Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>The Reserve Bank of Australia is set to announce its Monetary Policy on 18 February. The current RBA rate stands at 4.35% with no change since 2024. </li>
<li>The market is expecting a 0.25% rate cut. Options expiring on 20 February provide an instrument to trade this event. </li>
<li>Option pricing is in-line with historical <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a> moves on days after expected rate changes. Contrarians expecting no change might find value in put options.</li>
</ul>


The Reserve Bank of Australia is set to announce its Monetary Policy on 18 February. The current RBA rate stands at 4.35% with no change since 2024. 
The market is expecting a 0.25% rate cut. Options expiring on 20 February provide an instrument to trade this event. 
Option pricing is in-line with historical S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) moves on days after expected rate changes. Contrarians expecting no change might find value in put options.


Eqd | S&P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) - RBA Decision: Will the Anticipated Rate Cut Drive the Market?

<ul>
<li>Today, the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a> reached a new all-time high while implied volatility is near record low levels. The combination makes for a good opportunity to hedge.</li>
<li>Volatility assessment trough conventional volatility metrics and one new chart not seen anywhere else.</li>
<li>An actionable example of a put option hedge is presented, striking a balance between protection and cost.</li>
</ul>


Today, the S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) reached a new all-time high while implied volatility is near record low levels. The combination makes for a good opportunity to hedge.
Volatility assessment trough conventional volatility metrics and one new chart not seen anywhere else.
An actionable example of a put option hedge is presented, striking a balance between protection and cost.


EQD | S&P/ASX 200 Option Strategy -  Today's All-Time-High Calls for Proactive Hedging

Global Commodities, Mint Finance

Srinidhi Raghavendra

Global Commodities

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

Commodities

<ul>
<li>Mixed steel prices reflected short-term boosts from rising hot metal output and policy support, offset by lingering property sector woes, trade uncertainties, and structural market challenges.</li>
<li>IO prices consolidated and closed slightly above the 200-day DMA indicating the strengthening of the bullish trend. Bulls risk facing a consolidation or downward correction from these levels. </li>
<li>Managed Money, Physicals participants &amp; Others are net short with 129.1k, 5.1k &amp; 18.6k lots respectively across all F&amp;O expiries. Managed Money decreased net shorts while FIIs decreased net longs.</li>
</ul>


Mixed steel prices reflected short-term boosts from rising hot metal output and policy support, offset by lingering property sector woes, trade uncertainties, and structural market challenges.
IO prices consolidated and closed slightly above the 200-day DMA indicating the strengthening of the bullish trend. Bulls risk facing a consolidation or downward correction from these levels. 
Managed Money, Physicals participants &amp; Others are net short with 129.1k, 5.1k &amp; 18.6k lots respectively across all F&amp;O expiries. Managed Money decreased net shorts while FIIs decreased net longs.


Iron Ore Weekly TA Review [2025/04]: Continued Bullishness Pre-CNY

Breaking Down the Mining News of the Day, Money of Mine

Money of Mine

Breaking Down the Mining News of the Day

An ex-underground miner, an ex-investment banker, and an ex-equity research guy breaking down the mining news of the day. It's a bit of entertainment, information, and occasionally some alpha.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Mr. Kerr's focus on resources in Australia and surprises in the industry, including BHP Anglo's moves and Liontown's share value drop</li><li>Corporate governance issues with Andrew Forrest and Fortescue, including concessions on hydrogen targets</li><li>Challenges in the hydrogen and lithium sectors, such as BP's Australian renewable energy hub proposal and Rio Tinto's large investment</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Mr. Kerr's focus on resources in Australia and surprises in the industry, including BHP Anglo's moves and Liontown's share value dropCorporate governance issues with Andrew Forrest and Fortescue, including concessions on hydrogen targetsChallenges in the hydrogen and lithium sectors, such as BP's Australian renewable energy hub proposal and Rio Tinto's large investmentThis content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Biggest Mining stories of 2024 – AFR’s Peter Ker

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Rio doubles down on lithium investment in Rincon, with a US $2.5 billion expansion plan</li><li>BHP and Rio have historically had differing views on commodities, with examples in Potash, aluminium, and mineral sands</li><li>Rincon project aims to expand production to 60,000 tonnes per annum, with heavy reliance on DLE technology for extraction and processing</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Rio doubles down on lithium investment in Rincon, with a US $2.5 billion expansion planBHP and Rio have historically had differing views on commodities, with examples in Potash, aluminium, and mineral sandsRincon project aims to expand production to 60,000 tonnes per annum, with heavy reliance on DLE technology for extraction and processingThis content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Australia

BHP Billiton Limited is an international resources company.  The Company's principal business lines are mineral exploration and production, including coal, iron ore, gold, titanium, ferroalloys, nickel and copper concentrate, as well as petroleum exploration, production, and refining.  Dually-listed company with BLT LN.

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BHP Group Ltd (BHP US)

Eqd | S&P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) - RBA Decision: Will the Anticipated Rate Cut Drive the Market?

The RBA is expected to announce a 0.25% rate cut on 18 February, with options providing a trading opportunity for contrarians who believe there...

Gaudenz Schneider

EQD | S&P/ASX 200 Option Strategy - Today's All-Time-High Calls for Proactive Hedging

See an innovative and novel chart. Today's S&P/ASX 200 new all-time high in combination with record low volatility presents a good opportunity to...

Gaudenz Schneider

Iron Ore Weekly TA Review [2025/04]: Continued Bullishness Pre-CNY

Steel prices face short-term boosts from rising hot metal output and policy support. IO prices show bullish trend strengthening pre-CNY but risks...

Mint Finance

Biggest Mining stories of 2024 – AFR’s Peter Ker

Mr. Kerr focuses on resources, BHP Anglo makes surprising move in 2024, battery metal slump impacts Lion Town and Nickel West, Minray and Andrew...

Money of Mine

Rio’s Stausholm makes his defining bet

Rio Tinto invests $2.5 billion in Rincon for lithium production, expanding their global presence and showcasing CEO Jakob Stausholm's leadership.

Money of Mine

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Eqd | S&P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) - RBA Decision: Will the Anticipated Rate Cut Drive the Market?

​The RBA is expected to announce a 0.25% rate cut on 18 February, with options providing a trading opportunity for contrarians who believe there...

Gaudenz Schneider

EQD | S&P/ASX 200 Option Strategy - Today's All-Time-High Calls for Proactive Hedging

See an innovative and novel chart. Today's ​S&P/ASX 200 new all-time high in combination with record low volatility presents a good opportunity to...

Gaudenz Schneider

Iron Ore Weekly TA Review [2025/04]: Continued Bullishness Pre-CNY

​Steel prices face short-term boosts from rising hot metal output and policy support. IO prices show bullish trend strengthening pre-CNY but risks...

Mint Finance

Biggest Mining stories of 2024 – AFR’s Peter Ker

Mr. Kerr focuses on resources, BHP Anglo makes surprising move in 2024, battery metal slump impacts Lion Town and Nickel West, Minray and Andrew...

Money of Mine

Rio’s Stausholm makes his defining bet

Rio Tinto invests $2.5 billion in Rincon for lithium production, expanding their global presence and showcasing CEO Jakob Stausholm's leadership.

Money of Mine

The RBA is expected to announce a 0.25% rate cut on 18 February, with options providing a trading opportunity for contrarians who believe there...

See an innovative and novel chart. Today's S&P/ASX 200 new all-time high in combination with record low volatility presents a good opportunity to...

Steel prices face short-term boosts from rising hot metal output and policy support. IO prices show bullish trend strengthening pre-CNY but risks...