HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Despite some disgruntled investors, the privatisation of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tam-jai-international-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34227:1" rel="noopener">Tam Jai International (2217 HK)</a> is appealing. If it is successful, payment will be made on or before 26 Aug. </li>
<li>The proposed price of HK$1.58 equals a 24% premium to the peer CY25F PER. The poor reported peer results and earnings downgrades are the reasons for a narrower premium.</li>
<li>Since the announcement of privatisation, the sector has retreated by 7.8%, vs. a 5.2% gain in HSI, reflecting the industry's tough operating environment. It remains wise to exit. </li>
</ul>


Despite some disgruntled investors, the privatisation of Tam Jai International (2217 HK) is appealing. If it is successful, payment will be made on or before 26 Aug. 
The proposed price of HK$1.58 equals a 24% premium to the peer CY25F PER. The poor reported peer results and earnings downgrades are the reasons for a narrower premium.
Since the announcement of privatisation, the sector has retreated by 7.8%, vs. a 5.2% gain in HSI, reflecting the industry's tough operating environment. It remains wise to exit. 


Tam Jai Intl (2217 HK): Privatisation Stays Appealing Despite...

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The spread to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toridoll-holdings-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8193:1" rel="noopener">TORIDOLL Holdings Corporation (3397 JP)</a>’s HK$1.58 offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tam-jai-international-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34227:1" rel="noopener">Tam Jai International (2217 HK)</a> has risen to 9.7% ahead of the scheme document's release. </li>
<li>Several readers have asked whether the Tam Jai offer will mirror the Goldlion and Soundwill deal break. The schemes share similarities but are also different in several ways.</li>
<li>The scheme's vote risk has undoubtedly increased partly due to the recent 2025 results and deal breaks. This situation warrants a safety-first approach.  </li>
</ul>


The spread to TORIDOLL Holdings Corporation (3397 JP)’s HK$1.58 offer for Tam Jai International (2217 HK) has risen to 9.7% ahead of the scheme document's release. 
Several readers have asked whether the Tam Jai offer will mirror the Goldlion and Soundwill deal break. The schemes share similarities but are also different in several ways.
The scheme's vote risk has undoubtedly increased partly due to the recent 2025 results and deal breaks. This situation warrants a safety-first approach.  


Tam Jai (2217 HK): Anxiety Creeps in Ahead of the Scheme Document

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chagee-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45011:1" rel="noopener">Chagee Holdings (CHA US)</a>, a leading premium tea drinks brand, is seeking to raise US$382-411 million through a Nasdaq IPO.</li>
<li>We previously discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/chagee-holdings-cha-us-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:181653" rel="noopener">Chagee Holdings (CHA US) IPO: The Bull Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/chagee-holdings-cha-us-ipo-the-bear-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:182085" rel="noopener">Chagee Holdings (CHA US) IPO: The Bear Case</a>.</li>
<li>There are four cornerstone investors. Our valuation analysis suggests Chagee is attractively valued at the IPO price range. Therefore, we would participate in the IPO.</li>
</ul>



Chagee Holdings (CHA US), a leading premium tea drinks brand, is seeking to raise US$382-411 million through a Nasdaq IPO.
We previously discussed the IPO in Chagee Holdings (CHA US) IPO: The Bull Case and Chagee Holdings (CHA US) IPO: The Bear Case.
There are four cornerstone investors. Our valuation analysis suggests Chagee is attractively valued at the IPO price range. Therefore, we would participate in the IPO.


Chagee Holdings (CHA US) IPO: Valuation Insights

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Nicholas Tan

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chagee-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45011:1" rel="noopener">Chagee Holdings (CHA US)</a>  is planning to raise up to US$500m through its upcoming US IPO.</li>
<li>It is a leading premium tea drinks brand, serving healthy and delicious freshly-made tea drinks.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s past performance in our earlier notes. In this note, we discuss latest industry dynamics, conduct a quick peer comparison and discuss the company’s valuation.</li>
</ul>



Chagee Holdings (CHA US)  is planning to raise up to US$500m through its upcoming US IPO.
It is a leading premium tea drinks brand, serving healthy and delicious freshly-made tea drinks.
We have looked at the company’s past performance in our earlier notes. In this note, we discuss latest industry dynamics, conduct a quick peer comparison and discuss the company’s valuation.


Chagee IPO: Peer Comp and Thoughts on Valuation

Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Budweiser Brewing Company APAC / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Hong Kong secular bull market has consolidated within its long-term support/resistance range of 22700 and 24000.  With increasing momentum and strength the market is poised for the next leg up.</li>
<li>Hong Kong tech and consumer discretionary sectors continue to have strong momentum with healthcare and materials sectors showing renewed strength.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/budweiser-brewing-co-apac-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28077:1" rel="noopener">Budweiser Brewing APAC (1876 HK)</a> shares bounce with the appointment of new CEO, pointing to increasing China revenue.  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yum-china-holdings-inc-0533692c-6dae-4014-baa1-ed0b050638f2" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29259:1" rel="noopener">Yum China Holdings (9987 HK)</a> reported strong earnings and increased its dividend.</li>
</ul>


Hong Kong secular bull market has consolidated within its long-term support/resistance range of 22700 and 24000.  With increasing momentum and strength the market is poised for the next leg up.
Hong Kong tech and consumer discretionary sectors continue to have strong momentum with healthcare and materials sectors showing renewed strength.

Budweiser Brewing APAC (1876 HK) shares bounce with the appointment of new CEO, pointing to increasing China revenue.  Yum China Holdings (9987 HK) reported strong earnings and increased its dividend.


BUY/SELL/HOLD: Hong Kong Stock Update (March 11)

Hong Kong

Cafe de Coral Holdings Ltd. operates quick-service restaurants and casual dining chains, including brands like Café de Coral, Super Super Congee & Noodles, and The Spaghetti House. The company also provides institutional catering services and is involved in food processing and distribution. It was founded in 1968 and is headquartered in Fo Tan, Hong Kong.

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Cafe de Coral (341 HK)

Tam Jai Intl (2217 HK): Privatisation Stays Appealing Despite...

Some investors may be unhappy, but Tam Jai's privatisation is attractive at HK$1.58, offering a 24% PER premium to peers. Given sector challenges,...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Tam Jai (2217 HK): Anxiety Creeps in Ahead of the Scheme Document

Arbs cannot afford another HK deal break on their books. Recent events have undoubtedly increased the scheme's vote risk, warranting a safety-first...

Arun George

Chagee Holdings (CHA US) IPO: Valuation Insights

Our valuation analysis suggests Chagee is attractively valued at the IPO price range. Therefore, we would participate in the IPO.

Arun George

Chagee IPO: Peer Comp and Thoughts on Valuation

Chagee, a leading premium tea drinks brand, is planning to raise up to US$500m through its upcoming US IPO. In this note, we discuss the company's...

Nicholas Tan

BUY/SELL/HOLD: Hong Kong Stock Update (March 11)

HK is consolidating within its long term support/resistance levels of 22700 and 24000. Mainland buying is at historically high levels. Bud APAC...

David Mudd

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