Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Low volatility investing has taken the mantle from Dividend yield as the top strategy during July</li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/byd-electronic-international-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1927:1" rel="noopener">BYD Electronics (285 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd-d7b798e2-202d-4e01-9a1e-799e2ae8f0c7" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK)</a> are rated BUYs as their businesses show improvement.  </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kingdee-international-sftwr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:37:1" rel="noopener">Kingdee International Software (268 HK)</a> is seeing a softening in its SME business, however there is  potential to gain market share from foreign ERP companies given the pledged government's policies.
</li>
</ul>


Low volatility investing has taken the mantle from Dividend yield as the top strategy during July
BYD Electronics (285 HK) and Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK) are rated BUYs as their businesses show improvement.  

Kingdee International Software (268 HK) is seeing a softening in its SME business, however there is  potential to gain market share from foreign ERP companies given the pledged government's policies.



BUY/SELL/HOLD: Hong Kong Stock Updates (July 29)

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of July 26th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Tencent, China Petroleum &amp; Chemical Corporation, Meituan.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of July 26th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Tencent, China Petroleum &amp; Chemical Corporation, Meituan.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Jul 26th): Tencent, China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation, Meituan

Sunny Optical Technology / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The Hong Kong market trades about 30% below analysts' estimated 12 month target price.</li>
<li>Analysts are raising forecasts for<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xiaomi-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24409:1" rel="noopener">Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK)</a> as it meets success with new phone rollouts and its EV business.  </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sunny-optical-technology-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13363:1" rel="noopener">Sunny Optical Technology Group (2382 HK)</a> had a positive profit alert and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/minth-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9232:1" rel="noopener">Minth Group Ltd (425 HK)</a> is showing growth in its international business. Both are rated BUY from analysts.</li>
</ul>


The Hong Kong market trades about 30% below analysts' estimated 12 month target price.
Analysts are raising forecasts forXiaomi Corp (1810 HK) as it meets success with new phone rollouts and its EV business.  

Sunny Optical Technology Group (2382 HK) had a positive profit alert and Minth Group Ltd (425 HK) is showing growth in its international business. Both are rated BUY from analysts.


BUY/SELL/HOLD: Hong Kong Stock Updates (July 22)

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

<ul><li>We hosted BYDE at CMBI Technology Corporate Day on 28 Jun. Mgmt. reiterated their positive outlook in 2024: 1) Apple/Android: iPad share gains, AI iPhone upgrade cycle and high-end Android growth;</li><li>2) NEV: smart cockpits, heat-pump system, high-end ADAS system and active suspension products to drive 40%+ sales growth in FY24E;</li><li>3) Nvidia AI server/robotics: AI servers for Chinese CSPs and autonomous mobile robots (AMRs) for factories. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We hosted BYDE at CMBI Technology Corporate Day on 28 Jun. Mgmt. reiterated their positive outlook in 2024: 1) Apple/Android: iPad share gains, AI iPhone upgrade cycle and high-end Android growth;2) NEV: smart cockpits, heat-pump system, high-end ADAS system and active suspension products to drive 40%+ sales growth in FY24E;3) Nvidia AI server/robotics: AI servers for Chinese CSPs and autonomous mobile robots (AMRs) for factories. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

BYDE (285 HK) - CMBI Corp Day Takeaways: IPad/IPhone Cycle, NEV, AI Servers and Robotics

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Jardine Matheson Southeast Asia / Event-Driven

Jardine Matheson Southeast Asia (JCNC SP)

<ul>
<li>A new tool highlights which TSE companies have disclosed a policy/consideration; sometimes referred to as the "name and shame" list. In practice, more "name" than "shame". </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jardine-cycle-carriage-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:347:1" rel="noopener">Jardine Cycle &amp; Carriage (JCNC SP)</a> is trading rich to its NAV. And the simple ratio (JCNC/<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/astra-international-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46:1" rel="noopener">Astra International (ASII IJ)</a>) is the highest level outside the 2008 GFC. </li>
<li>This is a rubbish Offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asia-cement-china-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3374:1" rel="noopener">Asia Cement China (743 HK)</a>. Given how shareholders voted at last year's AGM, expect this Scheme to be voted down. Avoid.</li>
</ul>


A new tool highlights which TSE companies have disclosed a policy/consideration; sometimes referred to as the "name and shame" list. In practice, more "name" than "shame". 

Jardine Cycle &amp; Carriage (JCNC SP) is trading rich to its NAV. And the simple ratio (JCNC/Astra International (ASII IJ)) is the highest level outside the 2008 GFC. 
This is a rubbish Offer for Asia Cement China (743 HK). Given how shareholders voted at last year's AGM, expect this Scheme to be voted down. Avoid.


Last Week in Event SPACE: Jardine Cycle & Carriage, "Name & Shame", Asia Cement, Northern Minerals

China

BYD Electronic (International) Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells handset components and modules, and provides assembly services for mobile phones. The company offers one-stop product solutions leveraging electronic information, AI, 5G, and IoT technologies, with its business spanning smartphones, computers, new energy vehicles, smart home solutions, and communication equipment. It was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, China.

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BYD Electronic (285 HK)

BUY/SELL/HOLD: Hong Kong Stock Updates (July 29)

Low volatility investing is performing well in July. BYD Electronics has seen better Apple related and NEV sales and Alibaba is increasing some...

David Mudd

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Jul 26th): Tencent, China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation, Meituan

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Tencent, China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation, Meituan.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

BUY/SELL/HOLD: Hong Kong Stock Updates (July 22)

Xiaomi launches its new AI enabled phone and has success in EVs. Sunny Optical has seen its auto lens business grow and Minth is successfully...

David Mudd

BYDE (285 HK) - CMBI Corp Day Takeaways: IPad/IPhone Cycle, NEV, AI Servers and Robotics

The stock now trades at 15.2x FY24E P/E, which is attractive in our view. Our TP of HK$45.15 is based on 17.2x FY24E P/E. Reiterate BUY and BYDE is...

CMB International

Last Week in Event SPACE: Jardine Cycle & Carriage, "Name & Shame", Asia Cement, Northern Minerals

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

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