IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

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Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

Canvest Environmental Protection Group / Event-Driven

Canvest Environmental Protection Group (0XC SW)

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/grandblue-environment-co-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17887:1" rel="noopener">Grandblue Environment Co A (600323 CH)</a> continues to make steady progress in satisfying the precondition for its HK$4.90 privatisation offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/canvest-environmental-protection-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:100:1" rel="noopener">Canvest Environmental Protection Group (1381 HK)</a>. </li>
<li>Two of the five preconditions are satisfied, and another will be satisfied by 20 January. The long stop date of 17 July provides ample time to satisfy the remaining two. </li>
<li>Although the peers have materially re-rated, the offer implies a premium compared to peer multiples. Vote risk remains low, aided by selling by a shareholder with a blocking stake. </li>
</ul>



Grandblue Environment Co A (600323 CH) continues to make steady progress in satisfying the precondition for its HK$4.90 privatisation offer for Canvest Environmental Protection Group (1381 HK). 
Two of the five preconditions are satisfied, and another will be satisfied by 20 January. The long stop date of 17 July provides ample time to satisfy the remaining two. 
Although the peers have materially re-rated, the offer implies a premium compared to peer multiples. Vote risk remains low, aided by selling by a shareholder with a blocking stake. 


Canvest (1381 HK): Attractive Spread with Steady Progress in Precondition Satisfaction

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>Back on the 28th November, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/avjennings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12578:1" rel="noopener">AVJennings Ltd (AVJ AU)</a>, a reputable home builder in Australia/New Zealand, <a href="https://announcements.asx.com.au/asxpdf/20241128/pdf/06bywtrktl1j89.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">entered into a deed</a> granting the AVID consortium exclusive confirmatory due diligence.</li>
<li>The AVID consortium, comprising Proprium Capital Partners and AVID Property Group, pitched an NBIO (by way of a Scheme) of A$0.67/share. Singapore's SC Global (54.5% shareholder) was supportive.</li>
<li>In what appeared to be clean deal, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ho-bee-land-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18298:1" rel="noopener">Ho Bee Land Ltd (HOBEE SP)</a> then acquired a <a href="https://announcements.asx.com.au/asxpdf/20241227/pdf/06d2p7fykvslm6.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">5.39% stake</a> on the 23rd December. Now they've made their own <a href="https://announcements.asx.com.au/asxpdf/20250115/pdf/06dk238wkx2778.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">NBIO at A$0.70/share</a>. </li>
</ul>


Back on the 28th November, AVJennings Ltd (AVJ AU), a reputable home builder in Australia/New Zealand, entered into a deed granting the AVID consortium exclusive confirmatory due diligence.
The AVID consortium, comprising Proprium Capital Partners and AVID Property Group, pitched an NBIO (by way of a Scheme) of A$0.67/share. Singapore's SC Global (54.5% shareholder) was supportive.
In what appeared to be clean deal, Ho Bee Land Ltd (HOBEE SP) then acquired a 5.39% stake on the 23rd December. Now they've made their own NBIO at A$0.70/share. 


AVJennings (AVJ AU): Ho Bee's Superior Proposal

<ul>
<li>After wealth manager <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/insignia-financial-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12349:1" rel="noopener">Insignia Financial (IFL AU)</a> announced - and subsequently rejected  Bain's A$4.00/share Offer, CC Capital waded in on the 6th January with its own A$4.30/share NBIO.</li>
<li>IFL have yet to reach an opinion on CC Capital bid. And to make things interesting, Bain has  sweetened its Offer to $4.30/share, matching CC Capital's terms.</li>
<li>What now? Either, IFL opens the data room to both parties. Or rejects both. I think they should engage.</li>
</ul>


After wealth manager Insignia Financial (IFL AU) announced - and subsequently rejected  Bain's A$4.00/share Offer, CC Capital waded in on the 6th January with its own A$4.30/share NBIO.
IFL have yet to reach an opinion on CC Capital bid. And to make things interesting, Bain has  sweetened its Offer to $4.30/share, matching CC Capital's terms.
What now? Either, IFL opens the data room to both parties. Or rejects both. I think they should engage.


