Equity & Credit Research

Duncan Chan

Commodities

OSE Rubber Future Contract RSS3 / Commodities

OSE Rubber Future Contract RSS3 (JNA COMDTY)

<ul>
<li>ANRPC projects 2025 production growth of 0.3% versus demand growth of 1.8%, suggesting tighter balances may persist if demand remains supportive.</li>
<li>SHFE rubber inventories stood at 125,410 tonnes versus a long-term median of 508,990 tonnes, indicating reduced visible supply buffers.</li>
<li>Thailand accounts for roughly one-third of global production, while slower biological supply responses increase market sensitivity if demand conditions strengthen.</li>
</ul>


ANRPC projects 2025 production growth of 0.3% versus demand growth of 1.8%, suggesting tighter balances may persist if demand remains supportive.
SHFE rubber inventories stood at 125,410 tonnes versus a long-term median of 508,990 tonnes, indicating reduced visible supply buffers.
Thailand accounts for roughly one-third of global production, while slower biological supply responses increase market sensitivity if demand conditions strengthen.


Natural Rubber: Weather Disruption Underpins Supply Tightness, as Demand Weighs In

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>In Depth: How the Gree Windfall Got Squandered</li><li>Analysis: Chinese Savers Move Beyond Bank Deposits as Rates Fall</li><li>Exclusive: China Steps Up Oversight of Bond Rating Terminations</li><li>China Evergrande Liquidators Sue PwC for $8.4 Billion Over Audit Work</li></ul>

In Depth: How the Gree Windfall Got SquanderedAnalysis: Chinese Savers Move Beyond Bank Deposits as Rates FallExclusive: China Steps Up Oversight of Bond Rating TerminationsChina Evergrande Liquidators Sue PwC for $8.4 Billion Over Audit Work

CX Daily: How the Gree Windfall Got Squandered 

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Equity Capital Markets

Shenzhen Transsion Holdings / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Transsion, a mobile phone maker focused on Africa and other emerging markets, launched its IPO to raise USD 428m through an A+H listing. CITIC is the sole sponsor.</li>
<li>In this note, we look at the deal terms and provide our thoughts on valuation for the company.</li>
<li>We analyze reference A+H transactions, cornerstone and sponsor performance and assess the risk-reward of the deal.</li>
</ul>


Transsion, a mobile phone maker focused on Africa and other emerging markets, launched its IPO to raise USD 428m through an A+H listing. CITIC is the sole sponsor.
In this note, we look at the deal terms and provide our thoughts on valuation for the company.
We analyze reference A+H transactions, cornerstone and sponsor performance and assess the risk-reward of the deal.


Transsion (传音控股) A+H IPO: Analysis of Deal Terms

Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>India registered 4,441 e-buses in CY2025. The December 2025 PM E-Drive mega-tender for 10,900 buses triggered the sector's sharpest competitive reshuffling yet. </li>
<li>PMI Electro and Eka Mobility cornered 80% of the order; Tata Motors (CV), JBM Auto, and VE Commercial Vehicles received zero allocations.</li>
<li>GCC Model forces manufacturers to act simultaneously as financiers, operators, and maintainers over 12-year contracts. </li>
</ul>


India registered 4,441 e-buses in CY2025. The December 2025 PM E-Drive mega-tender for 10,900 buses triggered the sector's sharpest competitive reshuffling yet. 
PMI Electro and Eka Mobility cornered 80% of the order; Tata Motors (CV), JBM Auto, and VE Commercial Vehicles received zero allocations.
GCC Model forces manufacturers to act simultaneously as financiers, operators, and maintainers over 12-year contracts. 


Indian E-Bus Market: Players, Competition, Orders & Business Model

Chief Executive Officer, Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Chief Executive Officer

Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Emmer Capital Partners is an Asia Pacific focused financial advisory firm engaging in strategic financial asset allocation advice, bespoke thematic research and advising early-stage companies and connecting them to investors. Emmer Capital provides macro-economic and multi-asset investment strategy inputs to institutions, family offices, private wealth managers, private equity, and corporate boards directly and through independent research platforms. Emmer Capital also advises a wide range of startup companies on fund raising and business strategy. Emmer Capital's active engagement with the print and electronic media reaches a broad spectrum of investors across the globe.

