Research from Water Tower Research, Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research

Research from Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research is a leading equity research firm that provides research on micro, small and mid cap companies.

Water Tower Research was founded by Wall Street veterans after witnessing a fundamental shift in the investment research industry with the result being a declining knowledge base among investors, a lack of awareness and a shrinking pool of fundamental research being conducted on companies across the small-cap and micro-cap spectrum. The same issues are now increasingly occurring in the mid-cap space. This sea change within the investment community is impacting not only the companies themselves but also current shareholders and potential investors. With significantly less active sell-side sponsorship by Wall Street, a substantial information gap has developed between companies and various constituents in the financial community. The net result is fewer channels for insight and information to flow between companies and investors.

Equity Research Firm

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>WTR Sustainable Index: During the week ended January 27, 2023, the WTR Sustainable Index outperformed the broader market, rising 20.0% W/W versus the S&amp;P 500 Index (up 2.5%), the Russell 2000 Index (up 2.4%), and the Nasdaq Composite Index (up 4.3%).</li><li>Advanced Transportation Solutions (69% of the index) drove the outperformance, rising 30.7% , while Energy Technology (9% of index) was up 1.8% and Industrial Climate and Ag Technology was up 1.9%.</li><li>Valuation: Based on forward 12-month consensus estimates, the current P/E ratio of the WTR Sustainable index is 26.4x versus 18.3x for the S&amp;P 500.</li></ul>

WTR Sustainable Index: During the week ended January 27, 2023, the WTR Sustainable Index outperformed the broader market, rising 20.0% W/W versus the S&amp;P 500 Index (up 2.5%), the Russell 2000 Index (up 2.4%), and the Nasdaq Composite Index (up 4.3%).Advanced Transportation Solutions (69% of the index) drove the outperformance, rising 30.7% , while Energy Technology (9% of index) was up 1.8% and Industrial Climate and Ag Technology was up 1.9%.Valuation: Based on forward 12-month consensus estimates, the current P/E ratio of the WTR Sustainable index is 26.4x versus 18.3x for the S&amp;P 500.

Weekly Sustainable Investing Surveyor: Week Ended January 27, 2023

<ul><li>WTR Sustainable Index: During the week ended January 20, 2023, the WTR Sustainable Index outperformed the broader market, rising 3.3% W/W versus the S&amp;P 500 Index (down 0.7%), the Russell 2000 Index (down 1.0%), and the Nasdaq Composite Index (up 0.6%).</li><li>Advanced Transportation Solutions (63% of the index) drove the outperformance, rising 6.4% , while Energy Technology (11% of index) was down 1.5% and Industrial Climate and Ag Technology was down 1.6%.</li><li>Valuation: Based on forward 12-month consensus estimates, the current P/E ratio of the WTR Sustainable index is 24.3x versus 17.9x for the S&amp;P 500.</li></ul>

WTR Sustainable Index: During the week ended January 20, 2023, the WTR Sustainable Index outperformed the broader market, rising 3.3% W/W versus the S&amp;P 500 Index (down 0.7%), the Russell 2000 Index (down 1.0%), and the Nasdaq Composite Index (up 0.6%).Advanced Transportation Solutions (63% of the index) drove the outperformance, rising 6.4% , while Energy Technology (11% of index) was down 1.5% and Industrial Climate and Ag Technology was down 1.6%.Valuation: Based on forward 12-month consensus estimates, the current P/E ratio of the WTR Sustainable index is 24.3x versus 17.9x for the S&amp;P 500.

Weekly Sustainable Investing Surveyor: Week Ended January 20, 2023

Fundamental Short Selling Research

Eric Fernandez, CFA

TwoRiversAnalytics

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>This model seeks companies facing dangerously high leverage coupled with negative or declining cash flows.  It considers interest expense, capex and short term maturities for additional input. </li>
<li>The companies may not be viable given cash flows and capital structures.  These shorts tend to have  higher betas  and can have strong down moves as the crisis is recognized.</li>
<li>This week we flag: Fastly, Affirm Holdings, Bloom Energy, Wynn Resorts</li>
</ul>


This model seeks companies facing dangerously high leverage coupled with negative or declining cash flows.  It considers interest expense, capex and short term maturities for additional input. 
The companies may not be viable given cash flows and capital structures.  These shorts tend to have  higher betas  and can have strong down moves as the crisis is recognized.
This week we flag: Fastly, Affirm Holdings, Bloom Energy, Wynn Resorts


Solvency Risk Short Candidates: Fastly, Affirm Holdings, Bloom Energy, Wynn Resorts

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<p>Clean energy stocks of all types (e.g., hydrogen/fuel cell, solar, lithium, EVs, etc.) display major bullish price and RS inflections, and we expect strength to continue in the months ahead. This report focuses on buy opportunities within the hydrogen/fuel cell space; we are buyers at current levels -- buy PLUG, BE, BLDP, FCEL, and NEL-NO.</p>

Clean energy stocks of all types (e.g., hydrogen/fuel cell, solar, lithium, EVs, etc.) display major bullish price and RS inflections, and we expect strength to continue in the months ahead. This report focuses on buy opportunities within the hydrogen/fuel cell space; we are buyers at current levels -- buy PLUG, BE, BLDP, FCEL, and NEL-NO.

Hydrogen/Fuel Cell Stocks Are Bottoming -- Buy PLUG, BE, BLDP, FCEL, and NEL-NO

United States

Bloom Energy Corporation manufactures power generation equipment. The Company offers on-site power generation systems that utilizes fuel cell technology to generate electricity. Bloom Energy serves banking, health care, data centers, media and communication, food and beverage, logistics, technology, and utilities industries in the United States.

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Bloom Energy Corp (BE US)

Weekly Sustainable Investing Surveyor: Week Ended January 27, 2023

During the week ended January 27, 2023, the WTR Sustainable Index outperformed the broader market, rising 20.0% W/W versus the S&P 500 Index (up 2.5%)

Water Tower Research

Weekly Sustainable Investing Surveyor: Week Ended January 20, 2023

During the week ended January 20, 2023, the WTR Sustainable Index outperformed the broader market, rising 3.3% W/W versus the S&P 500 Index (down...

Water Tower Research

Solvency Risk Short Candidates: Fastly, Affirm Holdings, Bloom Energy, Wynn Resorts

This model seeks companies facing dangerously high leverage coupled with negative or declining cash flows. This week we flag: Fastly, Affirm...

Eric Fernandez, CFA

Hydrogen/Fuel Cell Stocks Are Bottoming -- Buy PLUG, BE, BLDP, FCEL, and NEL-NO

We highlight our favorite technical setups in order of attractiveness. Buy: PLUG, BE, BLDP, FCEL, and NEL-NO... see pages 2-4.

Vermilion Research

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