Insignia Financial (IFL AU): Bain Calls CC Capital's $4.30/Share NBIO

<ul>
<li>Ahead of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-henlius-biotech-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27888:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Henlius Biotech (2696 HK)</a>'s EGM and Court Meeting on the 22 January, the focus has shifted to Loyal Valley Capital (LVC)'s continued buying in the market.</li>
<li>After the close of market last Friday, LVC held <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2025/0110/2025011000368.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">7.8295%</a>, above the 7.826% blocking stake. That % was as at 9th January. I assume LVC are still buying.</li>
<li>Yet if you analyse how LVC has traded in and out of Henlius, they are not in it to block. They're in for the back-end scrip option.  </li>
</ul>


Ahead of Shanghai Henlius Biotech (2696 HK)'s EGM and Court Meeting on the 22 January, the focus has shifted to Loyal Valley Capital (LVC)'s continued buying in the market.
After the close of market last Friday, LVC held 7.8295%, above the 7.826% blocking stake. That % was as at 9th January. I assume LVC are still buying.
Yet if you analyse how LVC has traded in and out of Henlius, they are not in it to block. They're in for the back-end scrip option.  


Henlius (2696 HK): LVC Won't Block. Buy Here & On Weakness

<ul>
<li>Back on the 6th January, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/smart-share-global-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32217:1" rel="noopener">Smart Share Global (EM US)</a>, the largest provider of mobile device charging services in China, <a href="https://app.quotemedia.com/data/downloadFiling?webmasterId=90423&amp;ref=318826893&amp;type=PDF&amp;symbol=EM&amp;cdn=92fc68ff7b8532b8b229f6ee242a0168&amp;companyName=Smart+Share+Global+Limited&amp;formType=6-K&amp;formDescription=Report+of+foreign+private+issuer+pursuant+to+Rule+13a-16+or+15d-16+under+the+Securities+Exchange+Act+of+1934&amp;dateFiled=2025-01-06" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a> a preliminary non-binding proposal.</li>
<li>A consortium led by Mars Guangyuan Cai, Chairman and CEO,  collectively holding 63.4% of the voting rights, have made an Offer at US$0.625/share (US$1.25/ADS), a 74.8% premium to last close. </li>
<li>Should a definitive agreement be inked, this is done. The risk to the trade, as with many US-listed China plays, is one of timing. Trading at a 26.6% gross spread.</li>
</ul>


Back on the 6th January, Smart Share Global (EM US), the largest provider of mobile device charging services in China, announced a preliminary non-binding proposal.
A consortium led by Mars Guangyuan Cai, Chairman and CEO,  collectively holding 63.4% of the voting rights, have made an Offer at US$0.625/share (US$1.25/ADS), a 74.8% premium to last close. 
Should a definitive agreement be inked, this is done. The risk to the trade, as with many US-listed China plays, is one of timing. Trading at a 26.6% gross spread.


Hong Kong

Canvest Environmental Protection Group operates and manages waste-to-energy plants in the People's Republic of China. The company also provides environmental hygiene, waste processing, and integrated smart city management services, including smart car parking. It was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Sheung Wan, Hong Kong.

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Canvest Environmental Protection Group (0XC SW)

Canvest (1381 HK): Attractive Spread with Steady Progress in Precondition Satisfaction

Grandblue continues to progress toward satisfying the precondition, having secured NDRC approval. The remaining regulatory approvals required are...

Arun George

AVJennings (AVJ AU): Ho Bee's Superior Proposal

Although terms are indicative, buy a tick or three below Ho Bee's terms. You could also consider buying the Singaporean leg (quoted in AUD), and...

David Blennerhassett

Henlius (2696 HK): LVC Won't Block. Buy Here & On Weakness

Trading wide at a 11.8% gross spread (using today's opening print) with expected payment around the third week of Feb. That's a buy here. I'd pay...

David Blennerhassett

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Canvest (1381 HK): Attractive Spread with Steady Progress in Precondition Satisfaction

Grandblue continues to progress toward satisfying the precondition, having secured NDRC approval. The remaining regulatory approvals required are...

Arun George

AVJennings (AVJ AU): Ho Bee's Superior Proposal

Although terms are indicative, buy a tick or three below Ho Bee's terms. You could also consider buying the Singaporean leg (quoted in AUD), and...

David Blennerhassett

Insignia Financial (IFL AU): Bain Calls CC Capital's $4.30/Share NBIO

Both Offers are non-binding. IFL may hold out for more, but they should engage here. However, I'm still not confident Tanarra is willing to kick...

David Blennerhassett

Henlius (2696 HK): LVC Won't Block. Buy Here & On Weakness

Trading wide at a 11.8% gross spread (using today's opening print) with expected payment around the third week of Feb. That's a buy here. I'd pay...

David Blennerhassett

Smart Share Global (EM US)'s MBO NBIO

Should a defintive agreement be inked, this is done. The risk to the trade, as with many US-listed China plays, is one of timing. Trading at a...

David Blennerhassett