Global Editor, Base Oil News

Iain Pocock

Global Editor

Global Base Oils and Lubricants Markets

Base Oil News

Base Oil News focuses on the interplay between fundamentals and prices in the global base oils and lubricants markets.

Baseoilnews.com combines daily, weekly and monthly base oils and lubes fundamentals data from every region of the world to build the most comprehensive and up-to-date global picture of the state of the market.

The data and analysis provide key tools to understand current market developments and opportunities and to anticipate how the market is likely to behave in the coming months.

Base oils producers, lube blenders and consumers can then better plan accordingly.

Baseoilnews.com analyses and publishes market news and data every day as it breaks.

Commodities

<ul><li>Asia’s Group II base oils price-premium to Singapore gasoil holds in narrow range.</li><li>Firm gasoil premium to crude oil puts more pressure on refiners to trim light-grade supply rather than heavy grades, despite persistent surplus availability of heavy grades.</li><li>Asia’s base oils supply-surplus could face more upward pressure over coming months, even with firmer gasoil premium to crude, amid lighter round of plant-maintenance and start-up of new base oils units.</li></ul>

Asia’s Group II base oils price-premium to Singapore gasoil holds in narrow range.Firm gasoil premium to crude oil puts more pressure on refiners to trim light-grade supply rather than heavy grades, despite persistent surplus availability of heavy grades.Asia’s base oils supply-surplus could face more upward pressure over coming months, even with firmer gasoil premium to crude, amid lighter round of plant-maintenance and start-up of new base oils units.

Asia base oils supply outlook: Week of 13 October

<ul><li>Asia Group I heavy-neutrals price falls vs ex-tank UAE price since early-August to widest discount in more than two years.</li><li>Wider price-discount facilitates arbitrage to move surplus supplies from Asia to Middle East.</li><li>Asia’s surplus Group I supplies rise amid pick-up in imports from other regions like Europe, as well as recovery in output in markets like Thailand after plant-maintenance work.</li></ul>

Asia Group I heavy-neutrals price falls vs ex-tank UAE price since early-August to widest discount in more than two years.Wider price-discount facilitates arbitrage to move surplus supplies from Asia to Middle East.Asia’s surplus Group I supplies rise amid pick-up in imports from other regions like Europe, as well as recovery in output in markets like Thailand after plant-maintenance work.

Global base oils arb outlook: Week of 13 October

<ul><li>Global base oils prices mostly hold firm versus feedstock/competing fuel prices amid further drop in crude oil prices.</li><li>Mostly-steady outright base oils prices and lower crude prices cushion impact of strong gasoil premium to crude oil.</li><li>Strong gasoil crack-spread incentivizes any refinery moves to trim output levels to focus more on light grades than heavy grades.</li></ul>

Global base oils prices mostly hold firm versus feedstock/competing fuel prices amid further drop in crude oil prices.Mostly-steady outright base oils prices and lower crude prices cushion impact of strong gasoil premium to crude oil.Strong gasoil crack-spread incentivizes any refinery moves to trim output levels to focus more on light grades than heavy grades.

Global base oils margins outlook: Week of 13 October

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic, Beat the Street

Sudarshan Bhandari

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>IGL is set for a significant margin boost from a VAT reduction on Gujarat-sourced gas, the new PNGRB two-zone tariff, and lower crude-linked input costs</li>
<li>The reduced VAT, new tariff structure, and falling oil prices position IGL for significant margin growth, potentially boosting PAT by 8-15% in the coming years.</li>
<li>Favorable regulatory changes and reduced raw material costs create a clear pathway for IGL to achieve its higher EBITDA per SCM guidance and sustain robust volume growth.</li>
</ul>


IGL is set for a significant margin boost from a VAT reduction on Gujarat-sourced gas, the new PNGRB two-zone tariff, and lower crude-linked input costs
The reduced VAT, new tariff structure, and falling oil prices position IGL for significant margin growth, potentially boosting PAT by 8-15% in the coming years.
Favorable regulatory changes and reduced raw material costs create a clear pathway for IGL to achieve its higher EBITDA per SCM guidance and sustain robust volume growth.


