Oil and Gas, Mint Finance

Suhas Reddy

Oil and Gas

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>BP’s Q2 2025 revenue is expected to drop 10% QoQ and 10.7% YoY. However, its EPS is projected to rise by 30.8% QoQ but fall by 32% YoY.</li>
<li>Lower oil and gas realizations are expected to drag earnings by up to USD 1.1 billion, but strong refining margins and oil trading performance could offset the blow.</li>
<li>Options positioning reflects mild bullish sentiment, with traders favouring calls near current levels, suggesting expectations of a modest post-earnings upside.</li>
</ul>


BP’s Q2 2025 revenue is expected to drop 10% QoQ and 10.7% YoY. However, its EPS is projected to rise by 30.8% QoQ but fall by 32% YoY.
Lower oil and gas realizations are expected to drag earnings by up to USD 1.1 billion, but strong refining margins and oil trading performance could offset the blow.
Options positioning reflects mild bullish sentiment, with traders favouring calls near current levels, suggesting expectations of a modest post-earnings upside.


[Earnings Preview] BP Set for Mixed Q2 as Strong Refining and Trading Offset Price Pressures

Global Editor, Base Oil News

Iain Pocock

Global Editor

Global Base Oils and Lubricants Markets

Base Oil News

Base Oil News focuses on the interplay between fundamentals and prices in the global base oils and lubricants markets.

Baseoilnews.com combines daily, weekly and monthly base oils and lubes fundamentals data from every region of the world to build the most comprehensive and up-to-date global picture of the state of the market.

The data and analysis provide key tools to understand current market developments and opportunities and to anticipate how the market is likely to behave in the coming months.

Base oils producers, lube blenders and consumers can then better plan accordingly.

Baseoilnews.com analyses and publishes market news and data every day as it breaks.

Commodities

<ul><li>US base oils prices rise versus feedstock/competing fuel prices, especially for Group II light-grade export prices.</li><li>Firmer margins point to steady-to-tight supply-demand fundamentals at a time of year when they typically start to weaken.</li><li>Firmer margins incentivize refiners to maintain or raise output.</li></ul>

US base oils prices rise versus feedstock/competing fuel prices, especially for Group II light-grade export prices.Firmer margins point to steady-to-tight supply-demand fundamentals at a time of year when they typically start to weaken.Firmer margins incentivize refiners to maintain or raise output.

Americas/EMEA base oils supply outlook: Week of 20 October

<ul><li>US base oils demand could stay cautious amid signs of sufficient availability of supply even with current plant-maintenance work and as regular export cargoes remove surplus volumes.</li><li>Sufficient availability of supply suggests demand is sufficiently weak to balance out current drop in volumes.</li><li>US domestic Group II base oils price-premium to vacuum gasoil (VGO) holds in narrow range so far in Q4 2025, reflecting that dynamic.</li></ul>

US base oils demand could stay cautious amid signs of sufficient availability of supply even with current plant-maintenance work and as regular export cargoes remove surplus volumes.Sufficient availability of supply suggests demand is sufficiently weak to balance out current drop in volumes.US domestic Group II base oils price-premium to vacuum gasoil (VGO) holds in narrow range so far in Q4 2025, reflecting that dynamic.

Americas/EMEA base oils demand outlook: Week of 20 October

<ul><li>Asia’s base oils demand could stay more cautious as lower crude oil prices coincide with improving supply of most base oils grades.</li><li>Lower crude prices and rising supply increase concern about exposure to further downward pressure on base oils prices.</li><li>Signs of healthy stocks in all key regional markets give buyers flexibility to hold back until they are comfortable that any price-adjustments have been completed.</li></ul>

Asia’s base oils demand could stay more cautious as lower crude oil prices coincide with improving supply of most base oils grades.Lower crude prices and rising supply increase concern about exposure to further downward pressure on base oils prices.Signs of healthy stocks in all key regional markets give buyers flexibility to hold back until they are comfortable that any price-adjustments have been completed.

Asia base oils demand outlook: Week of 20 October

<ul><li>Asia’s Group II base oils prices rise versus gasoil prices to highest in more than a month for heavy grades, highest since Q2 2025 for light grades.</li><li>Rising base oils margins point to firm supply-demand fundamentals, incentivizing refiners to maintain or raise output.</li><li>Incentive to raise output follows rise in base oils exports from Asia’s largest suppliers to thirteen-month high in Sept 2025.</li></ul>

Asia’s Group II base oils prices rise versus gasoil prices to highest in more than a month for heavy grades, highest since Q2 2025 for light grades.Rising base oils margins point to firm supply-demand fundamentals, incentivizing refiners to maintain or raise output.Incentive to raise output follows rise in base oils exports from Asia’s largest suppliers to thirteen-month high in Sept 2025.

Asia base oils supply outlook: Week of 20 October

United Kingdom

BP plc is an oil and petrochemicals company.  The Company explores for and produces oil and natural gas, refines, markets, and supplies petroleum products, generates solar energy, and manufactures and markets chemicals.  BP's chemicals include terephthalic acid, acetic acid, acrylonitrile, ethylene and polyethylene.

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BP PLC (BP/ LN)

[Earnings Preview] BP Set for Mixed Q2 as Strong Refining and Trading Offset Price Pressures

BP's Q2 revenue expected to drop, but EPS to rise due to strong refining margins and oil trading performance. Traders show mild bullish sentiment...

Mint Finance

Americas/EMEA base oils supply outlook: Week of 20 October

US base oils prices rise versus feedstock/competing fuel prices, especially for Group II light-grade export prices. Firmer margins point to...

Base Oil News

Americas/EMEA base oils demand outlook: Week of 20 October

US base oils demand could stay cautious amid signs of sufficient availability of supply even with current plant-maintenance work and as regular...

Base Oil News

Asia base oils demand outlook: Week of 20 October

Asia’s base oils demand could stay more cautious as lower crude oil prices coincide with improving supply of most base oils grades. Lower crude...

Base Oil News

Asia base oils supply outlook: Week of 20 October

Asia’s Group II base oils prices rise versus gasoil prices to highest in more than a month for heavy grades, highest since Q2 2025 for light...

Base Oil News

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

[Earnings Preview] BP Set for Mixed Q2 as Strong Refining and Trading Offset Price Pressures

​BP's Q2 revenue expected to drop, but EPS to rise due to strong refining margins and oil trading performance. Traders show mild bullish sentiment...

Mint Finance

Americas/EMEA base oils supply outlook: Week of 20 October

US base oils prices rise versus feedstock/competing fuel prices, especially for Group II light-grade export prices. Firmer margins point to...

Base Oil News

Americas/EMEA base oils demand outlook: Week of 20 October

US base oils demand could stay cautious amid signs of sufficient availability of supply even with current plant-maintenance work and as regular...

Base Oil News

Asia base oils demand outlook: Week of 20 October

Asia’s base oils demand could stay more cautious as lower crude oil prices coincide with improving supply of most base oils grades. Lower crude...

Base Oil News

Asia base oils supply outlook: Week of 20 October

Asia’s Group II base oils prices rise versus gasoil prices to highest in more than a month for heavy grades, highest since Q2 2025 for light...

Base Oil News

BP's Q2 revenue expected to drop, but EPS to rise due to strong refining margins and oil trading performance. Traders show mild bullish sentiment...