Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>For Aug 2025, 17 new transactions (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma (by the Quiddity team) with an overall announced deal size of ~US$18bn.</li>
<li>The average premium for the new transactions announced (or first discussed) in August was 48%, with a year-to-date average of 47%.</li>
<li>The average premiums for transactions in 2024 (129 transactions), (2023 (117), 2022 (106), 2021 (165), 2020 (158), and 2019 (145 ) were 43%, 39%, 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31%</li>
</ul>


For Aug 2025, 17 new transactions (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma (by the Quiddity team) with an overall announced deal size of ~US$18bn.
The average premium for the new transactions announced (or first discussed) in August was 48%, with a year-to-date average of 47%.
The average premiums for transactions in 2024 (129 transactions), (2023 (117), 2022 (106), 2021 (165), 2020 (158), and 2019 (145 ) were 43%, 39%, 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31%


(Mostly) Asia M&A, Aug 2025 Wrap: Dongfeng Motor, Kangji, Carenet, Nihon Chouzai, Technopro

<ul>
<li>I tally 40 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - arb transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma.</li>
<li>Three new deal was discussed on Smartkarma this week: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/joy-city-property-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10958:1" rel="noopener">Joy City Property (207 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hogy-medical-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10493:1" rel="noopener">Hogy Medical (3593 JP)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nihon-chouzai-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5873:1" rel="noopener">Nihon Chouzai (3341 JP)</a>.</li>
<li>Key updates/news took place on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mac-copper-limited-6dcb19d0-2c56-496c-817a-5d64e48b3c5d" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45237:1" rel="noopener">MAC Copper (MAC AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pointsbet-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29102:1" rel="noopener">PointsBet (PBH AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ainsworth-game-technology-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:957:1" rel="noopener">Ainsworth Game Technology (AGI AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/piedmont-lithium-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17619:1" rel="noopener">Piedmont Lithium (PLL AU)</a>,<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pacific-industrial-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6261:1" rel="noopener">Pacific Industrial (7250 JP)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/topcon-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:738:1" rel="noopener">Topcon (7732 JP)</a> .</li>
</ul>


I tally 40 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - arb transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma.
Three new deal was discussed on Smartkarma this week: Joy City Property (207 HK), Hogy Medical (3593 JP), and Nihon Chouzai (3341 JP).
Key updates/news took place on MAC Copper (MAC AU), PointsBet (PBH AU), Ainsworth Game Technology (AGI AU), Piedmont Lithium (PLL AU),Pacific Industrial (7250 JP), and Topcon (7732 JP) .


(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Topcon, Joy City, Hogy Medical, Nihon Chouzai, Piedmont Lithium, Pacific Ind.

<ul>
<li>For July 2025, just six new transactions (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma (by the Quiddity team) with an overall announced deal size of only ~US$4bn.</li>
<li>The average premium for the new transactions announced (or first discussed) in July was 45%, with a year-to-date average of 47%.</li>
<li>The average premiums for transactions in 2024 (129 transactions), (2023 (117), 2022 (106), 2021 (165), 2020 (158), and 2019 (145 ) were 43%, 39%, 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31%</li>
</ul>


For July 2025, just six new transactions (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma (by the Quiddity team) with an overall announced deal size of only ~US$4bn.
The average premium for the new transactions announced (or first discussed) in July was 45%, with a year-to-date average of 47%.
The average premiums for transactions in 2024 (129 transactions), (2023 (117), 2022 (106), 2021 (165), 2020 (158), and 2019 (145 ) were 43%, 39%, 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31%


(Mostly) Asia M&A, July 2025 Wrap: Pacific Industrial, Johns Lyon, TalkMed, DD Group, Hanil Cement

