures in the Card business, but stress could remain elevated in 4Q.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

AU SFB logged a muted performance with a 5% miss on PAT at Rs5.3bn/RoA at 1.5%, mainly on lower other income and elevated provisions owing to ongoing stress in unsecured loans (MFI, Cards, PL) and seasonality impact on the agri and wheels book.The management indicated that 20% of the MFI portfolio (MFI book is 7% of overall loans) will be impacted by the MFIN 2.0 guidelines, and thus expects higher slippages/credit cost in Q4.The bank has taken corrective measures in the Card business, but stress could remain elevated in 4Q.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

AU Small Finance Bank - Stress to Persist in near Term, but Eyes Glued on 1.6% RoA

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>Near-term asset quality challenges persist; Stability likely from Q2FY26: AUSFB’s asset quality deterioration was primarily owing to elevated slippages mainly from the unsecured portfolio (microfinance, credit cards and PL) and the impact of seasonality in the wheels and agribusiness.</li><li>In the credit card portfolio, slippages remain elevated due to lapses in digital underwriting without adequate guards.</li><li>However, the bank has taken corrective measures by (i) Reducing credit lines, (ii) Undertaking a detailed evaluation of the existing customer base and taking appropriate pre-emptive actions on potentially delinquent customers, (iii) Blocking certain misused categories of merchants, and (iv) Strengthening daily transaction monitoring to identify and restrict misusing customers and merchants.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Near-term asset quality challenges persist; Stability likely from Q2FY26: AUSFB’s asset quality deterioration was primarily owing to elevated slippages mainly from the unsecured portfolio (microfinance, credit cards and PL) and the impact of seasonality in the wheels and agribusiness.In the credit card portfolio, slippages remain elevated due to lapses in digital underwriting without adequate guards.However, the bank has taken corrective measures by (i) Reducing credit lines, (ii) Undertaking a detailed evaluation of the existing customer base and taking appropriate pre-emptive actions on potentially delinquent customers, (iii) Blocking certain misused categories of merchants, and (iv) Strengthening daily transaction monitoring to identify and restrict misusing customers and merchants.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

AU Small Finance Bank Ltd - Operationally Healthy, Asset Quality Deteriorates!

Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX)</a> and the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-bank-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26811:1" rel="noopener">NSE Nifty Bank Index (NSEBANK INDEX EQUITY)</a> reached all-time highs on 26 September 2024 but have since declined.</li>
<li>Most stocks in the Bank Index have fallen below their 200 and 50 day moving average,. Volatilities have gone up, but trade cheap when compared to historical levels.</li>
<li>Opportunities present themselves either in stocks that stayed resilient during the downturn (<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/federal-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11784:1" rel="noopener">Federal Bank (FB IN)),</a>or fell and gained in implied volatility. A long-short strategy might also be considered.</li>
</ul>


The NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX) and the NSE Nifty Bank Index (NSEBANK INDEX EQUITY) reached all-time highs on 26 September 2024 but have since declined.
Most stocks in the Bank Index have fallen below their 200 and 50 day moving average,. Volatilities have gone up, but trade cheap when compared to historical levels.
Opportunities present themselves either in stocks that stayed resilient during the downturn (Federal Bank (FB IN)),or fell and gained in implied volatility. A long-short strategy might also be considered.


EQD | Nifty Banks – Single Stock Options and Relative Value Opportunities

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

Aditya Birla Capital Ltd / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There will be 19 constituent changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 30 December.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 64.6% resulting in a round-trip trade of INR 161.3bn (US$1.8bn). There are 27 stocks with over 1x ADV to trade.</li>
<li>Some stocks will have passive flows from other index trackers at the same time while others are potential adds/close adds to global indices over the next couple of months.</li>
</ul>


There will be 19 constituent changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 30 December.
Estimated one-way turnover is 64.6% resulting in a round-trip trade of INR 161.3bn (US$1.8bn). There are 27 stocks with over 1x ADV to trade.
Some stocks will have passive flows from other index trackers at the same time while others are potential adds/close adds to global indices over the next couple of months.


NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance: Huge Turnover and Flow in December

<ul>
<li>There could be 19 constituent changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 30 December.</li>
<li>If all changes are on expected lines, one-way turnover is estimated at 64.2% and that will result in a round-trip trade of INR 163bn (US$1.8bn).</li>
<li>The adds have outperformed the deletes in the short-term. With the index based on momentum, there could be further gains over the next couple of weeks.</li>
</ul>


There could be 19 constituent changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 30 December.
If all changes are on expected lines, one-way turnover is estimated at 64.2% and that will result in a round-trip trade of INR 163bn (US$1.8bn).
The adds have outperformed the deletes in the short-term. With the index based on momentum, there could be further gains over the next couple of weeks.


NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance Preview: 64% One-Way Turnover & US$1.8bn Trade

India

AU Small Finance Bank Limited operates as a commercial bank. The Bank offers financial products and services such as savings and current accounts, term deposits, debit cards, insurance, government banking, retail loans, and microfinance lending. AU Small Finance Bank serves customers in India.

AU Small Finance Bank Limited (AUBANK IN)

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AU Small Finance Bank Limited (AUBANK IN)

AU Small Finance Bank - Stress to Persist in near Term, but Eyes Glued on 1.6% RoA

U SFB logged a muted performance with a 5% miss on PAT at Rs5.3bn/RoA at 1.5%, mainly on lower other income and elevated provisions owing to...

Emkay

AU Small Finance Bank Ltd - Operationally Healthy, Asset Quality Deteriorates!

AUSFB’s asset quality deterioration was primarily owing to elevated slippages mainly from the unsecured portfolio (microfinance, credit cards and PL)

Axis Direct

EQD | Nifty Banks – Single Stock Options and Relative Value Opportunities

The NSE Nifty Bank Index hit a record high in September 2024 but has since dropped. Option opportunities are found in resilient or volatile bank...

Gaudenz Schneider

NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance: Huge Turnover and Flow in December

There are 19 changes for the index in Dec. Estimated one-way turnover is 64.6% resulting in a round-trip trade of INR 161.3bn (US$1.8bn). There are...

Brian Freitas

NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance Preview: 64% One-Way Turnover & US$1.8bn Trade

We forecast 19 changes for the index in Dec. One-way turnover is estimated at 64.2% resulting in a round-trip trade of INR 163bn (US$1.8bn). The...

Brian Freitas

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