Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/national-securities-depository-ltd-nsdl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39939:1" rel="noopener">NSDL (NSDL IN)</a> is looking to raise around US$460m in its upcoming India IPO.</li>
<li>It is the largest depository in India in terms of number of issuers, number of active instruments, market share in demat value of settlement volume and value of assets.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the updates from its RHP filing.</li>
</ul>



NSDL (NSDL IN) is looking to raise around US$460m in its upcoming India IPO.
It is the largest depository in India in terms of number of issuers, number of active instruments, market share in demat value of settlement volume and value of assets.
In this note, we talk about the updates from its RHP filing.


National Securities Depository Limited (NSDL) IPO - RHP Updates - Revenue Slowing, Margins Growing

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>Increased free float should result in passives buying <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/swiggy-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35630:1" rel="noopener">Swiggy (SWIGGY IN)</a> and lower foreign room should lead to passives selling <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/eternal-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28820:1" rel="noopener">Eternal (ETERNAL IN)</a> at the end of August.</li>
<li>The increased free float should also result in passive buying for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/swiggy-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35630:1" rel="noopener">Swiggy (SWIGGY IN)</a> in September.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/eternal-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28820:1" rel="noopener">Eternal</a> has outperformed <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/swiggy-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35630:1" rel="noopener">Swiggy</a> last week following strong earnings. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/swiggy-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35630:1" rel="noopener">Swiggy</a> announces earnings later this week and that could be a short-term catalyst for a narrowing of the spread.</li>
</ul>


Increased free float should result in passives buying Swiggy (SWIGGY IN) and lower foreign room should lead to passives selling Eternal (ETERNAL IN) at the end of August.
The increased free float should also result in passive buying for Swiggy (SWIGGY IN) in September.

Eternal has outperformed Swiggy last week following strong earnings. Swiggy announces earnings later this week and that could be a short-term catalyst for a narrowing of the spread.


Swiggy/Eternal: Free Float Increase & Foreign Room Decrease 'Delivering' BIG Passive Flows

<ul>
<li>An increase in the stock price and free float should result in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vishal-mega-mart-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44041:1" rel="noopener">Vishal Mega Mart (VMM IN)</a>'s inclusion in a global index in August.</li>
<li>Estimated passive buying is 191m shares (US$312m; 5.8x ADV; 15.4x delivery volume) at the close of trading on 26 August.</li>
<li>The index inclusion could take the stock higher in the short-term but buyers in the June placement could be looking for an exit.</li>
</ul>


An increase in the stock price and free float should result in Vishal Mega Mart (VMM IN)'s inclusion in a global index in August.
Estimated passive buying is 191m shares (US$312m; 5.8x ADV; 15.4x delivery volume) at the close of trading on 26 August.
The index inclusion could take the stock higher in the short-term but buyers in the June placement could be looking for an exit.


Vishal Mega Mart (VMM IN): Increased Float & Global Index Inclusion

<ul>
<li>An increase in the stock price and free float should result in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/waaree-energies-limited-6098abe5-9b91-4859-8170-b98fda2cf7ab" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44031:1" rel="noopener">Waaree Energies (WAAREEEN IN)</a> being included in a global index in August.</li>
<li>Estimated passive buying is 8.2m shares (US$295m; 3x ADV; 10.8x delivery volume) at the close of trading on 26 August.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/waaree-energies-limited-6098abe5-9b91-4859-8170-b98fda2cf7ab" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44031:1" rel="noopener">Waaree Energies (WAAREEEN IN)</a> has outperformed <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/premier-energies-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:42190:1" rel="noopener">Premier Energies (PREMIERE IN)</a> over the last 3 months but still trades at a lower forward PE.</li>
</ul>


An increase in the stock price and free float should result in Waaree Energies (WAAREEEN IN) being included in a global index in August.
Estimated passive buying is 8.2m shares (US$295m; 3x ADV; 10.8x delivery volume) at the close of trading on 26 August.

Waaree Energies (WAAREEEN IN) has outperformed Premier Energies (PREMIERE IN) over the last 3 months but still trades at a lower forward PE.


Waaree Energies (WAAREEEN IN): Increased Float & Global Index Inclusion

Max Healthcare Institute / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/interglobe-aviation-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24877:1" rel="noopener">InterGlobe Aviation Ltd (INDIGO IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/max-healthcare-institute-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35275:1" rel="noopener">Max Healthcare Institute (MAXHEALT IN)</a> should replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/indusind-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1558:1" rel="noopener">Indusind Bank (IIB IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hero-motocorp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2391:1" rel="noopener">Hero Motocorp (HMCL IN)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index</a> in September.</li>
<li>The review period for the September rebalance ends 31 July, the announcement of the changes will take place end August and implemented at the close of trading on 29 September.</li>
<li>While there has been a steady increase in cumulative excess volume for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/max-healthcare-institute-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35275:1" rel="noopener">Max Healthcare Institute (MAXHEALT IN)</a>, there could be more room to run in the stock. </li>
</ul>



InterGlobe Aviation Ltd (INDIGO IN) and Max Healthcare Institute (MAXHEALT IN) should replace Indusind Bank (IIB IN) and Hero Motocorp (HMCL IN) in the NIFTY Index in September.
The review period for the September rebalance ends 31 July, the announcement of the changes will take place end August and implemented at the close of trading on 29 September.
While there has been a steady increase in cumulative excess volume for Max Healthcare Institute (MAXHEALT IN), there could be more room to run in the stock. 


NIFTY50 Index Rebalance Preview: Forecast Changes, Impact, Positioning

India

Bombay Stock Exchange Limited provides market for trading in equity, debt instruments, derivatives, and mutual funds. The Company offers services including risk management, clearing, settlement, market data services, and education. Bombay Stock Exchange serves customers in India. ... More

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Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE IN)

National Securities Depository Limited (NSDL) IPO - RHP Updates - Revenue Slowing, Margins Growing

NSDL (NSDL IN) is looking to raise around US$460m in its upcoming India IPO. In this note, we look at the updates from its recent filings.

Sumeet Singh

Swiggy/Eternal: Free Float Increase & Foreign Room Decrease 'Delivering' BIG Passive Flows

Strong earnings have led to Eternal outperforming Swiggy last week. Higher float should result in passives buying Swiggy in Aug. Lower foreign room...

Brian Freitas

Vishal Mega Mart (VMM IN): Increased Float & Global Index Inclusion

The placement in June results in a significantly higher float and VMM could be added to a global index in August. Flow and impact is big but some...

Brian Freitas

Waaree Energies (WAAREEEN IN): Increased Float & Global Index Inclusion

An increase in the stock price and free float should result in Waaree Energies being added to a global index in August. Passives need to buy over...

Brian Freitas

NIFTY50 Index Rebalance Preview: Forecast Changes, Impact, Positioning

There could be 2 changes for the NIFTY50 in September and passives will need to trade 5.3-14.9x ADV (11.2-23x delivery volume). Max Healthcare has...

Brian Freitas

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