IGL: Strategic Advantages in Tax and Crude Price Lead to Higher Profit Growth

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The WisdomTree Emerging Markets High Dividend Index is a fundamentally weighted index that measures the performance of high dividend yield stocks within emerging markets.</li>
<li>The changes at the October rebalance were announced after market close on 6 October with implementation scheduled at the close on 15 October.</li>
<li>There are 217 adds and 224 deletes for the index with an estimated round-trip trade of US$2.3bn. There are many stocks with over 2x ADV to trade.</li>
</ul>


The WisdomTree Emerging Markets High Dividend Index is a fundamentally weighted index that measures the performance of high dividend yield stocks within emerging markets.
The changes at the October rebalance were announced after market close on 6 October with implementation scheduled at the close on 15 October.
There are 217 adds and 224 deletes for the index with an estimated round-trip trade of US$2.3bn. There are many stocks with over 2x ADV to trade.


WisdomTree Emerging Markets High Dividend Index Rebalance: US$2.3bn Round-Trip Trade

India

Bharat Petroleum Corporation Limited explores for and refines crude oil. The Company manufactures petroleum, petroleum products, lubricants, liquefied petroleum gas, aromatics like benzene and toluene, and other related products. Bharat has retail outlets throughout the country.

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Bharat Petroleum Corp (BPCL IN)

Asia base oils supply outlook: Week of 13 October

Asia’s Group II base oils price-premium to Singapore gasoil holds in narrow range. Firm gasoil premium to crude oil puts more pressure on refiners...

Base Oil News

Global base oils arb outlook: Week of 13 October

Asia Group I heavy-neutrals price falls vs ex-tank UAE price since early-August to widest discount in more than two years. Wider price-discount...

Base Oil News

Global base oils margins outlook: Week of 13 October

Global base oils prices mostly hold firm versus feedstock/competing fuel prices amid further drop in crude oil prices. Mostly-steady outright base...

Base Oil News

IGL: Strategic Advantages in Tax and Crude Price Lead to Higher Profit Growth

IGL poised for margin growth with VAT reduction, new tariff structure, and lower input costs, potentially boosting PAT by 8-15% in coming years.

Sudarshan Bhandari

WisdomTree Emerging Markets High Dividend Index Rebalance: US$2.3bn Round-Trip Trade

There are 217 adds/224 deletes for the WisdomTree Emerging Markets High Dividend Index. The round-trip trade is around US$2.3bn and there are a...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Asia base oils supply outlook: Week of 13 October

Asia’s Group II base oils price-premium to Singapore gasoil holds in narrow range. Firm gasoil premium to crude oil puts more pressure on refiners...

Base Oil News

Global base oils arb outlook: Week of 13 October

Asia Group I heavy-neutrals price falls vs ex-tank UAE price since early-August to widest discount in more than two years. Wider price-discount...

Base Oil News

Global base oils margins outlook: Week of 13 October

Global base oils prices mostly hold firm versus feedstock/competing fuel prices amid further drop in crude oil prices. Mostly-steady outright base...

Base Oil News

IGL: Strategic Advantages in Tax and Crude Price Lead to Higher Profit Growth

​IGL poised for margin growth with VAT reduction, new tariff structure, and lower input costs, potentially boosting PAT by 8-15% in coming years.

Sudarshan Bhandari

WisdomTree Emerging Markets High Dividend Index Rebalance: US$2.3bn Round-Trip Trade

There are 217 adds/224 deletes for the WisdomTree Emerging Markets High Dividend Index. The round-trip trade is around US$2.3bn and there are a...

Brian Freitas

IGL poised for margin growth with VAT reduction, new tariff structure, and lower input costs, potentially boosting PAT by 8-15% in coming years.