External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

HDFC securities is the best online trading platform for stocks, IPOs, mutual fund in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Following the implementation of regulatory changes mandating one weekly expiry per exchange, the notional volume has seen a significant decline across equity exchanges</li><li>The equity notional volume is down ~19% in Q3FY25E and ~37% in Dec 2024</li><li>Conversely, premium volumes have only decreased by 4% in Q3 and about 8% in Dec 2024, driven by a higher P/N ratio, which has risen from 15bps to ~23bps currently</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Following the implementation of regulatory changes mandating one weekly expiry per exchange, the notional volume has seen a significant decline across equity exchangesThe equity notional volume is down ~19% in Q3FY25E and ~37% in Dec 2024Conversely, premium volumes have only decreased by 4% in Q3 and about 8% in Dec 2024, driven by a higher P/N ratio, which has risen from 15bps to ~23bps currentlyContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

BSE: Shift Towards Better-Margin Volumes. Maintain REDUCE

Financials & FinTech research, Galliano’s Financials Research

Victor Galliano

Financials & FinTech research

Financials & FinTech, EM & Developed Markets

Galliano’s Financials Research

Galliano's Financials Research provides fundamental research in Emerging Markets financials, including FinTech, as well as financials in select Developed Markets.

The investment style applied is generally value oriented, although Growth At Reasonable Price (GARP) strategies can also be used where appropriate. 

Our investment research approach aim is often contrarian, looking to capitalise on overly sceptical or optimistic consensus views. In terms of valuation techniques, the focus is on PBV ratio to ROE, PE multiples and dividend yield, as well as the application of PEG ratios and, where appropriate, Sum of the Parts (SOTP) valuations.

B3  - Brasil Bolsa Balcao / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We stick with Brazilian exchange B3 as our buy pick, as the scorecard indicates; data represents the highest share of total revenues versus peers and its post-trade revenues are understated</li>
<li>We downgrade Hong Kong Exchange to a neutral from buy, after its strong share price performance YTD; we feel much growth potential is discounted at current valuations</li>
<li>We downgrade BSE to a sell rating as it trades on rich fundamental valuations making it vulnerable to negative earnings surprises; its EBITDA margin no longer lags its peer group</li>
</ul>


We stick with Brazilian exchange B3 as our buy pick, as the scorecard indicates; data represents the highest share of total revenues versus peers and its post-trade revenues are understated
We downgrade Hong Kong Exchange to a neutral from buy, after its strong share price performance YTD; we feel much growth potential is discounted at current valuations
We downgrade BSE to a sell rating as it trades on rich fundamental valuations making it vulnerable to negative earnings surprises; its EBITDA margin no longer lags its peer group


GEM Exchanges –Scorecard Confirms Brazilian Exchange B3 (B3SA3 BZ) As Our Top Pick

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Akshat Shah

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nextbillion-technology-pvt-ltd-groww" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34787:1" rel="noopener">Groww (1573648D IN)</a> raised around US$747m in its India IPO. Groww, officially called Billionbrains Garage Ventures, is a direct-to-customer digital investment platform providing multiple financial products and services.</li>
<li>With Groww, customers can invest and trade in stocks (including via IPOs), derivatives, bonds, mutual funds and other products. Customers can also avail margin trading facility and personal loans.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s past performance and valuations in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about the trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Groww (1573648D IN) raised around US$747m in its India IPO. Groww, officially called Billionbrains Garage Ventures, is a direct-to-customer digital investment platform providing multiple financial products and services.
With Groww, customers can invest and trade in stocks (including via IPOs), derivatives, bonds, mutual funds and other products. Customers can also avail margin trading facility and personal loans.
We have looked at the company’s past performance and valuations in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about the trading dynamics.


Groww IPO Trading - Decent Overall Demand

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

Tata Motors Passenger Vehicles / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>With the review period complete, there could be one change for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-bse-sensex-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31494:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P BSE SENSEX Index (SENSEX INDEX)</a> at the December rebalance.</li>
<li>Following the demerger of the Commercial Vehicle business, the drop in market cap for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-motors-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:216:1" rel="noopener">Tata Motors (TTMT IN)</a> could result in index deletion.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/interglobe-aviation-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24877:1" rel="noopener">InterGlobe Aviation Ltd (INDIGO IN)</a> is a potential inclusion to the index, but there is a small possibility of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/grasim-industries-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:290:1" rel="noopener">Grasim Industries (GRASIM IN)</a> being added to the index instead.</li>
</ul>


With the review period complete, there could be one change for the S&amp;P BSE SENSEX Index (SENSEX INDEX) at the December rebalance.
Following the demerger of the Commercial Vehicle business, the drop in market cap for Tata Motors (TTMT IN) could result in index deletion.

