Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The HSTECH Index tracks the performance of the top 30 technology companies listed in Hong Kong that have high business exposure to certain technology themes.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at our final expectations of index changes and the resultant capping flows for HSTECH index rebal event in September 2025.</li>
<li>We see one low-conviction ADD/DEL and one significant float percentage revision which could collectively trigger roughly US$1.6bn in one-way index flows in September 2025.</li>
</ul>


The HSTECH Index tracks the performance of the top 30 technology companies listed in Hong Kong that have high business exposure to certain technology themes.
In this insight, we take a look at our final expectations of index changes and the resultant capping flows for HSTECH index rebal event in September 2025.
We see one low-conviction ADD/DEL and one significant float percentage revision which could collectively trigger roughly US$1.6bn in one-way index flows in September 2025.


Quiddity Leaderboard HSTECH Sep25: Final Expectations; ~US$1.6bn One-Way; Long Up 9% Vs Peers

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Geely announced that its deliveries grew by 42% YoY in June 2025.</li>
<li>We expect BEV deliveries will continue to grow fast in 3Q25, but slow down from 4Q25.</li>
<li>We believe the stock price will rise by 39% for the next twelve months.</li>
</ul>


Geely announced that its deliveries grew by 42% YoY in June 2025.
We expect BEV deliveries will continue to grow fast in 3Q25, but slow down from 4Q25.
We believe the stock price will rise by 39% for the next twelve months.


Geely (175 HK): Deliveries Up by 42% YoY in June – Rapid Growth to Go On in 3Q25

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zeekr-intelligent-technology-holding" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36785:1" rel="noopener">ZEEKR (ZK US)</a> has entered into a definitive merger agreement with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/geely-automobile-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:127:1" rel="noopener">Geely Auto (175 HK)</a> at US$26.87 per ADS or 12.3 newly issued Geely shares. The cash offer increased by 4.7%. </li>
<li>The proposal is conditional on regulatory approvals (low risk, as Zeekr is a subsidiary of Geely), as well as approval from Zeekr's shareholders and Geely's independent shareholders.  </li>
<li>The Zeekr shareholder vote is a formality as Geely and undertakings exceed the two-thirds voting threshold. The Geely vote is low risk due to the low takeover premium. </li>
</ul>



ZEEKR (ZK US) has entered into a definitive merger agreement with Geely Auto (175 HK) at US$26.87 per ADS or 12.3 newly issued Geely shares. The cash offer increased by 4.7%. 
The proposal is conditional on regulatory approvals (low risk, as Zeekr is a subsidiary of Geely), as well as approval from Zeekr's shareholders and Geely's independent shareholders.  
The Zeekr shareholder vote is a formality as Geely and undertakings exceed the two-thirds voting threshold. The Geely vote is low risk due to the low takeover premium. 


ZEEKR (ZK US): Geely Auto’s Binding Offer a Done Deal

<ul>
<li>The sales volume growth rate slowed down month by month in 2Q25.</li>
<li>The domestic sales volume was stagnant in 2Q25 and decreased YoY from March to June.</li>
<li>However, competitors expanded aggressively; therefore, we believe small ones may go bankrupt.</li>
</ul>


The sales volume growth rate slowed down month by month in 2Q25.
The domestic sales volume was stagnant in 2Q25 and decreased YoY from March to June.
However, competitors expanded aggressively; therefore, we believe small ones may go bankrupt.


BYD (1211 HK): Sales Volume Slowing Down in 2Q25, But Competitors Facing Cash Flow Stress

Quantitative Researcher, MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Quantitative Researcher

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>A quick synoptic look at the tactical models for some key indices, stocks, commodities and bonds we cover, for the week July 14 - July 19.</li>
<li>The most noticeable highlights are: all US markets and stocks we cover sold off last week, apart from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/amazon-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:409:1" rel="noopener">Amazon.com (AMZN US)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alphabet-inc-cl-c" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11369:1" rel="noopener">Alphabet (GOOG US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nvidia-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5891:1" rel="noopener">NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US)</a> </li>
<li>In Asia, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/byd-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20962:1" rel="noopener"><strong>BYD (1211 HK)</strong></a><strong> is very oversold</strong>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fast-retailing-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:751:1" rel="noopener">Fast Retailing (9983 JP)</a> is also oversold. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gold" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22870:1" rel="noopener">Gold (GOLD COMDTY)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/crude-oil" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22869:1" rel="noopener">Crude Oil (CL1 COM COMDTY)</a> start to be overbought.</li>
</ul>


A quick synoptic look at the tactical models for some key indices, stocks, commodities and bonds we cover, for the week July 14 - July 19.
The most noticeable highlights are: all US markets and stocks we cover sold off last week, apart from Amazon.com (AMZN US) , Alphabet (GOOG US) and NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US) 
In Asia, BYD (1211 HK) is very oversold, and Fast Retailing (9983 JP) is also oversold. Gold (GOLD COMDTY) and Crude Oil (CL1 COM COMDTY) start to be overbought.


Global Markets Tactical Outlook: Week of July 14 – July 19

China

BYD Company Limited manufactures automotive products. The Company produces ordinary passenger cars, commercial vehicles, and other products. BYD also operates battery making, rail transportation construction, and other businesses.

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BYD (002594 CH)

Quiddity Leaderboard HSTECH Sep25: Final Expectations; ~US$1.6bn One-Way; Long Up 9% Vs Peers

We continue to see Geely as a low-conviction ADD and ASMPT as a low-conviction DEL. Assuming these index changes take place, there could be...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Geely (175 HK): Deliveries Up by 42% YoY in June – Rapid Growth to Go On in 3Q25

Geely announced that its deliveries grew by 42% YoY in June 2025. We expect BEV deliveries will continue to grow fast in 3Q25, but slow down from...

Ming Lu

ZEEKR (ZK US): Geely Auto’s Binding Offer a Done Deal

The Zeekr shareholder vote is a formality as Geely and undertakings exceed the two-thirds voting threshold. The Geely independent vote is low risk...

Arun George

BYD (1211 HK): Sales Volume Slowing Down in 2Q25, But Competitors Facing Cash Flow Stress

The sales volume growth rate slowed down in 2Q25. The domestic sales volume was stagnant in 2Q25. However, we believe some small competitors will...

Ming Lu

Global Markets Tactical Outlook: Week of July 14 – July 19

Our Weekly Tactical Outlook: US sold-off last week, except for Amazon, Alphabet, and NVIDIA (overbought). BYD and Fast Retailing are oversold in...

Nico Rosti

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