<ul>
<li>China is again finding favour among investors but investment in Chinese equities has to be nuanced and calibrated. Even high growth and policy beneficiary sectors have underperformed lately.</li>
<li>Avoiding the victims of involution, selecting market leaders who can protect their margins and companies with overseas manufacturing bases who can protect their foreign margins seem a viable strategy.</li>
<li>Latest consumption trends indicate strength in communication equipment, gold and silver jewelry, beverages and cosmetics. Precautionary buying of precious metals indicates that high dividend yield stocks could do well too.</li>
</ul>


China is again finding favour among investors but investment in Chinese equities has to be nuanced and calibrated. Even high growth and policy beneficiary sectors have underperformed lately.
Avoiding the victims of involution, selecting market leaders who can protect their margins and companies with overseas manufacturing bases who can protect their foreign margins seem a viable strategy.
Latest consumption trends indicate strength in communication equipment, gold and silver jewelry, beverages and cosmetics. Precautionary buying of precious metals indicates that high dividend yield stocks could do well too.


Asian Equities: Investing in China Necessitates a Careful and Calibrated Approach

China

BYD Company Limited manufactures automotive products. The Company produces ordinary passenger cars, commercial vehicles, and other products. BYD also operates battery making, rail transportation construction, and other businesses.

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BYD (002594 CH)

Natural Rubber: Weather Disruption Underpins Supply Tightness, as Demand Weighs In

Weather may initiate supply tightening, but lower inventories and downstream demand determine whether tighter rubber conditions become investable.

Duncan Chan

CX Daily: How the Gree Windfall Got Squandered

TOP STORIES In Depth: How the Gree Windfall Got Squandered A widening corruption probe in the southern Chinese manufacturing city of Zhuhai is...

Caixin Global

Transsion (传音控股) A+H IPO: Analysis of Deal Terms

We analyze Transsion's USD 428m Hong Kong IPO. We look at deal terms, track records of cornerstone investors and sponsors, as well as its...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Indian E-Bus Market: Players, Competition, Orders & Business Model

India's e-bus sector sees major shakeup with PM E-Drive mega-tender, leading to competitive reshuffling and new business models for manufacturers.

Nimish Maheshwari

Asian Equities: Investing in China Necessitates a Careful and Calibrated Approach

Investing in CN equity needs a nuanced approach, focusing on market leaders who can protect margins during "involution" & companies with foreign...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Natural Rubber: Weather Disruption Underpins Supply Tightness, as Demand Weighs In

Weather may initiate supply tightening, but lower inventories and downstream demand determine whether tighter rubber conditions become investable.

Duncan Chan

CX Daily: How the Gree Windfall Got Squandered

TOP STORIES In Depth: How the Gree Windfall Got Squandered A widening corruption probe in the southern Chinese manufacturing city of Zhuhai is...

Caixin Global

Transsion (传音控股) A+H IPO: Analysis of Deal Terms

We analyze Transsion's USD 428m Hong Kong IPO. We look at deal terms, track records of cornerstone investors and sponsors, as well as its...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Indian E-Bus Market: Players, Competition, Orders & Business Model

​India's e-bus sector sees major shakeup with PM E-Drive mega-tender, leading to competitive reshuffling and new business models for manufacturers.

Nimish Maheshwari

Asian Equities: Investing in China Necessitates a Careful and Calibrated Approach

​Investing in CN equity needs a nuanced approach, focusing on market leaders who can protect margins during "involution" & companies with foreign...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

India's e-bus sector sees major shakeup with PM E-Drive mega-tender, leading to competitive reshuffling and new business models for manufacturers.

Investing in CN equity needs a nuanced approach, focusing on market leaders who can protect margins during "involution" & companies with foreign...