External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

HDFC securities is the best online trading platform for stocks, IPOs, mutual fund in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>HCL Technologies: HCL Tech demonstrated resilient performance across its services (+0.7% QoQ CC) and software businesses (+4.9% YoY CC) amidst a global environment characterised by increasing uncertainty and reduced discretionary spending</li><li>While IT services revenue saw a slight sequential decline (-0.3% QoQ CC), the ER&amp;D revenue registered strong growth of 5.5% QoQ CC, and the software business was impacted by seasonality</li><li>Looking ahead, HCL Tech anticipates a modest growth outlook (2-5% YoY CC) with stable profitability (EBIT 18-19%), acknowledging the potential for further deterioration in the macroeconomic environment that could impact client IT spending</li><li>The services business has consistently outperformed peers over the last two years with AI and Gen AI becoming integral part of most of the deals</li><li>Despite these uncertainties, HCL Tech experienced strong deal bookings in Q4 FY25, indicating continued client engagement, and the pipeline remains robust with net-new TCV of USD 2.9bn (+30% YoY)</li><li>The impact of global uncertainty is expected to potentially supress discretionary spending and necessitate strong ROI justifications for new projects, although efficiency-driven and AI-led initiatives will drive deal conversations</li><li>We cut our revenue estimate by ~3-4% and maintain our ADD rating with a target price of INR 1,720, based on 22x FY27E EPS</li><li>Havells India: Havells’ Q4 revenue grew by a healthy 20% YoY to INR 65bn, aided by 21/40% growth in cable/Lloyd segments</li><li>However, gross margin contracted by 70bps YoY, but this was offset by lower employee and ad spends</li><li>So, EBITDAM was maintained YoY at 11.6%, translating into 20% EBITDA growth</li><li>Performance across segments was mixed: switchgear revenue grew but margins declined; cable revenue saw strong growth with stable margins; lighting revenue saw minimal growth with margin contraction; ECD revenue and margins both improved; and Lloyd's exhibited significant revenue and margin expansion</li><li>Management highlighted that secondary sales for AC and fans have been weak in March and April due to the delayed summer</li><li>We maintain ADD rating and value the company at 50x Mar-27E EPS to arrive at a TP of INR 1,650/sh.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HCL Technologies: HCL Tech demonstrated resilient performance across its services (+0.7% QoQ CC) and software businesses (+4.9% YoY CC) amidst a global environment characterised by increasing uncertainty and reduced discretionary spendingWhile IT services revenue saw a slight sequential decline (-0.3% QoQ CC), the ER&amp;D revenue registered strong growth of 5.5% QoQ CC, and the software business was impacted by seasonalityLooking ahead, HCL Tech anticipates a modest growth outlook (2-5% YoY CC) with stable profitability (EBIT 18-19%), acknowledging the potential for further deterioration in the macroeconomic environment that could impact client IT spendingThe services business has consistently outperformed peers over the last two years with AI and Gen AI becoming integral part of most of the dealsDespite these uncertainties, HCL Tech experienced strong deal bookings in Q4 FY25, indicating continued client engagement, and the pipeline remains robust with net-new TCV of USD 2.9bn (+30% YoY)The impact of global uncertainty is expected to potentially supress discretionary spending and necessitate strong ROI justifications for new projects, although efficiency-driven and AI-led initiatives will drive deal conversationsWe cut our revenue estimate by ~3-4% and maintain our ADD rating with a target price of INR 1,720, based on 22x FY27E EPSHavells India: Havells’ Q4 revenue grew by a healthy 20% YoY to INR 65bn, aided by 21/40% growth in cable/Lloyd segmentsHowever, gross margin contracted by 70bps YoY, but this was offset by lower employee and ad spendsSo, EBITDAM was maintained YoY at 11.6%, translating into 20% EBITDA growthPerformance across segments was mixed: switchgear revenue grew but margins declined; cable revenue saw strong growth with stable margins; lighting revenue saw minimal growth with margin contraction; ECD revenue and margins both improved; and Lloyd's exhibited significant revenue and margin expansionManagement highlighted that secondary sales for AC and fans have been weak in March and April due to the delayed summerWe maintain ADD rating and value the company at 50x Mar-27E EPS to arrive at a TP of INR 1,650/sh.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: HCL Technologies, Havells India, AU Small Finance Bank

<ul><li>SBI Life Insurance: SBILIFE’s H1FY25 VNB printed at INR24.2bn (+2.5% YoY), as the VNB margin softened to 26.8% (-180bps YoY) on the back of a higher share of ULIP in the overall APE mix at 69% (H1FY24: 64%)</li><li>Based on the management commentary, we maintain our APE growth forecast (+14% YoY), driven by sustained growth in individual business, and a weak Q4FY24 in the base</li><li>Our high conviction BUY is anchored on three powerful and sustainable moats: (a) exclusive access to SBI’s massive distribution network (branch penetration at ~2%), (b) scope for improvement in margin-accretive traditional mix, and (c) cost leadership (excl renewal comm)/APE ratio among peers (H1FY25: 37.1%, H1FY24: 36.3%)</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

