Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The S&amp;P 500 index tracks the 500 largest names listed in the US and it is one of the most highly-tracked indices in the world.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the upcoming constituent changes in the run up to the June 2025 index rebal event.</li>
<li>We expect two regular changes in June 2025. There are also multiple live spin-off and M&amp;A events which are likely to trigger intra-review index changes.</li>
</ul>


The S&amp;P 500 index tracks the 500 largest names listed in the US and it is one of the most highly-tracked indices in the world.
In this insight, we take a look at the upcoming constituent changes in the run up to the June 2025 index rebal event.
We expect two regular changes in June 2025. There are also multiple live spin-off and M&amp;A events which are likely to trigger intra-review index changes.


[Quiddity Index Mar25] S&P500/600 Jun25 Rebal: Early Days But a Few Intrareview Changes Possible

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

Star Entertainment Group / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/star-entertainment-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:926:1" rel="noopener">Star Entertainment Group (SGR AU)</a> will raise A$800 million with a fully underwritten 3:5 pro rata accelerated non-renounceable entitlement offer and institutional placement at A$1.20, a 13.6% discount to TERP.</li>
<li>The equity raise of A$800 million will maintain leverage within the targeted 2.0x-2.5x net debt/EBITDA long-term range in our fines high-case scenario.</li>
<li>Adjusting for the raise, Star trades at a discount to peers. While the shares will be under short-term pressure due to the raise, there is long-term value for the brave. </li>
</ul>



Star Entertainment Group (SGR AU) will raise A$800 million with a fully underwritten 3:5 pro rata accelerated non-renounceable entitlement offer and institutional placement at A$1.20, a 13.6% discount to TERP.
The equity raise of A$800 million will maintain leverage within the targeted 2.0x-2.5x net debt/EBITDA long-term range in our fines high-case scenario.
Adjusting for the raise, Star trades at a discount to peers. While the shares will be under short-term pressure due to the raise, there is long-term value for the brave. 


Star Entertainment (SGR AU): A$800m Highly Dilutive Raise to Fix the Balance Sheet

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/star-entertainment-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:926:1" rel="noopener">Star Entertainment Group (SGR AU)</a> scored an own goal by failing to provide an update on the balance sheet in the update on 13 February. The results are next week.   </li>
<li>There is a whirlwind of uncertainty surrounding potential fines and Star is in desperate need to recapitalise its balance sheet to avoid breaching covenants. </li>
<li>Our leverage scenarios suggest an equity raise of A$250-500 million is required. Despite the share price fall, we would steer clear until the details of its equity raise are disclosed.</li>
</ul>



Star Entertainment Group (SGR AU) scored an own goal by failing to provide an update on the balance sheet in the update on 13 February. The results are next week.   
There is a whirlwind of uncertainty surrounding potential fines and Star is in desperate need to recapitalise its balance sheet to avoid breaching covenants. 
Our leverage scenarios suggest an equity raise of A$250-500 million is required. Despite the share price fall, we would steer clear until the details of its equity raise are disclosed.


Star Entertainment (SGR AU): Entertaining Known Unknowns

Quality-first, Business-perspective, Long-term, Urbem (HK) Limited

Urbem Capital

Quality-first, Business-perspective, Long-term

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Although lesser-known, this Swedish company dominates one of the most lucrative segments of the global casino industry.</li>
<li>In our view, it is probably the only investable casino company, and despite its size, still has a massive growth runway ahead.</li>
<li>Our DCF model implies a 15%-20% total return for the company's long-term shareholders.</li>
</ul>


Although lesser-known, this Swedish company dominates one of the most lucrative segments of the global casino industry.
In our view, it is probably the only investable casino company, and despite its size, still has a massive growth runway ahead.
Our DCF model implies a 15%-20% total return for the company's long-term shareholders.


