Oil and Gas, Mint Finance

Suhas Reddy

Oil and Gas

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>BP’s revenue is expected to rise 7% QoQ but fall 5% YoY while EPS is anticipated to drop 7% QoQ and 19% YoY.</li>
<li>Management projected lower upstream production for Q3 compared to Q2, including in high-margin regions. However, retail fuel sales are expected to increase on stronger seasonal demand.</li>
<li>In 2023, BP allocated over 30% of its total expenditure to charging stations, biofuels, hydrogen fuels, and fuelling stations, a significant rise from just 3% in 2019.</li>
</ul>


BP’s revenue is expected to rise 7% QoQ but fall 5% YoY while EPS is anticipated to drop 7% QoQ and 19% YoY.
Management projected lower upstream production for Q3 compared to Q2, including in high-margin regions. However, retail fuel sales are expected to increase on stronger seasonal demand.
In 2023, BP allocated over 30% of its total expenditure to charging stations, biofuels, hydrogen fuels, and fuelling stations, a significant rise from just 3% in 2019.


[Earnings Preview] BP Faces Prolonged Margin Pressure in Q3 2024 Amid Lower Oil Prices

Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

<ul><li>BP's recently disclosed quarterly financial results reflect a robust operational performance characterized by high plant reliability and refining availability.</li><li>During the quarter, upstream plant reliability was reported at 96%, and refining availability matched this figure, fostering a conducive environment for strong production and operational efficiency.</li><li>This operational reliability underpinned the company’s financial performance, with BP generating substantial operating cash flow of $8.1 billion.</li></ul>

BP's recently disclosed quarterly financial results reflect a robust operational performance characterized by high plant reliability and refining availability.During the quarter, upstream plant reliability was reported at 96%, and refining availability matched this figure, fostering a conducive environment for strong production and operational efficiency.This operational reliability underpinned the company’s financial performance, with BP generating substantial operating cash flow of $8.1 billion.

BP p.l.c.: Enhanced Focus on Natural Gas and Renewable Energy Paying Off? - Major Drivers

<ul>
<li>BP's operating revenue declined by 2.55% YoY, falling short of estimates by 9.78%, while underlying net profit increased by 6.45% YoY, exceeding EPS estimates by 8.75%.</li>
<li>Strong performance from the Oil Production &amp; Operations and Customers &amp; Products segments drove underlying net profit growth.</li>
<li>BP announced a 10% increase in its interim dividend to 8 cents/share and completed USD 1.75 billion in share buybacks in Q2.</li>
</ul>


BP's operating revenue declined by 2.55% YoY, falling short of estimates by 9.78%, while underlying net profit increased by 6.45% YoY, exceeding EPS estimates by 8.75%.
Strong performance from the Oil Production &amp; Operations and Customers &amp; Products segments drove underlying net profit growth.
BP announced a 10% increase in its interim dividend to 8 cents/share and completed USD 1.75 billion in share buybacks in Q2.


[Earnings Review] BP Surges Past Profit Estimates on Soaring Oil Prices and Robust Retail Earnings

<ul>
<li>BP expects lower realised refining margins and weak oil trading to hurt earnings, with a refining margin contraction to reduce earnings by USD 500-700 million.</li>
<li>The company anticipates impairments ranging from USD 1-2 billion in Q2, including charges related to the ongoing review of its Gelsenkirchen refinery in Germany.</li>
<li>BP projects its upstream production to remain broadly flat sequentially, with stable oil output and a slight decrease in gas and low-carbon energy production.</li>
</ul>


BP expects lower realised refining margins and weak oil trading to hurt earnings, with a refining margin contraction to reduce earnings by USD 500-700 million.
The company anticipates impairments ranging from USD 1-2 billion in Q2, including charges related to the ongoing review of its Gelsenkirchen refinery in Germany.
BP projects its upstream production to remain broadly flat sequentially, with stable oil output and a slight decrease in gas and low-carbon energy production.


[Earnings Preview] BP's Woes Continue: Weak Refining Margins to Squeeze Earnings

Head of Research, Krungthai XSpring

Waraporn Wiboonkanarak

Head of Research

A full service Thai brokerage

Krungthai XSpring

Krungthai XSpring is a full service broker. The company provides a wide range of investment services such as Securities Brokerage, Derivative Agent Business, Securities Borrowing and Lending, Securities Trading, Underwriting, Financial Advisory, Wealth Advisory, Private Fund Management and International Markets Securities Trading. 

In terms of credibility, Fitch Ratings has assigned Krunghtai XSpring a long-term rating of AA- and a national short-term rating of F1+ with stable outlook.

<ul><li>Technically, the SET Index is expected to move sideways, with the resistance at 1,325/1,330 points (50-day EMA) and the support at 1,316/1,310 points (25-day/10-day EMA).</li><li>This poses risk to the market as it could potentially lead to a political vacuum if the prime minister is dismissed.</li><li>The low inflation trend reflects a slowdown in China's economic activities.</li></ul>

Technically, the SET Index is expected to move sideways, with the resistance at 1,325/1,330 points (50-day EMA) and the support at 1,316/1,310 points (25-day/10-day EMA).This poses risk to the market as it could potentially lead to a political vacuum if the prime minister is dismissed.The low inflation trend reflects a slowdown in China's economic activities.

Keep a Close Watch on Chinese Inflation and Legal Case Against PM Srettha

United Kingdom

BP p.l.c. is a British multinational integrated energy company. It engages in oil and gas exploration, production, refining, distribution, and marketing, as well as renewable energy activities including solar, wind, and hydrogen businesses. The company was founded in 1908 and is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.

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BP (BP US)

[Earnings Preview] BP Faces Prolonged Margin Pressure in Q3 2024 Amid Lower Oil Prices

BP expects a slight QoQ decline in upstream production, including high-margin regions in Q3, but anticipates stronger retail sales from seasonal...

Mint Finance

BP p.l.c.: Enhanced Focus on Natural Gas and Renewable Energy Paying Off? - Major Drivers

BP's recently disclosed quarterly financial results reflect a robust operational performance characterized by high plant reliability and refining...

Baptista Research

[Earnings Review] BP Surges Past Profit Estimates on Soaring Oil Prices and Robust Retail Earnings

BP's underlying profit rose 6.5% YoY to USD 2.8 billion, driven by strong oil production and marketing performance. BP raised its dividend by 10%;...

Mint Finance

[Earnings Preview] BP's Woes Continue: Weak Refining Margins to Squeeze Earnings

BP faces continued challenges with lower refining margins and weak oil trading. It expects USD 1-2 billion in impairments but anticipates some...

Mint Finance

Keep a Close Watch on Chinese Inflation and Legal Case Against PM Srettha

Technically, the SET Index is expected to move sideways, with the resistance at 1,325/1,330 points (50-day EMA) and the support at 1,316/1,310...

Krungthai XSpring

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