Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-next-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36053:1" rel="noopener">Nifty Next 50 Index</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-bank-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26811:1" rel="noopener">NSE Nifty Bank Index</a>, CNXIT Index, Nifty Midcap 150 Index, Nifty100 Low Volatility30 Index and the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cpse-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28191:1" rel="noopener">CPSE ETF</a> rebalance at the close tomorrow.</li>
<li>The round-trip trade across the indices is US$3.3bn and there are 13 stocks with over 1 day of ADV to trade from passive trackers.</li>
<li>Stocks with the largest inflows are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/trent-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8410:1" rel="noopener">Trent</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bharat-electronics-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6636:1" rel="noopener">Bharat Electronics</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/canara-bank" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:543:1" rel="noopener">Canara Bank</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bharat-heavy-electricals" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:460:1" rel="noopener">Bharat Heavy Electricals</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oil-natural-gas-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3456:1" rel="noopener">Oil &amp; Natural Gas Corp</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/coal-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9117:1" rel="noopener">Coal India</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hindustan-aeronautics-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26747:1" rel="noopener">Hindustan Aeronautics</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/interglobe-aviation-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24877:1" rel="noopener">InterGlobe Aviation</a>.</li>
</ul>


The NIFTY Index, Nifty Next 50 Index, NSE Nifty Bank Index, CNXIT Index, Nifty Midcap 150 Index, Nifty100 Low Volatility30 Index and the CPSE ETF rebalance at the close tomorrow.
The round-trip trade across the indices is US$3.3bn and there are 13 stocks with over 1 day of ADV to trade from passive trackers.
Stocks with the largest inflows are Trent, Bharat Electronics, Canara Bank, Bharat Heavy Electricals, Oil &amp; Natural Gas Corp, Coal India, Hindustan Aeronautics and InterGlobe Aviation.


NIFTY Indices: Flows (Post Capping) At the Close Tomorrow; Round-Trip US$3.3bn

Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>SEBI has overhauled F&amp;O eligibility criteria, introducing stricter norms for stock inclusion and exclusion for more active stocks. </li>
<li>As per calculation, New criteria will include 80 stocks and exclude 18 to 23, impacting market liquidity and stability.</li>
<li>This will lead to the creation of a more robust, transparent, and liquid for the F&amp;O Market.</li>
</ul>


SEBI has overhauled F&amp;O eligibility criteria, introducing stricter norms for stock inclusion and exclusion for more active stocks. 
As per calculation, New criteria will include 80 stocks and exclude 18 to 23, impacting market liquidity and stability.
This will lead to the creation of a more robust, transparent, and liquid for the F&amp;O Market.


SEBI's F&O Criteria Revision & Its Impact

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are 19 changes a side for the NIFTY Midcap 150 Index at the September rebalance. There are many stocks with same-way flows from passive trackers of other indices.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 9.8% resulting in a one-way trade of INR 8.2bn (US$98m). With US$40.1bn tracking the index actively, the impact on the stocks will be much larger.</li>
<li>The adds have outperformed the deletes this year, though near-term performance has been meh. There was a similar trend in March and the adds could outperform nearer to implementation.</li>
</ul>


There are 19 changes a side for the NIFTY Midcap 150 Index at the September rebalance. There are many stocks with same-way flows from passive trackers of other indices.
Estimated one-way turnover is 9.8% resulting in a one-way trade of INR 8.2bn (US$98m). With US$40.1bn tracking the index actively, the impact on the stocks will be much larger.
The adds have outperformed the deletes this year, though near-term performance has been meh. There was a similar trend in March and the adds could outperform nearer to implementation.


NIFTY MIDCAP150 Index Rebalance: 19 Changes a Side; Lots of Overlap with Other Index Flow

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

HDFC securities is the best online trading platform for stocks, IPOs, mutual fund in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>Bharat Forge: Bharat Forge’s consolidated revenue grew 6% YoY to INR 41.1bn, aided by recovery in its oil &amp; gas vertical</li><li>Due to benign material costs, EBITDA at INR 7.4bn beat our estimate of INR 6.6bn</li><li>The outlook remains positive, with growth across forgings, castings, and defence and improvement in the operational performance of overseas subsidiaries</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Bharat Forge: Bharat Forge’s consolidated revenue grew 6% YoY to INR 41.1bn, aided by recovery in its oil &amp; gas verticalDue to benign material costs, EBITDA at INR 7.4bn beat our estimate of INR 6.6bnThe outlook remains positive, with growth across forgings, castings, and defence and improvement in the operational performance of overseas subsidiariesContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Bharat Forge, Deepak Nitrite, Bata India, Century Plyboards India

