Asean-focused. Ex-Head of Thai Research

Athaporn Arayasantiparb, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

Only Gets Hotter from Here On. Summer typically starts in February in Thailand. In the South, there are only two seasons, but elsewhere, summer will stretch between February to around May. We are not saying every stock in this article is a buy. What we're saying is that for them, summer usually acts as an important sales catalyst or at least a time when they gain attention from investors yo. The rainy season, which starts in late May and goes all the way to October, is by far the country's…

Only Gets Hotter from Here On. Summer typically starts in February in Thailand. In the South, there are only two seasons, but elsewhere, summer will stretch between February to around May. We are not saying every stock in this article is a buy. What we're saying is that for them, summer usually acts as an important sales catalyst or at least a time when they gain attention from investors yo. The rainy season, which starts in late May and goes all the way to October, is by far the country's…

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>As first discussed back in May (see <a href="https://skr.ma/LAfHm" target="_blank" rel="noopener">here</a>), shares in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/krungthai-card-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20097:1" rel="noopener">Krungthai Card (KTC TB)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xspring-capital-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19807:1" rel="noopener">XSpring (XPG TB)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bec-world-public-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16881:1" rel="noopener">BEC (BEC TB)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/the-practical-solution-public-company-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45379:1" rel="noopener">The Practical Solution (TPS TB)</a> all went limit down. Twice.</li>
<li>Pledging in those shares - in what I call the Prakitchaiwattana Complex - have been static, to down, in the month of October.</li>
<li>Recent big-ish moves were seen in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/siam-city-cement-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:346:1" rel="noopener">Siam City Cement (SCCC TB)</a> (up), <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bangkok-expressway-and-metro-68c0c1b3-af0c-4380-a380-f3dc7ba5d5ac" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22849:1" rel="noopener">Bangkok Expressway and Metro (BEM TB)</a> (up); <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nakhonluang-capital-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26954:1" rel="noopener">Next Capital (NCAP TB)</a> (down) and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/banpu-public-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15363:1" rel="noopener">Banpu Public (BANPU TB)</a> (down).</li>
</ul>


As first discussed back in May (see here), shares in Krungthai Card (KTC TB), XSpring (XPG TB), BEC (BEC TB), and The Practical Solution (TPS TB) all went limit down. Twice.
Pledging in those shares - in what I call the Prakitchaiwattana Complex - have been static, to down, in the month of October.
Recent big-ish moves were seen in Siam City Cement (SCCC TB) (up), Bangkok Expressway and Metro (BEM TB) (up); Next Capital (NCAP TB) (down) and Banpu Public (BANPU TB) (down).


Head of Research, Krungthai XSpring

Waraporn Wiboonkanarak

Head of Research

A full service Thai brokerage

Krungthai XSpring

Krungthai XSpring is a full service broker. The company provides a wide range of investment services such as Securities Brokerage, Derivative Agent Business, Securities Borrowing and Lending, Securities Trading, Underwriting, Financial Advisory, Wealth Advisory, Private Fund Management and International Markets Securities Trading. 

In terms of credibility, Fitch Ratings has assigned Krunghtai XSpring a long-term rating of AA- and a national short-term rating of F1+ with stable outlook.

Equity Bottom-Up

Bangkok Dusit Medical Services / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Technically, the SET Index is expected to move sideways, with the support at 1,436/1,432 points and the resistance at 1,451/1,455 points (10/25-day EMA).</li><li>The MSCI Quarterly Review will impact closing prices today for the first day.</li><li>KTX has downgraded our short-term outlook on the SET Index due to increasing risk factors.</li></ul>

Technically, the SET Index is expected to move sideways, with the support at 1,436/1,432 points and the resistance at 1,451/1,455 points (10/25-day EMA).The MSCI Quarterly Review will impact closing prices today for the first day.KTX has downgraded our short-term outlook on the SET Index due to increasing risk factors.

MSCI Rebalancing to Impact Closing Prices Today & Weekly Strategy

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Index Rebalance

Delta Electronics (Thailand) / Index Rebalance

Last evening post market close, the Stock Exchange of Thailand (SET) announced the results of the semi-annual review of the SET50 index with the changes taking effect after the close of trading on 30 December.<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bangkok-commercial-asset-management-public-company-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28442:1" rel="noopener">Bangkok Commercial Asset Management (BAM TB)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/com7-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27411:1" rel="noopener">Com7 PCL (COM7 TB)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/delta-electronics-thai-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20912:1" rel="noopener">Delta Electronics Thai (DELTA TB)</a> have been included in the index, replacing <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/banpu-power-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23631:1" rel="noopener">Banpu Power PCL (BPP TB)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/irpc-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19051:1" rel="noopener">IRPC PCL (IRPC TB)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wha-corp-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:104:1" rel="noopener">WHA Corp Pcl (WHA TB)</a>. This was our base case scenario, though DELTA had the lowest probability of index inclusion.Terrible timing! <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/delta-electronics-thai-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20912:1" rel="noopener">Delta Electronics Thai (DELTA TB)</a> has gained 543.72% since it was deleted from the SET50 index at the June review, while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/banpu-power-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23631:1" rel="noopener">Banpu Power PCL (BPP TB)</a> has gained just 2.99% since it was included in the index at the June review. Not implementing this change in June would have led to the SET50 index return being over 3.5% higher than its actual return.One-way turnover for the rebalance is 4.92%. The impact of the changes does not appear like a lot, but the active funds trading ahead of implementation date could cause the stocks to move around a lot compared to their peers.This Insight is labelled Bullish as we expect DELTA to outperform its peers post the inclusion in the SET50 index. The stock could move lower post implementation date due to its higher valuations.