<ul>
<li>Back on the 27th May 2025, dual-listed <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mac-copper-limited-6dcb19d0-2c56-496c-817a-5d64e48b3c5d" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45237:1" rel="noopener">MAC Copper (MAC AU/MTAL US)</a>, a NSW copper miner, entered into a Scheme Implementation Deed with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/harmony-gold-mining-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25115:1" rel="noopener">Harmony Gold Mining (HAR SJ)</a>.</li>
<li>Harmony offered US$12.25 for each MAC Share, a 20.7% premium to last close. The A$ consideration for MAC CDIs pivots off the USD/AUD exchange rate around the Record Date. </li>
<li>
A copy of the Circular is now available, with a shareholder vote on the 29th August. Barrenjoey, the FA, says fair &amp; reasonable. 22.54% of shares out are supportive.</li>
</ul>


Back on the 27th May 2025, dual-listed MAC Copper (MAC AU/MTAL US), a NSW copper miner, entered into a Scheme Implementation Deed with Harmony Gold Mining (HAR SJ).
Harmony offered US$12.25 for each MAC Share, a 20.7% premium to last close. The A$ consideration for MAC CDIs pivots off the USD/AUD exchange rate around the Record Date. 

A copy of the Circular is now available, with a shareholder vote on the 29th August. Barrenjoey, the FA, says fair &amp; reasonable. 22.54% of shares out are supportive.


MAC Copper (MAC AU/MTAL US): 29th August Vote On Harmony's Offer

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mixi-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:602:1" rel="noopener">Mixi (2121 JP)</a>'s A$1.20/share cash Offer is now open, with a 50.1% acceptance condition. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pointsbet-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29102:1" rel="noopener">PointsBet Holdings (PBH AU)</a> is supportive. Mixi currently holds 25.15%. ~16% of shares out have tendered.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/Betr-entertainment-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:41181:1" rel="noopener">Betr Entertainment (BBT AU)</a> (self-alleged superior) scrip Offer, with no minimum acceptance condition, is still out there. betr holds 19.6%. No shareholder has accepted terms. </li>
<li>PBH has now tapped the Takeover Panel seeking orders betr clarify its convoluted Offer.</li>
</ul>



Mixi (2121 JP)'s A$1.20/share cash Offer is now open, with a 50.1% acceptance condition. PointsBet Holdings (PBH AU) is supportive. Mixi currently holds 25.15%. ~16% of shares out have tendered.

Betr Entertainment (BBT AU) (self-alleged superior) scrip Offer, with no minimum acceptance condition, is still out there. betr holds 19.6%. No shareholder has accepted terms. 
PBH has now tapped the Takeover Panel seeking orders betr clarify its convoluted Offer.


PointsBet (PBH AU): Either Betr Pulls A Rabbit Out Of The Hat, Or Walks

Australia

AVJennings Limited operates in the land development and housing sectors. The Company constructs residential houses in Australia along with residential land development. AVJennings serves customers in Australia.

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Avjennings Ltd (AVJ AU)

(Mostly) Asia M&A, Aug 2025 Wrap: Dongfeng Motor, Kangji, Carenet, Nihon Chouzai, Technopro

For the month of Aug, 17 new deals were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall deal size of just ~US$18bn. The average premium for the new deals...

David Blennerhassett

(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Topcon, Joy City, Hogy Medical, Nihon Chouzai, Piedmont Lithium, Pacific Ind.

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

(Mostly) Asia M&A, July 2025 Wrap: Pacific Industrial, Johns Lyon, TalkMed, DD Group, Hanil Cement

For the month of July, 6 new deals were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall deal size of just ~US$4bn. The average premium for the new deals...

David Blennerhassett

MAC Copper (MAC AU/MTAL US): 29th August Vote On Harmony's Offer

Both legs have the same gross/annual. spreads of 1.5%/7.9%, assuming early Oct payment. There will be nominal costs to be netted off the CDI...

David Blennerhassett

PointsBet (PBH AU): Either Betr Pulls A Rabbit Out Of The Hat, Or Walks

I can see Mixi waiving the acceptance condition and declaring term unconditional. Trading at terms. If in, sell here. If not in, avoid unless...

David Blennerhassett

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