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Bata India’s revenue stood at Rs 945Cr, de-grew by (1.4)% YoY (vs. our estimates of 5%YoY).</li><li>The company’s gross margins remain flattish, grew by 11bps to 54.9% (miss) whereas its EBITDA stood at Rs 185Cr, down by ~23%yoy and EBITDA margins came in at 19.6%(miss), declined by 542bpson account of one-time expenditure.</li><li>The company’s PAT was at Rs 13 Cr and grew by 63% due to an exceptional income of Rs 134Cr from sales of land(Faridabad).</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Bata India’s revenue stood at Rs 945Cr, de-grew by (1.4)% YoY (vs. our estimates of 5%YoY).The company’s gross margins remain flattish, grew by 11bps to 54.9% (miss) whereas its EBITDA stood at Rs 185Cr, down by ~23%yoy and EBITDA margins came in at 19.6%(miss), declined by 542bpson account of one-time expenditure.The company’s PAT was at Rs 13 Cr and grew by 63% due to an exceptional income of Rs 134Cr from sales of land(Faridabad).Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Bata India - Recovery to Be Gradual; Maintain HOLD

India

Bata India Limited manufactures a wide range of leather, rubber/canvas and plastic footwear products.  The Company also manufactures sports apparel and leather accessories.  Bata India sells its products through its chain of company owned retail stores in India, as well as to businesses in the USA, United Kingdom, Europe, the Middle East and the Far East.

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Bata India Ltd (BATA IN)

NIFTY Indices: Flows (Post Capping) At the Close Tomorrow; Round-Trip US$3.3bn

The next rebalance of the Nifty family of indices takes place at the close on 27 Sep. The round-trip trade is US$3.3bn and there are 13 stocks with...

Brian Freitas

SEBI's F&O Criteria Revision & Its Impact

SEBI introduces stricter F&O eligibility criteria, impacting market liquidity and stability by including 80 stocks and excluding 18 to 23. #SEBI...

Nimish Maheshwari

NIFTY MIDCAP150 Index Rebalance: 19 Changes a Side; Lots of Overlap with Other Index Flow

There are 19 changes for the index in Sep. Estimated one-way turnover is 9.8% resulting in a one-way trade of INR 8.2bn (US$98m). There are many...

Brian Freitas

HSIE Results Daily: Bharat Forge, Deepak Nitrite, Bata India, Century Plyboards India

Bharat Forge: Bharat Forge’s consolidated revenue grew 6% YoY to INR 41.1bn, aided by recovery in its oil & gas vertical

HDFC Securities

Bata India - Recovery to Be Gradual; Maintain HOLD

The company’s gross margins remain flattish, grew by 11bps to 54.9% (miss) whereas its EBITDA stood at Rs 185Cr, down by ~23%yoy and EBITDA margins...

Axis Direct

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

NIFTY Indices: Flows (Post Capping) At the Close Tomorrow; Round-Trip US$3.3bn

The next rebalance of the Nifty family of indices takes place at the close on 27 Sep. The round-trip trade is US$3.3bn and there are 13 stocks with...

Brian Freitas

SEBI's F&O Criteria Revision & Its Impact

​SEBI introduces stricter F&O eligibility criteria, impacting market liquidity and stability by including 80 stocks and excluding 18 to 23. #SEBI...

Nimish Maheshwari

NIFTY MIDCAP150 Index Rebalance: 19 Changes a Side; Lots of Overlap with Other Index Flow

There are 19 changes for the index in Sep. Estimated one-way turnover is 9.8% resulting in a one-way trade of INR 8.2bn (US$98m). There are many...

Brian Freitas

HSIE Results Daily: Bharat Forge, Deepak Nitrite, Bata India, Century Plyboards India

Bharat Forge: Bharat Forge’s consolidated revenue grew 6% YoY to INR 41.1bn, aided by recovery in its oil & gas vertical

HDFC Securities

Bata India - Recovery to Be Gradual; Maintain HOLD

The company’s gross margins remain flattish, grew by 11bps to 54.9% (miss) whereas its EBITDA stood at Rs 185Cr, down by ~23%yoy and EBITDA margins...

Axis Direct

SEBI introduces stricter F&O eligibility criteria, impacting market liquidity and stability by including 80 stocks and excluding 18 to 23. #SEBI...