Financials & FinTech research, Galliano’s Financials Research

Victor Galliano

Financials & FinTech research

Financials & FinTech, EM & Developed Markets

Galliano’s Financials Research

Galliano's Financials Research provides fundamental research in Emerging Markets financials, including FinTech, as well as financials in select Developed Markets.

The investment style applied is generally value oriented, although Growth At Reasonable Price (GARP) strategies can also be used where appropriate. 

Our investment research approach aim is often contrarian, looking to capitalise on overly sceptical or optimistic consensus views. In terms of valuation techniques, the focus is on PBV ratio to ROE, PE multiples and dividend yield, as well as the application of PEG ratios and, where appropriate, Sum of the Parts (SOTP) valuations.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We retain Bank of Baroda as the value Indian bank, despite its strong share performance, for its modest valuations, healthy ROE and further improvements in delinquency metrics</li>
<li>HDFC Bank remains out of favour with the market but we retain it as a buy, with its potential for medium term gains post-merger and its strong balance sheet</li>
<li>Axis bank remains on our watchlist; we remain negative on State Bank of India for its delinquency risks, low core capital ratio and limited progress on returns</li>
</ul>


We retain Bank of Baroda as the value Indian bank, despite its strong share performance, for its modest valuations, healthy ROE and further improvements in delinquency metrics
HDFC Bank remains out of favour with the market but we retain it as a buy, with its potential for medium term gains post-merger and its strong balance sheet
Axis bank remains on our watchlist; we remain negative on State Bank of India for its delinquency risks, low core capital ratio and limited progress on returns


Indian Banks Screener: Bank of Baroda Remains the Value Pick, HDFC Bank Is the Quality Name

India BFSI - Long-Short - Equity Research Analyst

Raj S, CA, CFA

Artoval Advisors

Art’o’val stands for Art of Valuation. Artoval Advisors LLP is a professionally run advisory firm catering to various financial advisory services including Valuation, Investment Research, Training, Accounting, CFO Services and other ancillary services.

We are passionate about what we do and strongly believe in working with our clients as their extended teams. With Artoval Advisors as their trusted partner, our clients find it easy to achieve efficiency in service delivery without compromising on quality.

True Art of Valuation

<ul>
<li>
Bank Of Baroda (BOB IN)  has become the second-best PSU bank in India after SBIN, in terms of improvement in asset quality and profitability.</li>
<li>
Medium-Term ROE Forecast 16% to 18%; ROA &gt;1% consistently; Asset Quality problems receding; Strategy is to diversify loan book towards retail further and focus on improving efficiencies</li>
<li>
Despite the recent rally, P/BV is cheap at 0.9x FY25e for high teen ROE business. BOB can easily re-rate to P/BV of 1.3x FY25e in the near term</li>
</ul>



Bank Of Baroda (BOB IN)  has become the second-best PSU bank in India after SBIN, in terms of improvement in asset quality and profitability.

Medium-Term ROE Forecast 16% to 18%; ROA &gt;1% consistently; Asset Quality problems receding; Strategy is to diversify loan book towards retail further and focus on improving efficiencies

Despite the recent rally, P/BV is cheap at 0.9x FY25e for high teen ROE business. BOB can easily re-rate to P/BV of 1.3x FY25e in the near term


Bank Of Baroda (BOB IN): Initiating Coverage – Best Value Bet Among Indian Banks

<ul>
<li>We retain Bank of Baroda as the deep value Indian bank from our peer group, for its modest valuations, healthy ROE and further improvements in pre- and post-provision returns</li>
<li>The market seems unconvinced by HDFC Bank but we retain it as our quality bank pick, with its potential for savings from the HDFC merger and its strong balance sheet</li>
<li>Axis bank stays on our watchlist, but its premium valuations are the challenge; we remain negative on State Bank of India for its delinquency risks and limited progress on returns</li>
</ul>


We retain Bank of Baroda as the deep value Indian bank from our peer group, for its modest valuations, healthy ROE and further improvements in pre- and post-provision returns
The market seems unconvinced by HDFC Bank but we retain it as our quality bank pick, with its potential for savings from the HDFC merger and its strong balance sheet
Axis bank stays on our watchlist, but its premium valuations are the challenge; we remain negative on State Bank of India for its delinquency risks and limited progress on returns


Indian Banks Screener: Stick with Bank of Baroda and HDFC Bank

<ul>
<li>We maintain that Bank of Baroda is the stand-out value in this peer group of Indian banks, for its modest valuations, healthy ROE and improving pre- and post-provision returns</li>
<li>We retain HDFC Bank as our higher quality bank pick, with its strong balance sheet, especially on NPA coverage, and potential for improved return from the HDFC merger</li>
<li>Axis bank remains a name to watch, although valuations are not compelling; we remain negative on State Bank of India, and we are also cautious on ICICI Bank</li>
</ul>


We maintain that Bank of Baroda is the stand-out value in this peer group of Indian banks, for its modest valuations, healthy ROE and improving pre- and post-provision returns
We retain HDFC Bank as our higher quality bank pick, with its strong balance sheet, especially on NPA coverage, and potential for improved return from the HDFC merger
Axis bank remains a name to watch, although valuations are not compelling; we remain negative on State Bank of India, and we are also cautious on ICICI Bank


Indian Banks Screener: Bank of Baroda (BOB IN) Remains Stand Out Value

<ul>
<li>The investor spotlight is on the HDFC Bank-HDFC merger, and we continue to favour HDFC Bank with its positive passive investor momentum, premium returns and merger synergy potential</li>
<li>Bank of Baroda, although not in the limelight like HDFC bank, is our value stand-out among the Indian bank peer group and it warrants increasing investor attention, in our view</li>
<li>Bank of Baroda is delivering on improving asset quality and returns; the shares have positive momentum, and we see great value on its 1x PBV ratio to ROE of 15%</li>
</ul>


The investor spotlight is on the HDFC Bank-HDFC merger, and we continue to favour HDFC Bank with its positive passive investor momentum, premium returns and merger synergy potential
Bank of Baroda, although not in the limelight like HDFC bank, is our value stand-out among the Indian bank peer group and it warrants increasing investor attention, in our view
Bank of Baroda is delivering on improving asset quality and returns; the shares have positive momentum, and we see great value on its 1x PBV ratio to ROE of 15%


Bank of Baroda (BOB IN) – A Diamond in the Rough, on the Sidelines of the HDFC Bank-HDFC Merger

India

Bank of Baroda owns and operates commercial banks in India.  The Group's banks provide the traditional forms of banking services, including CD's, Credit Card services and a variety of car loans, in addition to gold banking and a range of insurance services.  The Group also owns IBU International Finance Limited, an international banking company in Hong Kong.

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Bank Of Baroda (BOB IN)

Indian Banks Screener: Bank of Baroda Remains the Value Pick, HDFC Bank Is the Quality Name

Bank of Baroda is our top pick with modest valuations, healthy ROE, improving returns; HDFC Bank is a buy too having potential for medium term...

Victor Galliano