External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>ONGC: We maintain our ADD rating on ONGC with a target price of INR 208, based on oil and gas production growth at 6/9% CAGR over FY24-26E, attractive valuation of 4.7x Mar-25 EPS, a ~10% discount to 5-year average P/E of 5.2x, 0.7x Mar-25 P/Bv with RoE of ~16%, and a dividend yield of ~6%</li><li>However, this is offset by limited earnings potential, owing to the levy of a windfall tax on crude oil prices and a decline in the price of domestically produced APM gas</li><li>Q2FY24 reported EBITDA at INR 184bn (-2% YoY, -6% QoQ), coming in marginally below our estimate, owing to higher-than-expected statutory levies and other expenses</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

ONGC: We maintain our ADD rating on ONGC with a target price of INR 208, based on oil and gas production growth at 6/9% CAGR over FY24-26E, attractive valuation of 4.7x Mar-25 EPS, a ~10% discount to 5-year average P/E of 5.2x, 0.7x Mar-25 P/Bv with RoE of ~16%, and a dividend yield of ~6%However, this is offset by limited earnings potential, owing to the levy of a windfall tax on crude oil prices and a decline in the price of domestically produced APM gasQ2FY24 reported EBITDA at INR 184bn (-2% YoY, -6% QoQ), coming in marginally below our estimate, owing to higher-than-expected statutory levies and other expensesContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: ONGC, Eicher Motors, Trent, Berger Paints, BSE,

<ul><li>ONGC: We maintain our ADD rating on ONGC with a target price of INR 208, based on oil and gas production growth at 6/9% CAGR over FY24-26E, attractive valuation of 4.7x Mar-25 EPS, a ~10% discount to 5-year average P/E of 5.2x, 0.7x Mar-25 P/Bv with RoE of ~16%, and a dividend yield of ~6%</li><li>However, this is offset by limited earnings potential, owing to the levy of a windfall tax on crude oil prices and a decline in the price of domestically produced APM gas</li><li>Q2FY24 reported EBITDA at INR 184bn (-2% YoY, -6% QoQ), coming in marginally below our estimate, owing to higher-than-expected statutory levies and other expenses</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: ONGC, Eicher Motors, Trent, Berger Paints, BSE

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Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

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Event-Driven

National Stock Exchange of India / Event-Driven

National Stock Exchange of India (NSE IN)

<ul>
<li>NSE has floated a plan, discussed with investors on IPO roadshows, to let its own shares trade on its own platform, even though the stock will formally list on BSE.</li>
<li>This would split secondary-market turnover in what was meant to be BSE's marquee listing, denting the transaction revenue and prestige BSE had priced into hosting India's biggest IPO.</li>
<li>SEBI's approval for the self-trading mechanism is still pending, not granted. The DRHP clears a separate, earlier hurdle. Watch both approvals closely before pricing in either outcome.</li>
</ul>


NSE has floated a plan, discussed with investors on IPO roadshows, to let its own shares trade on its own platform, even though the stock will formally list on BSE.
This would split secondary-market turnover in what was meant to be BSE's marquee listing, denting the transaction revenue and prestige BSE had priced into hosting India's biggest IPO.
SEBI's approval for the self-trading mechanism is still pending, not granted. The DRHP clears a separate, earlier hurdle. Watch both approvals closely before pricing in either outcome.


How NSE's Self-Trading Could Dent BSE's Biggest IPO Windfall?

<ul><li>Exchanges: MCX revenue is expected to increase by 12% QoQ, led by growth in options revenue (+30% QoQ)</li><li>The higher payout to erstwhile tech vendors will impact profitability for Q2 and Q3 of FY24E</li><li>MCX will post an EBITDA/PAT loss in Q2. Post the tech transition the focus is on stabilising the new system and getting the volume back to normal level</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Exchanges: MCX revenue is expected to increase by 12% QoQ, led by growth in options revenue (+30% QoQ)The higher payout to erstwhile tech vendors will impact profitability for Q2 and Q3 of FY24EMCX will post an EBITDA/PAT loss in Q2. Post the tech transition the focus is on stabilising the new system and getting the volume back to normal levelContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Exchanges, Staffing and Internet (Q2FY24E Results Preview): On growth path

<ul><li>Bharat Forge: Bharat Forge’s consolidated PAT at INR 2.2 bn is better than our estimate of INR 1.8bn, led by a performance beat at both standalone and overseas subsidiaries</li><li>Performance beat was largely driven by better-than-expected revenue growth at the standalone entity and break-even at the Europe subsidiary</li><li>We continue to highlight that BHFC has multiple growth levers to offset any potential slowdown from US Class8 which include: (1) defence orders that are likely to see this segment’s revenue ramp-up to INR 17bn by FY25E, from INR 3.5bn in FY23, (2) strong growth expected in PV and industrial exports, (3) huge ramp-up potential at JS-Auto Cast, given its capacity is expected to increase by 2x and there is a huge demand for castings, both in India and abroad, (4) strong order backlog in aerospace, which would help boost revenue to INR 5bn over next the four years, from INR 1.7bn</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Bharat Forge: Bharat Forge’s consolidated PAT at INR 2.2 bn is better than our estimate of INR 1.8bn, led by a performance beat at both standalone and overseas subsidiariesPerformance beat was largely driven by better-than-expected revenue growth at the standalone entity and break-even at the Europe subsidiaryWe continue to highlight that BHFC has multiple growth levers to offset any potential slowdown from US Class8 which include: (1) defence orders that are likely to see this segment’s revenue ramp-up to INR 17bn by FY25E, from INR 3.5bn in FY23, (2) strong growth expected in PV and industrial exports, (3) huge ramp-up potential at JS-Auto Cast, given its capacity is expected to increase by 2x and there is a huge demand for castings, both in India and abroad, (4) strong order backlog in aerospace, which would help boost revenue to INR 5bn over next the four years, from INR 1.7bnContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Bharat Forge, Phoenix Mills, Oil India, Prestige Estates

India

BSE Ltd. is Asia's oldest stock exchange, providing a transparent market for trading in equities, debt instruments, derivatives, mutual funds, and other securities. It offers services including listing, trading, clearing, settlement, and data services, and operates platforms for SMEs and mutual fund distribution. The company is headquartered in Mumbai, India, and was founded in 1875.

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BSE (BSE IN)

HSIE Results Daily: ONGC, Eicher Motors, Trent, Berger Paints, BSE,

We maintain our ADD rating on ONGC with a target price of INR 208, based on oil and gas production growth at 6/9% CAGR over FY24-26E, attractive...

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: ONGC, Eicher Motors, Trent, Berger Paints, BSE

We maintain our ADD rating on ONGC with a target price of INR 208, based on oil and gas production growth at 6/9% CAGR over FY24-26E, attractive...

HDFC Securities

How NSE's Self-Trading Could Dent BSE's Biggest IPO Windfall?

NSE wants its own stock, once listed on BSE, to also trade on the NSE terminal. If SEBI agrees, India's largest-ever listing may not deliver the...

Nimish Maheshwari

Exchanges, Staffing and Internet (Q2FY24E Results Preview): On growth path

MCX will post an EBITDA/PAT loss in Q2. Post the tech transition the focus is on stabilising the new system and getting the volume back to normal...

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: Bharat Forge, Phoenix Mills, Oil India, Prestige Estates

Bharat Forge’s consolidated PAT at INR 2.2 bn is better than our estimate of INR 1.8bn, led by a performance beat at both standalone and overseas...

HDFC Securities

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