Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There were a lot of rebalance implementations in China on Friday, plus a few upcoming index changes that were announced during the week.</li>
<li>There are a lot of implementations this week, with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">KOSPI 200</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150</a> on Thursday and then others across a bunch of countries on Friday.</li>
<li>There were big inflows to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tracker-fund-of-hong-kong-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29257:1" rel="noopener">Tracker Fund of Hong Kong (2800 HK)</a> during the week taking units outstanding to a new high. ETF inflows continue even as the market drops.</li>
</ul>


There were a lot of rebalance implementations in China on Friday, plus a few upcoming index changes that were announced during the week.
There are a lot of implementations this week, with KOSPI 200 and KOSDAQ 150 on Thursday and then others across a bunch of countries on Friday.
There were big inflows to Tracker Fund of Hong Kong (2800 HK) during the week taking units outstanding to a new high. ETF inflows continue even as the market drops.


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: NKY, TW Div+, ASX200, NZX50, Mom30, Top10EW, MVW, Rakuten Bank

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>We are proud to share that our Axis Top Picks basket delivered impressive returns of 31% in the last one year till 1st Dec’23, beating the benchmark Nifty 50 index (8% return over the same period) by a wide margin.</li><li>In Nov’23, the basket inched up further by 6% (till 1st Dec’23). We are extremely happy to inform you that our Top Picks Basket has delivered an astounding return of 231% since its inception (May’20).</li><li>This stands well above the 119% return delivered by NIFTY 50 over the same period. </li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

We are proud to share that our Axis Top Picks basket delivered impressive returns of 31% in the last one year till 1st Dec’23, beating the benchmark Nifty 50 index (8% return over the same period) by a wide margin.In Nov’23, the basket inched up further by 6% (till 1st Dec’23). We are extremely happy to inform you that our Top Picks Basket has delivered an astounding return of 231% since its inception (May’20).This stands well above the 119% return delivered by NIFTY 50 over the same period. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

<ul>
<li>There could be 18 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 28 December.</li>
<li>If all changes are on expected lines, one-way turnover is estimated at 58.2% and that will result in a one-way trade of INR 20bn (US$240m).</li>
<li>Since July, the potential adds to the index have outperformed the index and the potential deletes by a big margin. Momentum could keep the outperformance going till implementation date.</li>
</ul>


There could be 18 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 28 December.
If all changes are on expected lines, one-way turnover is estimated at 58.2% and that will result in a one-way trade of INR 20bn (US$240m).
Since July, the potential adds to the index have outperformed the index and the potential deletes by a big margin. Momentum could keep the outperformance going till implementation date.


NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance Preview: 58% Turnover & Strong Momentum

Financials & FinTech research, Galliano’s Financials Research

Victor Galliano

Financials & FinTech research

Financials & FinTech, EM & Developed Markets

Galliano’s Financials Research

Galliano's Financials Research provides fundamental research in Emerging Markets financials, including FinTech, as well as financials in select Developed Markets.

The investment style applied is generally value oriented, although Growth At Reasonable Price (GARP) strategies can also be used where appropriate. 

Our investment research approach aim is often contrarian, looking to capitalise on overly sceptical or optimistic consensus views. In terms of valuation techniques, the focus is on PBV ratio to ROE, PE multiples and dividend yield, as well as the application of PEG ratios and, where appropriate, Sum of the Parts (SOTP) valuations.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We retain Bank of Baroda as the deep value Indian bank from our peer group, for its modest valuations, healthy ROE and further improvements in pre- and post-provision returns</li>
<li>The market seems unconvinced by HDFC Bank but we retain it as our quality bank pick, with its potential for savings from the HDFC merger and its strong balance sheet</li>
<li>Axis bank stays on our watchlist, but its premium valuations are the challenge; we remain negative on State Bank of India for its delinquency risks and limited progress on returns</li>
</ul>


We retain Bank of Baroda as the deep value Indian bank from our peer group, for its modest valuations, healthy ROE and further improvements in pre- and post-provision returns
The market seems unconvinced by HDFC Bank but we retain it as our quality bank pick, with its potential for savings from the HDFC merger and its strong balance sheet
Axis bank stays on our watchlist, but its premium valuations are the challenge; we remain negative on State Bank of India for its delinquency risks and limited progress on returns


Indian Banks Screener: Stick with Bank of Baroda and HDFC Bank

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Bajaj Finance Ltd / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bajaj-finance-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8950:1" rel="noopener">Bajaj Finance Ltd (BAF IN)</a> , one of India’s largest NBFCs, aims to raise around US$1bn via a QIP.</li>
<li>Bajaj Finance is an NBFC offering auto, consumer and home loans, along with other products as well.</li>
<li>In this note, we run the deal through our ECM framework and talk about the deal dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Bajaj Finance Ltd (BAF IN) , one of India’s largest NBFCs, aims to raise around US$1bn via a QIP.
Bajaj Finance is an NBFC offering auto, consumer and home loans, along with other products as well.
In this note, we run the deal through our ECM framework and talk about the deal dynamics.


Bajaj Finance QIP - Very Well Flagged US$1bn Raising, past Deals Have Done Well

India

Bank of Baroda owns and operates commercial banks in India.  The Group's banks provide the traditional forms of banking services, including CD's, Credit Card services and a variety of car loans, in addition to gold banking and a range of insurance services.  The Group also owns IBU International Finance Limited, an international banking company in Hong Kong.

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Bank Of Baroda (BOB IN)

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: NKY, TW Div+, ASX200, NZX50, Mom30, Top10EW, MVW, Rakuten Bank

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

Axis Top Picks - Dec 2023

We are proud to share that our Axis Top Picks basket delivered impressive returns of 31% in the last one year till 1st Dec’23, beating the...

Axis Direct

NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance Preview: 58% Turnover & Strong Momentum

There could be 18 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum30 Index resulting in 1-way turnover of 58.2% and in a 1-way trade of INR 20bn (US$240m). Adds...

Brian Freitas

Indian Banks Screener: Stick with Bank of Baroda and HDFC Bank

We stick with Baroda for its low valuations and strong returns, and with quality pick HDFC Bank despite share weakness. Axis Bank is on the watch...

Victor Galliano

Bajaj Finance QIP - Very Well Flagged US$1bn Raising, past Deals Have Done Well

Bajaj Finance Ltd (BAF IN) , one of India’s largest NBFCs, aims to raise around US$1bn via a QIP. In this note, we talk about the deal dynamics.

Sumeet Singh

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