Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>This is our first report on e-commerce player, Carvana.</li><li>The company's Fourth Quarter 2023 Earnings included an optimistic forecast regarding the company's economic performance.</li><li>The company's fiscal year GPU (Gross Profit per Unit) augmented by nearly $1,000, setting a fresh record and exceeding their previous best in 2021.</li></ul>

This is our first report on e-commerce player, Carvana.The company's Fourth Quarter 2023 Earnings included an optimistic forecast regarding the company's economic performance.The company's fiscal year GPU (Gross Profit per Unit) augmented by nearly $1,000, setting a fresh record and exceeding their previous best in 2021.

Carvana Co: Initiation Of Coverage - AI & 5 Major Growth Drivers! - Financial Forecasts

Global Automotive Stocks/EV Focus/Event Driven, SC Capital

SC Capital

Global Automotive Stocks/EV Focus/Event Driven

Over 22 years covering Japanese equities on both the sell side and the buy side. 

Bottom-up Japan Equities Research

Faraday Future Intelligent Ele / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Fardaday Future (FF) announced it lined up at least $100m in funding from two investors but gave little detail. Deal is set to close on or before August 8th. </li>
<li>Given that it's a senior secured convert deal, we doubt more than $100m-$200m can be raised, despite FF's release saying the deal has capacity for $600m.</li>
<li>FF only had $222m in cash in April after -$173m in FCF in Q1. They need $1bn to last through 2023. Anything less than $600m in funding would be negative.</li>
</ul>


Fardaday Future (FF) announced it lined up at least $100m in funding from two investors but gave little detail. Deal is set to close on or before August 8th. 
Given that it's a senior secured convert deal, we doubt more than $100m-$200m can be raised, despite FF's release saying the deal has capacity for $600m.
FF only had $222m in cash in April after -$173m in FCF in Q1. They need $1bn to last through 2023. Anything less than $600m in funding would be negative.


Faraday Future (FFIE) Claims It Lined Up Funding but Details Are Vague

Fundamental Short Selling Research

Eric Fernandez, CFA

TwoRiversAnalytics

<ul>
<li>Liquidity shorts can be great short candidates.  The key characteristic is that the company may not be viable, economically, given their cash flows and cash requirements. </li>
<li>Liquidity shorts have built-in catalysts, have moderate to higher betas,  and can have strong down moves if a crisis develops.  They can go bankrupt, pushing the stock price near zero.</li>
<li>Today we are flagging Carvana, Exact Sciences, Inspire Med, Freshpet, Enviva .</li>
</ul>


Liquidity shorts can be great short candidates.  The key characteristic is that the company may not be viable, economically, given their cash flows and cash requirements. 
Liquidity shorts have built-in catalysts, have moderate to higher betas,  and can have strong down moves if a crisis develops.  They can go bankrupt, pushing the stock price near zero.
Today we are flagging Carvana, Exact Sciences, Inspire Med, Freshpet, Enviva .


Liquidity Risk Short Candidates: Carvana, Exact Sciences, Inspire Med, Freshpet, Enviva

<ul>
<li>EV start-up Faraday Future released their delayed Q1 2022 results &amp; had some hair-raising disclosures on their first-ever earnings call. </li>
<li>Cash halved in the 3 months since Q4 2021 &amp; dropped another 20% as of April 30th. Faraday didn't deny that they have roughly a quarter's worth of cash left. </li>
<li>We can't see how Faraday raises cash in the current risk-adverse markets. And we don't see any assets worth buying them out for. Faraday is in need of a miracle. </li>
</ul>


EV start-up Faraday Future released their delayed Q1 2022 results &amp; had some hair-raising disclosures on their first-ever earnings call. 
Cash halved in the 3 months since Q4 2021 &amp; dropped another 20% as of April 30th. Faraday didn't deny that they have roughly a quarter's worth of cash left. 
We can't see how Faraday raises cash in the current risk-adverse markets. And we don't see any assets worth buying them out for. Faraday is in need of a miracle. 


Faraday Future (FFIE)--Hanging by a Thread With 3 Months of Cash Left

<ul>
<li>Farday Future failed to file its Q1 2022 financials by May 16th, saying it received an extension until May 23rd. This is the 3rd extension for Faraday's quarterly financials. </li>
<li>The company's cash has <em><strong>halved</strong></em> in the 3 months between the end of December 2021 and March 2022 end.</li>
<li>Disclosures are now cautious about its first model launch in July and its ability to fund operations through 2022. Finance needs stated to be $1.5bn or 2x its market cap. </li>
</ul>


Farday Future failed to file its Q1 2022 financials by May 16th, saying it received an extension until May 23rd. This is the 3rd extension for Faraday's quarterly financials. 
The company's cash has halved in the 3 months between the end of December 2021 and March 2022 end.
Disclosures are now cautious about its first model launch in July and its ability to fund operations through 2022. Finance needs stated to be $1.5bn or 2x its market cap. 


Faraday Future (FFIE) Fails to File Q1 Results; Changes Tone on 1st Model Launch Timing

United States

Carvana Co. operates an online platform for buying used cars. The Company offers test drives, vehicle financing, and car reviews. Carvana serves customers in the United States.

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Carvana (CVNA US)

Carvana Co: Initiation Of Coverage - AI & 5 Major Growth Drivers! - Financial Forecasts

This is our first report on e-commerce player, Carvana. The company's Fourth Quarter 2023 Earnings included an optimistic forecast regarding the...

Baptista Research

Faraday Future (FFIE) Claims It Lined Up Funding but Details Are Vague

Faraday Future (FFIE) spiked by 21% yesterday on news that it's found investors with at least $100m in funding. They need $1.5bn. Their vague...

SC Capital

Liquidity Risk Short Candidates: Carvana, Exact Sciences, Inspire Med, Freshpet, Enviva

Liquidity risk short candidates may not be economically viable given cash flows and capital requirements. This week we flag Carvana, Exact...

Eric Fernandez, CFA

Faraday Future (FFIE)--Hanging by a Thread With 3 Months of Cash Left

After a short squeeze that spiked the stock by 80%+, Faraday reveals it only has around one quarter's worth of cash left & slashes sales estimates....

SC Capital

Faraday Future (FFIE) Fails to File Q1 Results; Changes Tone on 1st Model Launch Timing

Faraday has rallied 66% since last Wednesday on short covering. The EV start-up has 3 quarters of cash left & stated it needs financing worth 2x...

SC Capital

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