Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Australian banks’ November earnings triggered sharp and divergent share-price reactions, widening performance dispersion across the sector.</li>
<li>Based on the most recent moves, ANZ (ANZ AU) and Westpac (WBC AU) appear overvalued versus peers and potentially overbought, while two other banks screen as comparatively oversold.</li>
<li>Statistical analysis identifies sixteen actionable opportunities for quantitative traders targeting mean reversion plays within the sector.</li>
</ul>


Australian banks’ November earnings triggered sharp and divergent share-price reactions, widening performance dispersion across the sector.
Based on the most recent moves, ANZ (ANZ AU) and Westpac (WBC AU) appear overvalued versus peers and potentially overbought, while two other banks screen as comparatively oversold.
Statistical analysis identifies sixteen actionable opportunities for quantitative traders targeting mean reversion plays within the sector.


Relative Value in Australian Banks: ANZ/Westpac Overbought; Macquarie/Bendigo to Catch Up

Event-Driven

Commonwealth Bank of Australia / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Australia's largest banks are due to report within the next four trading days. Collectively, they account for 23% of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a>.</li>
<li>A beat or miss of expectations can result in a strong move, up or down. This Insight analyzes options to provide an indication of how big a move to expect.</li>
<li>Option traders price in outsized moves for several but not all banks, with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/anz-group-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40898:1" rel="noopener">ANZ (ANZ AU)</a> as the largest outlier.</li>
</ul>


Australia's largest banks are due to report within the next four trading days. Collectively, they account for 23% of the S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX).
A beat or miss of expectations can result in a strong move, up or down. This Insight analyzes options to provide an indication of how big a move to expect.
Option traders price in outsized moves for several but not all banks, with ANZ (ANZ AU) as the largest outlier.


Australia’s Big Banks: Options Flash Mixed Signals Ahead of Earnings

<ul>
<li>
Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.</li>
<li>
Highlights: Currently 14 pair trade opportunities across four markets and six sectors persist.</li>
<li>
Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.</li>
</ul>



Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.

Highlights: Currently 14 pair trade opportunities across four markets and six sectors persist.

Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.


Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (13 Oct)

<ul>
<li>
Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.</li>
<li>
Highlights: Currently nine pair trade opportunities across four markets and five sectors persist.</li>
<li>
Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.</li>
</ul>



Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.

Highlights: Currently nine pair trade opportunities across four markets and five sectors persist.

Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.


Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (6 Oct)

<ul>
<li>
Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.</li>
<li>
Highlights: Currently ten pair trade opportunities across four markets and four sectors persist.</li>
<li>
Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.</li>
</ul>



Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.

Highlights: Currently ten pair trade opportunities across four markets and four sectors persist.

Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.


Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (29 Sep)

Australia

Bendigo and Adelaide Bank Limited offers a variety of banking and other financial services, including first mortgage housing finance, retail and business banking, commercial finance, funds management, treasury and foreign exchange services, superannuation and trustee services. Bendigo also offers internet banking.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Bendigo And Adelaide Bank (BEN AU)

Relative Value in Australian Banks: ANZ/Westpac Overbought; Macquarie/Bendigo to Catch Up

Earnings in November led to varying share-price reactions, with ANZ and Westpac outperforming. Statistical analysis identifies sixteen...

Gaudenz Schneider

Australia’s Big Banks: Options Flash Mixed Signals Ahead of Earnings

Australia’s largest banks report within four trading days, and options pricing offers a snapshot of where volatility could strike — particularly in...

Gaudenz Schneider

Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (13 Oct)

Statistical methodology identifies 14 pair trade opportunities across four markets and six sectors, offering unique insights into relative value.

Gaudenz Schneider

Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (6 Oct)

Statistical methodology identifies nine pair trade opportunities across four markets and five sectors, offering unique insights into relative value.

Gaudenz Schneider

Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (29 Sep)

Ten pair trade opportunities across four markets and four sectors, based on quantitative methodology. Offering unique insights into relative value.

Gaudenz Schneider

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Relative Value in Australian Banks: ANZ/Westpac Overbought; Macquarie/Bendigo to Catch Up

Earnings in November led to varying share-price reactions, with ANZ and Westpac outperforming. Statistical analysis identifies sixteen...

Gaudenz Schneider

Australia’s Big Banks: Options Flash Mixed Signals Ahead of Earnings

Australia’s largest banks report within four trading days, and options pricing offers a snapshot of where volatility could strike — particularly in...

Gaudenz Schneider

Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (13 Oct)

​Statistical methodology identifies 14 pair trade opportunities across four markets and six sectors, offering unique insights into relative value.

Gaudenz Schneider

Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (6 Oct)

​Statistical methodology identifies nine pair trade opportunities across four markets and five sectors, offering unique insights into relative value.

Gaudenz Schneider

Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (29 Sep)

Ten pair trade opportunities across four markets and four sectors, based on quantitative methodology. Offering unique insights into relative value.

Gaudenz Schneider

Statistical methodology identifies 14 pair trade opportunities across four markets and six sectors, offering unique insights into relative value.

Statistical methodology identifies nine pair trade opportunities across four markets and five sectors, offering unique insights into relative value.