Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bloks-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43648:1" rel="noopener">Bloks Group (1850960D CH)</a> was massively oversubscribed, traded 82% higher on Friday and closed its listing day 40% higher than the IPO price.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bloks-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43648:1" rel="noopener">Bloks Group (1850960D CH)</a> now has a full market cap of US$2.7bn. However, lock-ups and cornerstone allocations result in a much lower free float.</li>
<li>Index inclusions could take place in August and September, but the passive buying is a fraction of the number of shares that will come off lock-up expiry in early July.</li>
</ul>



Bloks Group (1850960D CH) was massively oversubscribed, traded 82% higher on Friday and closed its listing day 40% higher than the IPO price.

Bloks Group (1850960D CH) now has a full market cap of US$2.7bn. However, lock-ups and cornerstone allocations result in a much lower free float.
Index inclusions could take place in August and September, but the passive buying is a fraction of the number of shares that will come off lock-up expiry in early July.


Bloks Group (325 HK): Bumper Listing; Index Inclusion Timeline

US-EU Index Rebalances / Quantitative Researcher

Dimitris Ioannidis

Global Financial Data and Analytics Platform

ORTEX

ORTEX is a global financial data and analytics platform providing real-time securities lending and short interest data, index rebalance data, holdings and insider transactions, trading signals, corporate actions and news,  stock machine learning and factor scores and other analytics. The majority of the data are downloadable and accessible through APIs.

Yibin City Commercial Bank / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yibin-city-commercial-bank-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39930:1" rel="noopener">Yibin City Commercial Bank Co Ltd (2596 HK)</a> is scheduled to debut on the HKEX on 13 January 2025 at a market capitalization of ~$1.6bn.</li>
<li>The IPO free float is 100% as the offered shares represent all the listed shares. However, the significant amount of unlisted shares result in a low fcap.</li>
<li>The security can be added at the June 2025 review if the stock price mimics the IPO debut of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bloks-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43648:1" rel="noopener">Bloks (325 HK)</a> and surges by ~84%.</li>
</ul>



Yibin City Commercial Bank Co Ltd (2596 HK) is scheduled to debut on the HKEX on 13 January 2025 at a market capitalization of ~$1.6bn.
The IPO free float is 100% as the offered shares represent all the listed shares. However, the significant amount of unlisted shares result in a low fcap.
The security can be added at the June 2025 review if the stock price mimics the IPO debut of Bloks (325 HK) and surges by ~84%.


Yibin Bank (2596 HK): 100% IPO Float Fails to Secure Global Index Inclusion

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Clarence Chu

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bloks-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43648:1" rel="noopener">Bloks Group (1850960D CH)</a> is looking to raise US$187m in its Hong Kong IPO.</li>
<li>Bloks Groups (Bloks) operates in the toy segment where it primarily assembles character and brick-based toys.</li>
<li>We have covered various aspects of the deal in our previous note. In this note, we will talk about the demand and trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Bloks Group (1850960D CH) is looking to raise US$187m in its Hong Kong IPO.
Bloks Groups (Bloks) operates in the toy segment where it primarily assembles character and brick-based toys.
We have covered various aspects of the deal in our previous note. In this note, we will talk about the demand and trading dynamics.


Bloks Group IPO Trading - Strongest HK IPO Demand in Recent Years

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

<ul>
<li>2024 marked our ninth year covering Equity Capital Markets in Asia-Pacific. In 2024, IPO volumes were mainly driven by India, even as Hong Kong showed signs of turning a corner.</li>
<li>We ended 2024 with an accuracy rate of 79.4% across 68 IPOs that we covered and 68.8% across 109 placements.</li>
<li>For those not familiar with our coverage, we aim to cover all IPOs and placements with a minimum deal size of US$100m across Asia-Pacific, including China ADRs.</li>
</ul>


2024 marked our ninth year covering Equity Capital Markets in Asia-Pacific. In 2024, IPO volumes were mainly driven by India, even as Hong Kong showed signs of turning a corner.
We ended 2024 with an accuracy rate of 79.4% across 68 IPOs that we covered and 68.8% across 109 placements.
For those not familiar with our coverage, we aim to cover all IPOs and placements with a minimum deal size of US$100m across Asia-Pacific, including China ADRs.


Aequitas 2024 IPOs and Placements Performance Review-India Driving Volumes as HK Shows Signs of Life

Covering IPOs, Healthcare and Technology Stocks

Andrei Zakharov

<ul>
<li>Bloks Group, a founder-led toy maker and owner of trusted brand “Blokees”, will price its IPO this week. Shares are set to begin trading on January 10, 2025.</li>
<li>I would expect strong first trading-day return as HK public offering was already 5,000+ times oversubscribed at high end of marketed price range.</li>
<li>I believe investors are rationally optimistic about the company. Bloks Group IPO attracted a surge of retail investors, and the stock may skyrocket above IPO price on first trading-day.</li>
</ul>


Bloks Group, a founder-led toy maker and owner of trusted brand “Blokees”, will price its IPO this week. Shares are set to begin trading on January 10, 2025.
I would expect strong first trading-day return as HK public offering was already 5,000+ times oversubscribed at high end of marketed price range.
I believe investors are rationally optimistic about the company. Bloks Group IPO attracted a surge of retail investors, and the stock may skyrocket above IPO price on first trading-day.


Bloks Group Likely To Price IPO at High End of Range: What To Expect From First Trading-Day?

China

Bloks Group is a toy manufacturer specializing in the design, development, and sales of brick-based and assembly character toys. The company offers both self-developed intellectual property products and licensed products from popular franchises. Bloks Group is headquartered in Shanghai, China, and was founded in 2014.

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Bloks Group (325 HK)