External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

HDFC securities is the best online trading platform for stocks, IPOs, mutual fund in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>India’s heterogenous unsecured retail credit market (US$160bn, 3-year CAGR at ~23%) has been in the headlines ever since the RBI clamped down on select categories of consumer credit</li><li>Our discussions with experts suggest that the RBI’s note of caution is largely centred on small-ticket personal loans (STPL) (ticket size</li><li>The RBI’s risk-weight measures are likely to increase the hurdle rate for banks and NBFCs towards unsecured consumer loans, resulting in a material growth deceleration</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

India’s heterogenous unsecured retail credit market (US$160bn, 3-year CAGR at ~23%) has been in the headlines ever since the RBI clamped down on select categories of consumer creditOur discussions with experts suggest that the RBI’s note of caution is largely centred on small-ticket personal loans (STPL) (ticket sizeThe RBI’s risk-weight measures are likely to increase the hurdle rate for banks and NBFCs towards unsecured consumer loans, resulting in a material growth decelerationContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Leveraged Financials: Emerging Long-Tail Risks in Unsecured Credit

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>Our POW calls delivered an excellent Monthly strike rate of 84% in Oct’23.</li><li>Calls that successfully achieved their target were Nestle India (~10%), Aptus Value Housing Finance (10%), and Equitas Small Finance Bank (10%).</li><li>ICICI Bank LtdAxis Alpha reported an astounding monthly strike rate of 80% in Oct’23.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Our POW calls delivered an excellent Monthly strike rate of 84% in Oct’23.Calls that successfully achieved their target were Nestle India (~10%), Aptus Value Housing Finance (10%), and Equitas Small Finance Bank (10%).ICICI Bank LtdAxis Alpha reported an astounding monthly strike rate of 80% in Oct’23.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Axis Research Scorecard Report for Oct 2023

<ul><li>Reliance Industries: Our ADD rating on Reliance Industries (RIL) with a price target of INR 2,700/sh is premised on (1) recovery in the O2C businesses, (2) EBITDA growth in the digital business, driven by improvement in ARPU, subscriber addition, and new revenue streams, and (3) potential for further value unlocking in the digital and retail businesses</li><li>RIL’s consolidated EBITDA at INR 381bn (+1% YoY, -1% QoQ, HSIE: INR 382bn) and APAT at INR 160bn (-11% YoY, -17% QoQ) came in below our estimates</li><li>Earnings in Q1 were largely impacted by weaker-than-expected O2C profitability. ICICI Bank: ICICI Bank (ICICIBC) reported yet another impressive quarter on the back of strong loan growth (+18% YoY), treasury gains, and continued robust asset quality</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Reliance Industries: Our ADD rating on Reliance Industries (RIL) with a price target of INR 2,700/sh is premised on (1) recovery in the O2C businesses, (2) EBITDA growth in the digital business, driven by improvement in ARPU, subscriber addition, and new revenue streams, and (3) potential for further value unlocking in the digital and retail businessesRIL’s consolidated EBITDA at INR 381bn (+1% YoY, -1% QoQ, HSIE: INR 382bn) and APAT at INR 160bn (-11% YoY, -17% QoQ) came in below our estimatesEarnings in Q1 were largely impacted by weaker-than-expected O2C profitability. ICICI Bank: ICICI Bank (ICICIBC) reported yet another impressive quarter on the back of strong loan growth (+18% YoY), treasury gains, and continued robust asset qualityContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Reliance Industries, ICICI Bank, Kotak Mahindra Bank

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

iShares MSCI ACWI ETF / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>There continues to be little traction above $93 on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US), which remains the top-end of our anticipated 2023 trading range. Important downside targets are $86, $84, and $75-77.</li>
<li>Additionally, the EURO STOXX 50 remains below 2-year resistance at 4400-4415.</li>
<li>We remain overweight Europe, Japan, and India, and we prefer to only add exposure on a pullback -- especially in Japan where indexes are bullish yet extended.</li>
</ul>


There continues to be little traction above $93 on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US), which remains the top-end of our anticipated 2023 trading range. Important downside targets are $86, $84, and $75-77.
Additionally, the EURO STOXX 50 remains below 2-year resistance at 4400-4415.
We remain overweight Europe, Japan, and India, and we prefer to only add exposure on a pullback -- especially in Japan where indexes are bullish yet extended.


No Traction Above $93 on ACWI-US or 4400-4415 on EURO STOXX 50. Buys in Defensives/Japan/EM

Oil & Natural Gas Corporation / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>MSCI EM (EEM-US) has continued to hold above our $37-$37.50 line-in-the-sand, meaning we are constructive from a price perspective.</li>
<li>We have maintained an underweight to emerging markets, and we are overweight developed international (MSCI EAFE, Europe, Japan) as discussed in in Int’l Compass and ETF Pathfinder reports throughout 2023.</li>
<li>Still, there are plenty of attractive countries and Sectors within the EM landscape, which is what we are focusing on today.</li>
</ul>


MSCI EM (EEM-US) has continued to hold above our $37-$37.50 line-in-the-sand, meaning we are constructive from a price perspective.
We have maintained an underweight to emerging markets, and we are overweight developed international (MSCI EAFE, Europe, Japan) as discussed in in Int’l Compass and ETF Pathfinder reports throughout 2023.
Still, there are plenty of attractive countries and Sectors within the EM landscape, which is what we are focusing on today.


EM Strategy: MSCI EM Financials & Energy Improving-Overweight; Overweights: Taiwan, India, Mexico

India

AU Small Finance Bank Limited is an Indian scheduled commercial small finance bank. It offers a diverse range of products including savings accounts, current accounts, fixed deposits, loans (vehicle, MSME, housing, personal, gold, agriculture), debit and credit cards, and insurance. The company was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Jaipur, Rajasthan, India.

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AU Small Finance Bank (AUBANK IN)

Leveraged Financials: Emerging Long-Tail Risks in Unsecured Credit

India’s heterogenous unsecured retail credit market (US$160bn, 3-year CAGR at ~23%) has been in the headlines ever since the RBI clamped down on...

HDFC Securities

Axis Research Scorecard Report for Oct 2023

Our POW calls delivered an excellent Monthly strike rate of 84% in Oct’23. Calls that successfully achieved their target were Nestle India (~10%),...

Axis Direct

HSIE Results Daily: Reliance Industries, ICICI Bank, Kotak Mahindra Bank

RIL’s consolidated EBITDA at INR 381bn (+1% YoY, -1% QoQ, HSIE: INR 382bn) and APAT at INR 160bn (-11% YoY, -17% QoQ) came in below our estimates

HDFC Securities

No Traction Above $93 on ACWI-US or 4400-4415 on EURO STOXX 50. Buys in Defensives/Japan/EM

No Traction Above $93 on MSCI $ACWI or 4400-4415 on EURO #STOXX 50. Continues to reinforce our view from early-January that $93 on ACWI caps upside...

Vermilion Research

EM Strategy: MSCI EM Financials & Energy Improving-Overweight; Overweights: Taiwan, India, Mexico

MSCI EM Financials & Energy Improving -- Upgrading to Overweight; MSCI EM Technology remains an Overweight. Top Country Overweights: Taiwan, India,...

Vermilion Research

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