Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>For July 2025, just six new transactions (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma (by the Quiddity team) with an overall announced deal size of only ~US$4bn.</li>
<li>The average premium for the new transactions announced (or first discussed) in July was 45%, with a year-to-date average of 47%.</li>
<li>The average premiums for transactions in 2024 (129 transactions), (2023 (117), 2022 (106), 2021 (165), 2020 (158), and 2019 (145 ) were 43%, 39%, 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31%</li>
</ul>


For July 2025, just six new transactions (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma (by the Quiddity team) with an overall announced deal size of only ~US$4bn.
The average premium for the new transactions announced (or first discussed) in July was 45%, with a year-to-date average of 47%.
The average premiums for transactions in 2024 (129 transactions), (2023 (117), 2022 (106), 2021 (165), 2020 (158), and 2019 (145 ) were 43%, 39%, 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31%


(Mostly) Asia M&A, July 2025 Wrap: Pacific Industrial, Johns Lyon, TalkMed, DD Group, Hanil Cement

<ul>
<li>Back on the 27th May 2025, dual-listed <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mac-copper-limited-6dcb19d0-2c56-496c-817a-5d64e48b3c5d" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45237:1" rel="noopener">MAC Copper (MAC AU/MTAL US)</a>, a NSW copper miner, entered into a Scheme Implementation Deed with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/harmony-gold-mining-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25115:1" rel="noopener">Harmony Gold Mining (HAR SJ)</a>.</li>
<li>Harmony offered US$12.25 for each MAC Share, a 20.7% premium to last close. The A$ consideration for MAC CDIs pivots off the USD/AUD exchange rate around the Record Date. </li>
<li>
A copy of the Circular is now available, with a shareholder vote on the 29th August. Barrenjoey, the FA, says fair &amp; reasonable. 22.54% of shares out are supportive.</li>
</ul>


Back on the 27th May 2025, dual-listed MAC Copper (MAC AU/MTAL US), a NSW copper miner, entered into a Scheme Implementation Deed with Harmony Gold Mining (HAR SJ).
Harmony offered US$12.25 for each MAC Share, a 20.7% premium to last close. The A$ consideration for MAC CDIs pivots off the USD/AUD exchange rate around the Record Date. 

A copy of the Circular is now available, with a shareholder vote on the 29th August. Barrenjoey, the FA, says fair &amp; reasonable. 22.54% of shares out are supportive.


MAC Copper (MAC AU/MTAL US): 29th August Vote On Harmony's Offer

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mixi-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:602:1" rel="noopener">Mixi (2121 JP)</a>'s A$1.20/share cash Offer is now open, with a 50.1% acceptance condition. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pointsbet-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29102:1" rel="noopener">PointsBet Holdings (PBH AU)</a> is supportive. Mixi currently holds 25.15%. ~16% of shares out have tendered.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/Betr-entertainment-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:41181:1" rel="noopener">Betr Entertainment (BBT AU)</a> (self-alleged superior) scrip Offer, with no minimum acceptance condition, is still out there. betr holds 19.6%. No shareholder has accepted terms. </li>
<li>PBH has now tapped the Takeover Panel seeking orders betr clarify its convoluted Offer.</li>
</ul>



Mixi (2121 JP)'s A$1.20/share cash Offer is now open, with a 50.1% acceptance condition. PointsBet Holdings (PBH AU) is supportive. Mixi currently holds 25.15%. ~16% of shares out have tendered.

Betr Entertainment (BBT AU) (self-alleged superior) scrip Offer, with no minimum acceptance condition, is still out there. betr holds 19.6%. No shareholder has accepted terms. 
PBH has now tapped the Takeover Panel seeking orders betr clarify its convoluted Offer.


PointsBet (PBH AU): Either Betr Pulls A Rabbit Out Of The Hat, Or Walks

<ul>
<li>Back on the 28th April 2025, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ainsworth-game-technology-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:957:1" rel="noopener">Ainsworth Game Technology (AGI AU)</a>, an Aussie gaming supplier, entered into a Scheme with Austria's Novomatic, Ainsworth's largest shareholder (52.9%). </li>
<li>Novomatic offered A$1.00/share (best &amp; final) - including a permitted dividend - a 35% premium to last close; yet 64% below what Novomatic paid for its controlling stake in 2016.</li>
<li>
The Scheme Doc is now out, with a shareholder vote on the 29th August. The IE says fair &amp; reasonable. They are probably tight. </li>
</ul>


Back on the 28th April 2025, Ainsworth Game Technology (AGI AU), an Aussie gaming supplier, entered into a Scheme with Austria's Novomatic, Ainsworth's largest shareholder (52.9%). 
Novomatic offered A$1.00/share (best &amp; final) - including a permitted dividend - a 35% premium to last close; yet 64% below what Novomatic paid for its controlling stake in 2016.

The Scheme Doc is now out, with a shareholder vote on the 29th August. The IE says fair &amp; reasonable. They are probably tight. 


Ainsworth Game Technology (AGI AU): 29th August Vote On Novomatic's "Low-Balled Offer"

Financial News, Analysis and Data, FNArena

FNArena

Financial News, Analysis and Data

Online financial media company focused on Australian equities, with a global perspective

Equity Bottom-Up

Domain Holdings Australia  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Trade deals, central bank meetings, earnings season (US & Europe) with first local releases later in the week, as well as the all-important June quarter CPI print domestically will set the mood and tone for the ASX200 this week.</li><li> ASX200 futures are pointing to a slightly weaker start, but the overnight, EU-US trade deal may boost sentiment.</li></ul>

Trade deals, central bank meetings, earnings season (US & Europe) with first local releases later in the week, as well as the all-important June quarter CPI print domestically will set the mood and tone for the ASX200 this week. ASX200 futures are pointing to a slightly weaker start, but the overnight, EU-US trade deal may boost sentiment.

Domain Holdings Australia Ltd - The Monday Report - 28 July 2025

Australia

AVJennings Limited operates in the land development and housing sectors. The Company constructs residential houses in Australia along with residential land development. AVJennings serves customers in Australia.

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Avjennings Ltd (AVJ AU)

(Mostly) Asia M&A, July 2025 Wrap: Pacific Industrial, Johns Lyon, TalkMed, DD Group, Hanil Cement

For the month of July, 6 new deals were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall deal size of just ~US$4bn. The average premium for the new deals...

David Blennerhassett

MAC Copper (MAC AU/MTAL US): 29th August Vote On Harmony's Offer

Both legs have the same gross/annual. spreads of 1.5%/7.9%, assuming early Oct payment. There will be nominal costs to be netted off the CDI...

David Blennerhassett

PointsBet (PBH AU): Either Betr Pulls A Rabbit Out Of The Hat, Or Walks

I can see Mixi waiving the acceptance condition and declaring term unconditional. Trading at terms. If in, sell here. If not in, avoid unless...

David Blennerhassett

Ainsworth Game Technology (AGI AU): 29th August Vote On Novomatic's "Low-Balled Offer"

I think this gets up. And that's a chunky franked dividend with respect to the Offer price. For those who can take advantage. Key shareholders have...

David Blennerhassett

Domain Holdings Australia Ltd - The Monday Report - 28 July 2025

Trade deals, central bank meetings, earnings season (US & Europe) with first local releases later in the week, as well as the all-important...

FNArena

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