Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment.</li>
<li>In our prior Int'l Compass (Oct. 16) we discussed how the pullback was testing the uptrend, and we were buyers; this worked out well with indexes back at all-time highs.</li>
<li>Taiwan, China, Korea, and the U.S. remain our only overweights, but India is becoming more attractive as well -- add selective exposure. Many buy ideas highlighted in these countries.</li>
</ul>


We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment.
In our prior Int'l Compass (Oct. 16) we discussed how the pullback was testing the uptrend, and we were buyers; this worked out well with indexes back at all-time highs.
Taiwan, China, Korea, and the U.S. remain our only overweights, but India is becoming more attractive as well -- add selective exposure. Many buy ideas highlighted in these countries.


India Finally Showing Signs of Life; Remain Overweight Taiwan, China, Korea, and the U.S.

<ul>
<li>We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment.</li>
<li>Our bullish near-term outlook will remain in place as long as the 4+ month uptrend continues on ACWI-US. Remain aggressively long/continue to expect more upside into year-end and the early2026.</li>
<li>Europe's EURO STOXX 50 is breaking out from its 7-month base, above the crucial 5500 level, and RS is attempting to reverse its 5-month downtrend -- buy.</li>
</ul>


We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment.
Our bullish near-term outlook will remain in place as long as the 4+ month uptrend continues on ACWI-US. Remain aggressively long/continue to expect more upside into year-end and the early2026.
Europe's EURO STOXX 50 is breaking out from its 7-month base, above the crucial 5500 level, and RS is attempting to reverse its 5-month downtrend -- buy.


Europe Breaking Out From 7-Month Base -- Buy; Remain Overweight Taiwan, China, Korea, and the U.S.

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Ying Pan

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>3690 HK/PDD US/BABA US: SAMR issues compliance guidelines for online platform fee practices (-/-/-)</li>
<li>3690 HK: "Shen Qiang Shou" and "Pin Hao Fan" Both Surpass 10 Million Daily Orders (+)</li>
<li>TCOM US: Thailand's Foreign Tourist Arrivals Decline by 2% YoY, Chinese Tourists Drop 33% (-)</li>
</ul>


3690 HK/PDD US/BABA US: SAMR issues compliance guidelines for online platform fee practices (-/-/-)
3690 HK: "Shen Qiang Shou" and "Pin Hao Fan" Both Surpass 10 Million Daily Orders (+)
TCOM US: Thailand's Foreign Tourist Arrivals Decline by 2% YoY, Chinese Tourists Drop 33% (-)


[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:3690 HK/PDD US/BABA US/TCOM US/700 HK/NTES US/1024 HK/JD US/BILI US/AI

<ul>
<li>BABA US: Alibaba’s Qwen Team to Launch AGI-like Deep Research Functionality for Free User Access(+)</li>
<li>BABA US: Ele.me's Retail Digital System Integrated into Taobao Instashopping (+)</li>
<li>JD US/3690 HK: JD, Meituan, Ele.me Summoned by Government (///)</li>
</ul>


BABA US: Alibaba’s Qwen Team to Launch AGI-like Deep Research Functionality for Free User Access(+)
BABA US: Ele.me's Retail Digital System Integrated into Taobao Instashopping (+)
JD US/3690 HK: JD, Meituan, Ele.me Summoned by Government (///)


[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:BABA US/JD US/3690 HK/PDD US/Red Note/BILI US/1810 HK

<ul>
<li>JD US/3690 HK:Both JD and Metiuan Raise Standards for Premium Food Delivery (+)</li>
<li>700 HK/1024 HK: Tencent Releases Multimodal Video Generation AI Model Hunyuan Custom (+/-)</li>
<li>BILI US: Bilibili Launches New AI Advertising Tool “Insight Agent” (+)</li>
</ul>


JD US/3690 HK:Both JD and Metiuan Raise Standards for Premium Food Delivery (+)
700 HK/1024 HK: Tencent Releases Multimodal Video Generation AI Model Hunyuan Custom (+/-)
BILI US: Bilibili Launches New AI Advertising Tool “Insight Agent” (+)


[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:JD US/3690 HK/700 HK/1024 HK/BILI US/BIDU US/BABA US

China

Bilibili Inc. provides online entertainment services. The Company offers a platform that covers a wide array of genres and media formats, including videos, live broadcasting, mobile games, animation, and comics. Bilibili serves customers in China.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
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Bilibili (BILI US)

India Finally Showing Signs of Life; Remain Overweight Taiwan, China, Korea, and the U.S.

India's $SENSEX Finally Showing Signs of Life; Remain Overweight Taiwan, China, Korea, and the U.S.; Bullish Outlook Intact on $ACWI; Actionable...

Vermilion Research

Europe Breaking Out From 7-Month Base -- Buy; Remain Overweight Taiwan, China, Korea, and the U.S.

Europe EURO $STOXX 50 Breaking Out From 7-Month Base -- Buy; Remain Overweight Taiwan $EWT, China $MCHI, Korea $EWY, and the U.S. $SPX; Bullish...

Vermilion Research

[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:3690 HK/PDD US/BABA US/TCOM US/700 HK/NTES US/1024 HK/JD US/BILI US/AI

SAMR issues compliance guidelines for online platform fees; "Shen Qiang Shou" and "Pin Hao Fan" exceed 10M daily orders;Thailand sees decline in...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:BABA US/JD US/3690 HK/PDD US/Red Note/BILI US/1810 HK

Alibaba's Qwen Team to offer AGI-like deep research for free, Ele.me's retail system integrated into Taobao Instashopping, JD, Meituan, Ele.me...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:JD US/3690 HK/700 HK/1024 HK/BILI US/BIDU US/BABA US

JD and Meituan raise standards for premium food delivery, Tencent releases new AI model, Bilibili launches AI advertising tool.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

India Finally Showing Signs of Life; Remain Overweight Taiwan, China, Korea, and the U.S.

India's $SENSEX Finally Showing Signs of Life; Remain Overweight Taiwan, China, Korea, and the U.S.; Bullish Outlook Intact on $ACWI; Actionable...

Vermilion Research

Europe Breaking Out From 7-Month Base -- Buy; Remain Overweight Taiwan, China, Korea, and the U.S.

Europe EURO $STOXX 50 Breaking Out From 7-Month Base -- Buy; Remain Overweight Taiwan $EWT, China $MCHI, Korea $EWY, and the U.S. $SPX; Bullish...

Vermilion Research

[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:3690 HK/PDD US/BABA US/TCOM US/700 HK/NTES US/1024 HK/JD US/BILI US/AI

​SAMR issues compliance guidelines for online platform fees; "Shen Qiang Shou" and "Pin Hao Fan" exceed 10M daily orders;Thailand sees decline in...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:BABA US/JD US/3690 HK/PDD US/Red Note/BILI US/1810 HK

​Alibaba's Qwen Team to offer AGI-like deep research for free, Ele.me's retail system integrated into Taobao Instashopping, JD, Meituan, Ele.me...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:JD US/3690 HK/700 HK/1024 HK/BILI US/BIDU US/BABA US

​JD and Meituan raise standards for premium food delivery, Tencent releases new AI model, Bilibili launches AI advertising tool.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

SAMR issues compliance guidelines for online platform fees; "Shen Qiang Shou" and "Pin Hao Fan" exceed 10M daily orders;Thailand sees decline in...

Alibaba's Qwen Team to offer AGI-like deep research for free, Ele.me's retail system integrated into Taobao Instashopping, JD, Meituan, Ele.me...

JD and Meituan raise standards for premium food delivery, Tencent releases new AI model, Bilibili launches AI advertising tool.