Last evening post market close, the Stock Exchange of Thailand (SET) announced the results of the semi-annual review of the SET50 index with the changes taking effect after the close of trading on 30 December.Bangkok Commercial Asset Management (BAM TB), Com7 PCL (COM7 TB) and Delta Electronics Thai (DELTA TB) have been included in the index, replacing Banpu Power PCL (BPP TB), IRPC PCL (IRPC TB) and WHA Corp Pcl (WHA TB). This was our base case scenario, though DELTA had the lowest probability of index inclusion.Terrible timing! Delta Electronics Thai (DELTA TB) has gained 543.72% since it was deleted from the SET50 index at the June review, while Banpu Power PCL (BPP TB) has gained just 2.99% since it was included in the index at the June review. Not implementing this change in June would have led to the SET50 index return being over 3.5% higher than its actual return.One-way turnover for the rebalance is 4.92%. The impact of the changes does not appear like a lot, but the active funds trading ahead of implementation date could cause the stocks to move around a lot compared to their peers.This Insight is labelled Bullish as we expect DELTA to outperform its peers post the inclusion in the SET50 index. The stock could move lower post implementation date due to its higher valuations.

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/scg-packaging-public-company-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28684:1" rel="noopener">SCG Packaging (SCGP TB)</a> listed today on the Stock Exchange of Thailand (SET). No big bang opening day for the stock as it opened at the highs and quickly sold off to trade a tick or two above its IPO price of THB 35/share for most of the day.<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/scg-packaging-public-company-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28684:1" rel="noopener">SCG Packaging (SCGP TB)</a> traded 329.77m shares on the day at a VWAP of THB 35.9505. Bulk of the volume traded in the opening auction at THB 37.At the close of trading, SCGP traded at THB 35/share, probably supported by the greenshoe. That gave <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/scg-packaging-public-company-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28684:1" rel="noopener">SCG Packaging (SCGP TB)</a> a full market cap of THB 148.874bn placing it at rank 20 among the SET50 constituents and ensuring its market cap was more than 1% of the market cap of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/stock-exchange-of-thailand-set-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22915:1" rel="noopener">Thailand SET Index (SET INDEX)</a> - 1.16% from our calculations. With a free float of 29.51%, the stock met all conditions for Fast Entry into the index.SET has just <a href="https://www.set.or.th/th/market/files/constituents/SET50_100_H2_2020_revised.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a> the changes to the SET50 Index where <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/scg-packaging-public-company-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28684:1" rel="noopener">SCG Packaging (SCGP TB)</a> has been added and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/thanachart-capital-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:297:1" rel="noopener">Thanachart Capital (TCAP TB)</a> has been deleted. The changes will need to be made at the close of trading on 27 October.The inclusion also affects the stocks to be included and excluded at the regular index review in December.

SCG Packaging (SCGP TB) listed today on the Stock Exchange of Thailand (SET). No big bang opening day for the stock as it opened at the highs and quickly sold off to trade a tick or two above its IPO price of THB 35/share for most of the day.SCG Packaging (SCGP TB) traded 329.77m shares on the day at a VWAP of THB 35.9505. Bulk of the volume traded in the opening auction at THB 37.At the close of trading, SCGP traded at THB 35/share, probably supported by the greenshoe. That gave SCG Packaging (SCGP TB) a full market cap of THB 148.874bn placing it at rank 20 among the SET50 constituents and ensuring its market cap was more than 1% of the market cap of the Thailand SET Index (SET INDEX) - 1.16% from our calculations. With a free float of 29.51%, the stock met all conditions for Fast Entry into the index.SET has just announced the changes to the SET50 Index where SCG Packaging (SCGP TB) has been added and Thanachart Capital (TCAP TB) has been deleted. The changes will need to be made at the close of trading on 27 October.The inclusion also affects the stocks to be included and excluded at the regular index review in December.

Thailand

Banpu Power Public Company Limited is an international energy producer that develops and operates power plants, primarily focusing on thermal and renewable energy sources. The company is involved in power generation and distribution, including solar, wind, coal, and natural gas, and also provides energy technology solutions like battery energy storage systems and solar rooftops. Headquartered in Bangkok, Thailand, the company was established in 1996.

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Banpu Power (BPP TB)

This Ain't Winterfell, Summer Is Coming!

Only Gets Hotter from Here On. Summer typically starts in February in Thailand. In the South, there are only two seasons, but elsewhere, summer...

Athaporn Arayasantiparb, CFA

Thai Pledged Shares In October 2025

This insight is primarily about pledged tables. Recent big-ish moves were seen in Siam City Cement (up), Bangkok Expressway and Metro (up); Next...

David Blennerhassett

MSCI Rebalancing to Impact Closing Prices Today & Weekly Strategy

Technically, the SET Index is expected to move sideways, with the support at 1,436/1,432 points and the resistance at 1,451/1,455 points...

Krungthai XSpring

SET50 Index Rebalance: DELTA to Buy

BAM, COM7 and DELTA have been added to the SET50 index replacing BPP, IRPC and WHA with the changes effective after the close on 30 Dec. With 11...

Brian Freitas

SCG Packaging Listing & SET50 Inclusion

SCG Packaging listed on the SET today and finished flat on the day. That was enough to warrant inclusion in the SET50 index. TCAP will be deleted...

Brian Freitas

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