SBI Life Insurance: SBILIFE’s H1FY25 VNB printed at INR24.2bn (+2.5% YoY), as the VNB margin softened to 26.8% (-180bps YoY) on the back of a higher share of ULIP in the overall APE mix at 69% (H1FY24: 64%)Based on the management commentary, we maintain our APE growth forecast (+14% YoY), driven by sustained growth in individual business, and a weak Q4FY24 in the baseOur high conviction BUY is anchored on three powerful and sustainable moats: (a) exclusive access to SBI’s massive distribution network (branch penetration at ~2%), (b) scope for improvement in margin-accretive traditional mix, and (c) cost leadership (excl renewal comm)/APE ratio among peers (H1FY25: 37.1%, H1FY24: 36.3%)Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: SBI Life Insurance, Godrej Properties, SRF, AU Small Finance Bank

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>Samvat 2080 has proven to be a remarkable period for the Indian equity market, marked by the continuous achievement of new milestones each quarter.</li><li>Notably, our benchmark index, the Nifty 50, reached the historic milestone of 26,216 on September 26, 2024, for the first time ever.</li><li>This achievement has propelled the Indian market capitalization to surpass the $5 Trillion mark, positioning it as the fourth largest market globally. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Samvat 2080 has proven to be a remarkable period for the Indian equity market, marked by the continuous achievement of new milestones each quarter.Notably, our benchmark index, the Nifty 50, reached the historic milestone of 26,216 on September 26, 2024, for the first time ever.This achievement has propelled the Indian market capitalization to surpass the $5 Trillion mark, positioning it as the fourth largest market globally. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>The ‘status quo’ on policy rates and change in stance from ‘Withdrawal of Accommodation’ to ‘Neutral’ was on expected lines.</li><li>This has set the stage for a rate cut and we expect a rate cut announcement in the Feb’25 meeting.</li><li>The regulator has maintained its growth and inflation forecast for FY25 with a few minor tweaks. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The ‘status quo’ on policy rates and change in stance from ‘Withdrawal of Accommodation’ to ‘Neutral’ was on expected lines.This has set the stage for a rate cut and we expect a rate cut announcement in the Feb’25 meeting.The regulator has maintained its growth and inflation forecast for FY25 with a few minor tweaks. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Event Update: RBI Monetary Policy - October 2024

<ul><li>The systemic credit growth (as of 20th Sep’24) continued to remain healthy at 13% YoY.</li><li>This growth continues to be led by Retail and SMEs, while corporate credit continues to remain sluggish.</li><li>The deceleration in credit growth is most likely primarily amongst the private sector banks as they aim to reduce their LDR and maintain them at balance levels. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The systemic credit growth (as of 20th Sep’24) continued to remain healthy at 13% YoY.This growth continues to be led by Retail and SMEs, while corporate credit continues to remain sluggish.The deceleration in credit growth is most likely primarily amongst the private sector banks as they aim to reduce their LDR and maintain them at balance levels. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Q2FY25 Earnings Preview - Banks, Financial Services and Insurance

India

AU Small Finance Bank Limited is an Indian scheduled commercial small finance bank. It offers a diverse range of products including savings accounts, current accounts, fixed deposits, loans (vehicle, MSME, housing, personal, gold, agriculture), debit and credit cards, and insurance. The company was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Jaipur, Rajasthan, India.

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AU Small Finance Bank (AUBANK IN)

HSIE Results Daily: HCL Technologies, Havells India, AU Small Finance Bank

While IT services revenue saw a slight sequential decline (-0.3% QoQ CC), the ER&D revenue registered strong growth of 5.5% QoQ CC, and the...

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: SBI Life Insurance, Godrej Properties, SRF, AU Small Finance Bank

SBILIFE’s H1FY25 VNB printed at INR24.2bn (+2.5% YoY), as the VNB margin softened to 26.8% (-180bps YoY) on the back of a higher share of ULIP in...

HDFC Securities

Diamonds In The Dust - Samvat 2081

Samvat 2080 has proven to be a remarkable period for the Indian equity market, marked by the continuous achievement of new milestones each quarter.

Axis Direct

Event Update: RBI Monetary Policy - October 2024

The ‘status quo’ on policy rates and change in stance from ‘Withdrawal of Accommodation’ to ‘Neutral’ was on expected lines. This has set the stage...

Axis Direct

Q2FY25 Earnings Preview - Banks, Financial Services and Insurance

Mirroring the systemic credit growth trends, we expect banks under our coverage (incl. SFBs) to register credit growth of ~14/4% YoY/QoQ.

Axis Direct

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