External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>The macro environment entering Q4FY26 has shifted from relative stability to a more challenging phase, driven by a combination of elevated crude oil prices, currency depreciation, and inflationary pressures.</li><li>India, being structurally strong with resilient domestic demand and healthy corporate balance sheets, continues to remain better positioned than peers.</li><li>However, the recent spike in crude prices and global uncertainties has introduced near-term risks to both macroeconomic stability and corporate profitability.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The macro environment entering Q4FY26 has shifted from relative stability to a more challenging phase, driven by a combination of elevated crude oil prices, currency depreciation, and inflationary pressures.India, being structurally strong with resilient domestic demand and healthy corporate balance sheets, continues to remain better positioned than peers.However, the recent spike in crude prices and global uncertainties has introduced near-term risks to both macroeconomic stability and corporate profitability.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Earnings Preview - Q4FY26 - (Consolidated)

<ul><li>Credit growth has revived strongly (~15% YoY for our coverage universe), led by SFBs and PSBs/Mid-sized private banks, though geopolitical risks may weigh on momentum.</li><li>Deposit growth continues to lag, keeping funding costs elevated and competition for CASA intense. NIM trends are expected to remain divergent, with mid-sized banks and SFBs seeing NIM uptick, while large private banks and PSBs defend margins amid yield compression and sticky CoD.</li><li>NBFCs are expected to deliver strong AUM growth (led by diversified, vehicle, and gold financiers) and earnings growth (driven by lower credit costs). </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Credit growth has revived strongly (~15% YoY for our coverage universe), led by SFBs and PSBs/Mid-sized private banks, though geopolitical risks may weigh on momentum.Deposit growth continues to lag, keeping funding costs elevated and competition for CASA intense. NIM trends are expected to remain divergent, with mid-sized banks and SFBs seeing NIM uptick, while large private banks and PSBs defend margins amid yield compression and sticky CoD.NBFCs are expected to deliver strong AUM growth (led by diversified, vehicle, and gold financiers) and earnings growth (driven by lower credit costs). Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Banking, Financial Services and Insurance (BFSI) - Q4FY26: Earnings Preview

<ul><li>Over 9MFY26, the sector presented two distinct narratives for banks and NBFCs.</li><li>Phase 1 proved challenging, with headwinds largely playing out over H1FY26 and was characterised by slower disbursement and loan growth, deposit mobilisation pressures for banks, squeezed margins given RBI repo rate cuts, and elevated stress in the unsecured lending segments.</li><li>However, Phase 2, which began unfolding in Q3, was meaningfully better with most banks and NBFCs reporting an earnings surprise aided by gradually moderating credit costs as unsecured segment stress ebbed, the ability to maintain NIMs despite rate cuts in Dec’25 (though only partial impact was visible), continuous asset quality improvement, and a decisive credit growth recovery. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Over 9MFY26, the sector presented two distinct narratives for banks and NBFCs.Phase 1 proved challenging, with headwinds largely playing out over H1FY26 and was characterised by slower disbursement and loan growth, deposit mobilisation pressures for banks, squeezed margins given RBI repo rate cuts, and elevated stress in the unsecured lending segments.However, Phase 2, which began unfolding in Q3, was meaningfully better with most banks and NBFCs reporting an earnings surprise aided by gradually moderating credit costs as unsecured segment stress ebbed, the ability to maintain NIMs despite rate cuts in Dec’25 (though only partial impact was visible), continuous asset quality improvement, and a decisive credit growth recovery. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Banks and NBFCs Sector Update - Fundamentals Firm, Valuations Now More Compelling

Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

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<ul>
<li>Gold loan specialised NBFCs are witnessing aggressive market share erosion as commercial banks leverage lower funding costs to capture nearly 50% of the gold loan sector.</li>
<li>This fierce competition has crashed industry yields to sub-19% levels, severely compressing NIMs and forcing established players into a defensive operating posture.</li>
<li>Lenders are now halting foreclosures to retain existing borrowers while slashing interest rates and expanding branch networks to protect their shrinking market territories.</li>
</ul>


Gold loan specialised NBFCs are witnessing aggressive market share erosion as commercial banks leverage lower funding costs to capture nearly 50% of the gold loan sector.
This fierce competition has crashed industry yields to sub-19% levels, severely compressing NIMs and forcing established players into a defensive operating posture.
Lenders are now halting foreclosures to retain existing borrowers while slashing interest rates and expanding branch networks to protect their shrinking market territories.