InterGlobe Aviation Ltd (INDIGO IN) is a potential inclusion to the index, but there is a small possibility of Grasim Industries (GRASIM IN) being added to the index instead.


SENSEX Index Rebalance Preview: Tata Motors OUT; Indigo IN; Grasim - Dark Horse

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>MCX is expected to report a flat quarter sequentially (+0.4 QoQ) although it will register 31.2% YoY growth</li><li>The revenue from options is down 2.0% QoQ while futures revenue is up 4.6% QoQ</li><li>We expect MCX to post an EBITDA/PAT of INR 2.43/2.01bn, up +0.4/-1.1% QoQ</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

MCX is expected to report a flat quarter sequentially (+0.4 QoQ) although it will register 31.2% YoY growthThe revenue from options is down 2.0% QoQ while futures revenue is up 4.6% QoQWe expect MCX to post an EBITDA/PAT of INR 2.43/2.01bn, up +0.4/-1.1% QoQContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Exchanges, Staffing and Internet: Recovery in sight

India

Bombay Stock Exchange Limited provides market for trading in equity, debt instruments, derivatives, and mutual funds. The Company offers services including risk management, clearing, settlement, market data services, and education. Bombay Stock Exchange serves customers in India. ... More

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Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE IN)

BSE: Shift Towards Better-Margin Volumes. Maintain REDUCE

Following the implementation of regulatory changes mandating one weekly expiry per exchange, the notional volume has seen a significant decline...

HDFC Securities

GEM Exchanges –Scorecard Confirms Brazilian Exchange B3 (B3SA3 BZ) As Our Top Pick

In GEM exchanges, stick with B3 as our buy due to attractive value and low PEG, downgrade HKEx to neutral, and downgrade BSE to sell due to rich...

Victor Galliano

Groww IPO Trading - Decent Overall Demand

Groww raised around US$747m in its India IPO. In this note, we will talk about the subscription demand and the trading dynamics.

Akshat Shah

SENSEX Index Rebalance Preview: Tata Motors OUT; Indigo IN; Grasim - Dark Horse

Following the demerger of the Commercial Vehicle business, Tata Motors could be deleted from the index. Indigo is the highest ranked non-member;...

Brian Freitas

Exchanges, Staffing and Internet: Recovery in sight

The revenue from options is down 2.0% QoQ while futures revenue is up 4.6% QoQ. We expect MCX to post an EBITDA/PAT of INR 2.43/2.01bn, up +0.4/...

HDFC Securities

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

BSE: Shift Towards Better-Margin Volumes. Maintain REDUCE

Following the implementation of regulatory changes mandating one weekly expiry per exchange, the notional volume has seen a significant decline...

HDFC Securities

GEM Exchanges –Scorecard Confirms Brazilian Exchange B3 (B3SA3 BZ) As Our Top Pick

​In GEM exchanges, stick with B3 as our buy due to attractive value and low PEG, downgrade HKEx to neutral, and downgrade BSE to sell due to rich...

Victor Galliano

Groww IPO Trading - Decent Overall Demand

Groww raised around US$747m in its India IPO. In this note, we will talk about the subscription demand and the trading dynamics.

Akshat Shah

SENSEX Index Rebalance Preview: Tata Motors OUT; Indigo IN; Grasim - Dark Horse

Following the demerger of the Commercial Vehicle business, Tata Motors could be deleted from the index. Indigo is the highest ranked non-member;...

Brian Freitas

Exchanges, Staffing and Internet: Recovery in sight

The revenue from options is down 2.0% QoQ while futures revenue is up 4.6% QoQ. We expect MCX to post an EBITDA/PAT of INR 2.43/2.01bn, up +0.4/...

HDFC Securities

In GEM exchanges, stick with B3 as our buy due to attractive value and low PEG, downgrade HKEx to neutral, and downgrade BSE to sell due to rich...