External broker reports(aggregated public sources), BRI Danareksa Research

BRI Danareksa Research

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

As a one-stop financial solution with the vision to be the most valuable securities house, BRI Danareksa Sekuritas (BRIDS) has maintained an excellent track record and extensive experience in the capital market as an underwriter, broker, and financial advisor for individual, institutional, foreign and domestic, private and government clients. Established in 1992, PT Danareksa Sekuritas is a securities company that performs activities as a securities broker, underwriter, or arranger and financial advisor.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>BBTN booked Rp2.3tr (+11% yoy) net profit in 9M25, below at 68%/69% of our/cons FY25F as CoC tripled offsetting the 100bps higher NIM.</li><li>BBTN posted a weak 3Q25 result, with a net profit of Rp596bn (-26% qoq, +3% yoy), as CoC doubled yoy and quarterly opex hit record high.</li><li>We maintain TP of Rp1,400 and upgrade rating to Buy, as the share price has dropped 7.3% since our latest rating downgrade.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

BBTN booked Rp2.3tr (+11% yoy) net profit in 9M25, below at 68%/69% of our/cons FY25F as CoC tripled offsetting the 100bps higher NIM.BBTN posted a weak 3Q25 result, with a net profit of Rp596bn (-26% qoq, +3% yoy), as CoC doubled yoy and quarterly opex hit record high.We maintain TP of Rp1,400 and upgrade rating to Buy, as the share price has dropped 7.3% since our latest rating downgrade.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Bank Tabungan Negara (BBTN.IJ) 3Q25 Earnings Miss Amid Higher Opex and Credit Costs...

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>JCI posted a 3.5% rebound, bringing YTD performance to -5% while during the week EM has sustained outperformance (led by South Korea’s KOSPI Index +8%, Taiwan’s TWSE Index +6%, Thailand’s SET Index +6%) compared to US market’s -1%.</li><li>While JCI’s last week performance was in-line with EM, the gains were mainly led by the rebound in conglo group stocks (DSSA +10.5%, BRMS +14.3%, BUMI +29.2%), while fundamentals stocks were among the laggards (BBCA -6.2%, ASII -0.7%).</li><li>Government reaffirms stronger growth outlook. In Economic Outlook update, President Prabowo reaffirms FY26 GDP growth target of 5.4% (base case), while MOF sees upside to 6% (per Pak Purbaya) and 5.5– 6.0% in 1Q26.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

JCI posted a 3.5% rebound, bringing YTD performance to -5% while during the week EM has sustained outperformance (led by South Korea’s KOSPI Index +8%, Taiwan’s TWSE Index +6%, Thailand’s SET Index +6%) compared to US market’s -1%.While JCI’s last week performance was in-line with EM, the gains were mainly led by the rebound in conglo group stocks (DSSA +10.5%, BRMS +14.3%, BUMI +29.2%), while fundamentals stocks were among the laggards (BBCA -6.2%, ASII -0.7%).Government reaffirms stronger growth outlook. In Economic Outlook update, President Prabowo reaffirms FY26 GDP growth target of 5.4% (base case), while MOF sees upside to 6% (per Pak Purbaya) and 5.5– 6.0% in 1Q26.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

BRIDS Market Pulse : Chart of the week – Retailers Sector P/E Band

<ul><li>Delayed Fed cuts keep yields elevated, constrain BI easing, with risk now shift focus toward near-term liquidity conditions.</li><li>Market impact on Moody’s downgrade looks contained; past precedents show reversals if policy response is credible and timely.</li><li>MSCI scrutiny accelerated structural transparency upgrades; frontier reclassification risk fades, but re-inclusion hinges on implementation.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Delayed Fed cuts keep yields elevated, constrain BI easing, with risk now shift focus toward near-term liquidity conditions.Market impact on Moody’s downgrade looks contained; past precedents show reversals if policy response is credible and timely.MSCI scrutiny accelerated structural transparency upgrades; frontier reclassification risk fades, but re-inclusion hinges on implementation.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Macro Strategy: Off the Lows, Still Exposed to Headwinds

<ul><li>We expect positive FY26 earnings growth for banking sector (+5.1% yoy) driven by higher loan growth offsetting the lower NIM in FY26F.</li><li>We opine that NPL could still be in an upcycle in FY26F, with MSME and consumers loan delinquency risks affecting the investment loans.</li><li>We maintain a Neutral view on the banking sector amid potential earnings downside, macro uncertainty, and lingering asset quality risks</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We expect positive FY26 earnings growth for banking sector (+5.1% yoy) driven by higher loan growth offsetting the lower NIM in FY26F.We opine that NPL could still be in an upcycle in FY26F, with MSME and consumers loan delinquency risks affecting the investment loans.We maintain a Neutral view on the banking sector amid potential earnings downside, macro uncertainty, and lingering asset quality risksContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Banks: K-shape Earnings Recovery Could Weigh on Margin and Asset Quality (NEUTRAL)

Macroeconomics

<ul><li>Investment loans continue to be the backbone of growth and asset quality, while deteriorating consumer asset quality persisted in 1H25.</li><li>We observed worsening asset quality across all types of consumer loans, with middle-income mortgage facing the biggest deterioration.</li><li>We maintain Neutral view on the banking sector amid the valuation derating due to asset quality risk and lack of ST catalyst.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Investment loans continue to be the backbone of growth and asset quality, while deteriorating consumer asset quality persisted in 1H25.We observed worsening asset quality across all types of consumer loans, with middle-income mortgage facing the biggest deterioration.We maintain Neutral view on the banking sector amid the valuation derating due to asset quality risk and lack of ST catalyst.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Indonesia

Bank Tabungan Negara, abbreviated as BTN, is an Indonesian commercial bank primarily known as a mortgage bank, offering a range of financial products including savings, current, and fixed deposit accounts, as well as personal, business, and mortgage loans. The bank also provides Sharia-compliant banking services. It is headquartered in Jakarta, Indonesia, and was founded in 1897.

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Bank Tabungan Negara (BBTN IJ)