Defensive Pivots in Gold Lending: How NBFCs Are Fighting the 50% Banking Takeover?

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

HDFC securities is the best online trading platform for stocks, IPOs, mutual fund in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>Persistent Systems: Persistent Systems (PSYS) delivered a strong Q3FY26, beating expectations with +4.1% QoQ CC revenue growth and a +40bps QoQ adjusted margin expansion, driven by robust execution</li><li>Growth was broad-based, led by strong performance in the Healthcare and BFSI verticals and the Americas region</li><li>The order book remained healthy with a new TTM TCV of USD 369mn (+11% YoY) and new ACV of USD 256mn (+31% YoY), supporting a continued growth momentum</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Persistent Systems: Persistent Systems (PSYS) delivered a strong Q3FY26, beating expectations with +4.1% QoQ CC revenue growth and a +40bps QoQ adjusted margin expansion, driven by robust executionGrowth was broad-based, led by strong performance in the Healthcare and BFSI verticals and the Americas regionThe order book remained healthy with a new TTM TCV of USD 369mn (+11% YoY) and new ACV of USD 256mn (+31% YoY), supporting a continued growth momentumContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Persistent Systems, AU Small Finance Bank, Oberoi Realty, CreditAccess Grameen

India

AU Small Finance Bank Limited is an Indian scheduled commercial small finance bank. It offers a diverse range of products including savings accounts, current accounts, fixed deposits, loans (vehicle, MSME, housing, personal, gold, agriculture), debit and credit cards, and insurance. The company was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Jaipur, Rajasthan, India.

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AU Small Finance Bank (AUBANK IN)

Earnings Preview - Q4FY26 - (Consolidated)

India, being structurally strong with resilient domestic demand and healthy corporate balance sheets, continues to remain better positioned than...

Axis Direct

Banking, Financial Services and Insurance (BFSI) - Q4FY26: Earnings Preview

Credit growth has revived strongly (~15% YoY for our coverage universe), led by SFBs and PSBs/Mid-sized private banks, though geopolitical risks...

Axis Direct

Banks and NBFCs Sector Update - Fundamentals Firm, Valuations Now More Compelling

Phase 1 proved challenging, with headwinds largely playing out over H1FY26 and was characterised by slower disbursement and loan growth, deposit...

Axis Direct

Defensive Pivots in Gold Lending: How NBFCs Are Fighting the 50% Banking Takeover?

Commercial banks are taking over the gold loan sector, causing market share erosion and forcing specialized NBFCs to lower interest rates and halt...

Nimish Maheshwari

HSIE Results Daily: Persistent Systems, AU Small Finance Bank, Oberoi Realty, CreditAccess Grameen

Persistent Systems (PSYS) delivered a strong Q3FY26, beating expectations with +4.1% QoQ CC revenue growth and a +40bps QoQ adjusted margin...

HDFC Securities

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52-week Range

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Earnings Preview - Q4FY26 - (Consolidated)

India, being structurally strong with resilient domestic demand and healthy corporate balance sheets, continues to remain better positioned than...

Axis Direct

Banking, Financial Services and Insurance (BFSI) - Q4FY26: Earnings Preview

Credit growth has revived strongly (~15% YoY for our coverage universe), led by SFBs and PSBs/Mid-sized private banks, though geopolitical risks...

Axis Direct

Banks and NBFCs Sector Update - Fundamentals Firm, Valuations Now More Compelling

Phase 1 proved challenging, with headwinds largely playing out over H1FY26 and was characterised by slower disbursement and loan growth, deposit...

Axis Direct

Defensive Pivots in Gold Lending: How NBFCs Are Fighting the 50% Banking Takeover?

​Commercial banks are taking over the gold loan sector, causing market share erosion and forcing specialized NBFCs to lower interest rates and halt...

Nimish Maheshwari

HSIE Results Daily: Persistent Systems, AU Small Finance Bank, Oberoi Realty, CreditAccess Grameen

Persistent Systems (PSYS) delivered a strong Q3FY26, beating expectations with +4.1% QoQ CC revenue growth and a +40bps QoQ adjusted margin...

HDFC Securities

Commercial banks are taking over the gold loan sector, causing market share erosion and forcing specialized NBFCs to lower interest rates and halt...