Evolution Gaming: The World's Largest Casino, Which You Probably Never Heard Of

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

On Friday post market close, S&amp;P Dow Jones announced the results of the March review for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-500" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22886:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P 500 (SPX INDEX)</a> that will be effective after the close of trading on 19 March.There are 4 additions - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nxp-semiconductors-nv" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9801:1" rel="noopener">Nxp Semiconductors Nv (NXPI US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/penn-national-gaming-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5588:1" rel="noopener">Penn National Gaming (PENN US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/generac-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16223:1" rel="noopener">Generac Holdings (GNRC US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/caesars-entertainment-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15532:1" rel="noopener">Caesars Entertainment (CZR US)</a>. To balance that out, there are 4 deletions - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/flowserve-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20555:1" rel="noopener">Flowserve Corp (FLS US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sl-green-realty-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1548:1" rel="noopener">Sl Green Realty (SLG US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xerox-holdings-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17585:1" rel="noopener">Xerox Corp (XRX US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vontier-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28857:1" rel="noopener">Vontier Corp (VNT US)</a>.We estimate one-way turnover will be around US$22.4bn and the funding trade will see selling on a lot of the current index constituents.The biggest impact of the changes will be on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nxp-semiconductors-nv" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9801:1" rel="noopener">Nxp Semiconductors Nv (NXPI US)</a> where we estimate passive funds will need to buy around 11 days of ADV on the stock. The impact on the other stocks is much lower due to the move between the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-500" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22886:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P 500 (SPX INDEX)</a> and the S&amp;P Mid Cap 400 indices.

On Friday post market close, S&amp;P Dow Jones announced the results of the March review for the S&amp;P 500 (SPX INDEX) that will be effective after the close of trading on 19 March.There are 4 additions - Nxp Semiconductors Nv (NXPI US), Penn National Gaming (PENN US), Generac Holdings (GNRC US) and Caesars Entertainment (CZR US). To balance that out, there are 4 deletions - Flowserve Corp (FLS US), Sl Green Realty (SLG US), Xerox Corp (XRX US) and Vontier Corp (VNT US).We estimate one-way turnover will be around US$22.4bn and the funding trade will see selling on a lot of the current index constituents.The biggest impact of the changes will be on Nxp Semiconductors Nv (NXPI US) where we estimate passive funds will need to buy around 11 days of ADV on the stock. The impact on the other stocks is much lower due to the move between the S&amp;P 500 (SPX INDEX) and the S&amp;P Mid Cap 400 indices.

S&P500 Index Rebalance: NXPI Is the One to Watch

United States

Caesars Entertainment Corp., is a gaming company. The Company operates casino resorts on multiple continents. Caesars' also owns an on-line gaming business, providing for real money casino, bingo and poker games in the United Kingdom and play for fun offerings in other jurisdictions.

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Caesars Entertainment (CZR US)

[Quiddity Index Mar25] S&P500/600 Jun25 Rebal: Early Days But a Few Intrareview Changes Possible

The S&P500/400/600 rebalance for March is done as of Friday. The S&P rebalance for June now has a leaderboard. APP and CRH lead from outside the...

Travis Lundy

Star Entertainment (SGR AU): A$800m Highly Dilutive Raise to Fix the Balance Sheet

Adjusting for the raise, Star trades at a discount to peers. While the shares will be under short-term pressure due to the raise, there is long...

Arun George

Star Entertainment (SGR AU): Entertaining Known Unknowns

Our leverage scenarios suggest an equity raise of A$250-500 million is required. Despite the share price fall, we would steer clear until the...

Arun George

Evolution Gaming: The World's Largest Casino, Which You Probably Never Heard Of

Who is the world's largest casino? Those who try to look for the answer in Las Vegas or Macau should check out this Swedish company that dominates...

Urbem Capital

S&P500 Index Rebalance: NXPI Is the One to Watch

There are 4 changes to the S&P500 with NXP Semiconductors the largest beneficiary of the changes. Estimated one-way turnover is US$22.4bn and there...

Brian Freitas

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