External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Our consumer discretionary coverage universe (ex-Eternal) is expected to deliver ~20% YoY revenue growth in Q3</li><li>The growth primarily stems from jewelry (gold price-led) and new-age businesses (customer acquisition push)</li><li>In other sectors, demand continues to remain subdued</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Our consumer discretionary coverage universe (ex-Eternal) is expected to deliver ~20% YoY revenue growth in Q3The growth primarily stems from jewelry (gold price-led) and new-age businesses (customer acquisition push)In other sectors, demand continues to remain subduedContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Consumer Discretionary (Q3FY26 Results Preview): Q3FY26 – a mixed bag

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic, Beat the Street

Sudarshan Bhandari

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

<ul>
<li>India’s GST 2.0 reform slashes tax rates on essentials, durables, autos, and healthcare while exempting insurance and education.</li>
<li>The move could accelerate consumption, especially in rural India, but risks straining government revenues and widening fiscal deficits.</li>
<li>If implemented smoothly, GST 2.0 may drive a multi-sector consumption upcycle, though revenue trade-offs and uneven pass-through pose risks.</li>
</ul>


India’s GST 2.0 reform slashes tax rates on essentials, durables, autos, and healthcare while exempting insurance and education.
The move could accelerate consumption, especially in rural India, but risks straining government revenues and widening fiscal deficits.
If implemented smoothly, GST 2.0 may drive a multi-sector consumption upcycle, though revenue trade-offs and uneven pass-through pose risks.


Thematic Report on GST 2.0 Regime: Who Gains, Who Loses as India Bets on Demand Revival.

Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

<ul>
<li>India is set for its biggest GST overhaul since 2017, with a shift to a dual-slab GST system (5% and 18%) to simplify tax structures, reduce consumer prices, boost consumption</li>
<li>The proposed rate cuts are likely to drive increased consumption, benefiting sectors like automobiles, cement, and consumer durables, and provide a multi-engine growth boost for the economy.</li>
<li>With the GST reform potentially lowering inflation, raising private sector investments, and stimulating discretionary spending, we see a positive impact on GDP growth by around 1.6-2% in the medium term.</li>
</ul>


India is set for its biggest GST overhaul since 2017, with a shift to a dual-slab GST system (5% and 18%) to simplify tax structures, reduce consumer prices, boost consumption
The proposed rate cuts are likely to drive increased consumption, benefiting sectors like automobiles, cement, and consumer durables, and provide a multi-engine growth boost for the economy.
With the GST reform potentially lowering inflation, raising private sector investments, and stimulating discretionary spending, we see a positive impact on GDP growth by around 1.6-2% in the medium term.


Thematic Report: Can Proposed GST Rate Cuts Revive Consumption Growth in India?

<ul><li>Our discretionary universe is set for a mixed performance in Q1FY26, with overall revenue projected to grow by ~18% YoY in Q1FY26, driven by a few outliers, both positive and negative</li><li>Excluding the strong growth from new age businesses (~49% growth YoY) and headwinds faced by paint companies (~2% growth YoY, negative), our universe is still likely to grow at ~17%</li><li>We anticipate continued margin pressure as SSSGs remain weak, ranging from negative to lower single-digits for most</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Our discretionary universe is set for a mixed performance in Q1FY26, with overall revenue projected to grow by ~18% YoY in Q1FY26, driven by a few outliers, both positive and negativeExcluding the strong growth from new age businesses (~49% growth YoY) and headwinds faced by paint companies (~2% growth YoY, negative), our universe is still likely to grow at ~17%We anticipate continued margin pressure as SSSGs remain weak, ranging from negative to lower single-digits for mostContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Consumer Discretionary (Q1FY26 Results Preview): Q1FY26–a mixed bag

<ul><li>Century Plyboards India: We maintain BUY on Century with a lower target price of INR 905/sh</li><li>We value Century Ply using SOTP—ex-particle board business at 40x Mar-27E EPS and the upcoming particle board business at 2x capital employed in Mar-27E</li><li>We expect gradual ramp-up of its MDF and laminate capacity</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Century Plyboards India: We maintain BUY on Century with a lower target price of INR 905/shWe value Century Ply using SOTP—ex-particle board business at 40x Mar-27E EPS and the upcoming particle board business at 2x capital employed in Mar-27EWe expect gradual ramp-up of its MDF and laminate capacityContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Century Plyboards India, Bata India, Greenlam Industries, Ahluwalia Contracts

India

Bata India Limited manufactures a wide range of leather, rubber/canvas and plastic footwear products.  The Company also manufactures sports apparel and leather accessories.  Bata India sells its products through its chain of company owned retail stores in India, as well as to businesses in the USA, United Kingdom, Europe, the Middle East and the Far East.

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Bata India Ltd (BATA IN)

Consumer Discretionary (Q3FY26 Results Preview): Q3FY26 – a mixed bag

Our consumer discretionary coverage universe (ex-Eternal) is expected to deliver ~20% YoY revenue growth in Q3 The growth primarily stems from...

HDFC Securities

Thematic Report on GST 2.0 Regime: Who Gains, Who Loses as India Bets on Demand Revival.

India's GST 2.0 reform cuts tax rates on essentials, durables, autos, and healthcare, potentially boosting consumption but risking fiscal deficits.

Sudarshan Bhandari

Thematic Report: Can Proposed GST Rate Cuts Revive Consumption Growth in India?

India is revamping its GST system with dual-slab rates to simplify taxes, reduce prices, and boost consumption, potentially driving GDP growth by...

Nimish Maheshwari

Consumer Discretionary (Q1FY26 Results Preview): Q1FY26–a mixed bag

Our discretionary universe is set for a mixed performance in Q1FY26, with overall revenue projected to grow by ~18% YoY in Q1FY26, driven by a few...

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: Century Plyboards India, Bata India, Greenlam Industries, Ahluwalia Contracts

We value Century Ply using SOTP—ex-particle board business at 40x Mar-27E EPS and the upcoming particle board business at 2x capital employed in...

HDFC Securities

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52-week Range

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Consumer Discretionary (Q3FY26 Results Preview): Q3FY26 – a mixed bag

Our consumer discretionary coverage universe (ex-Eternal) is expected to deliver ~20% YoY revenue growth in Q3 The growth primarily stems from...

HDFC Securities

Thematic Report on GST 2.0 Regime: Who Gains, Who Loses as India Bets on Demand Revival.

​India's GST 2.0 reform cuts tax rates on essentials, durables, autos, and healthcare, potentially boosting consumption but risking fiscal deficits.

Sudarshan Bhandari

Thematic Report: Can Proposed GST Rate Cuts Revive Consumption Growth in India?

​India is revamping its GST system with dual-slab rates to simplify taxes, reduce prices, and boost consumption, potentially driving GDP growth by...

Nimish Maheshwari

Consumer Discretionary (Q1FY26 Results Preview): Q1FY26–a mixed bag

Our discretionary universe is set for a mixed performance in Q1FY26, with overall revenue projected to grow by ~18% YoY in Q1FY26, driven by a few...

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: Century Plyboards India, Bata India, Greenlam Industries, Ahluwalia Contracts

We value Century Ply using SOTP—ex-particle board business at 40x Mar-27E EPS and the upcoming particle board business at 2x capital employed in...

HDFC Securities

India's GST 2.0 reform cuts tax rates on essentials, durables, autos, and healthcare, potentially boosting consumption but risking fiscal deficits.

India is revamping its GST system with dual-slab rates to simplify taxes, reduce prices, and boost consumption, potentially driving GDP growth by...