Global Automotive Stocks/EV Focus/Event Driven, SC Capital

SC Capital

Global Automotive Stocks/EV Focus/Event Driven

Over 22 years covering Japanese equities on both the sell side and the buy side. 

Bottom-up Japan Equities Research

Equity Bottom-Up

Faraday Future Intelligent Ele / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Fardaday Future (FF) announced it lined up at least $100m in funding from two investors but gave little detail. Deal is set to close on or before August 8th. </li>
<li>Given that it's a senior secured convert deal, we doubt more than $100m-$200m can be raised, despite FF's release saying the deal has capacity for $600m.</li>
<li>FF only had $222m in cash in April after -$173m in FCF in Q1. They need $1bn to last through 2023. Anything less than $600m in funding would be negative.</li>
</ul>


Fardaday Future (FF) announced it lined up at least $100m in funding from two investors but gave little detail. Deal is set to close on or before August 8th. 
Given that it's a senior secured convert deal, we doubt more than $100m-$200m can be raised, despite FF's release saying the deal has capacity for $600m.
FF only had $222m in cash in April after -$173m in FCF in Q1. They need $1bn to last through 2023. Anything less than $600m in funding would be negative.


Faraday Future (FFIE) Claims It Lined Up Funding but Details Are Vague

<ul>
<li>EV start-up Faraday Future released their delayed Q1 2022 results &amp; had some hair-raising disclosures on their first-ever earnings call. </li>
<li>Cash halved in the 3 months since Q4 2021 &amp; dropped another 20% as of April 30th. Faraday didn't deny that they have roughly a quarter's worth of cash left. </li>
<li>We can't see how Faraday raises cash in the current risk-adverse markets. And we don't see any assets worth buying them out for. Faraday is in need of a miracle. </li>
</ul>


EV start-up Faraday Future released their delayed Q1 2022 results &amp; had some hair-raising disclosures on their first-ever earnings call. 
Cash halved in the 3 months since Q4 2021 &amp; dropped another 20% as of April 30th. Faraday didn't deny that they have roughly a quarter's worth of cash left. 
We can't see how Faraday raises cash in the current risk-adverse markets. And we don't see any assets worth buying them out for. Faraday is in need of a miracle. 


Faraday Future (FFIE)--Hanging by a Thread With 3 Months of Cash Left

High Conviction Concentrated Growth Investing, Fallacy Alarm

Fallacy Alarm

High Conviction Concentrated Growth Investing

High conviction concentrated growth investing. Blends single stock, macro and thematic research into powerful long and short ideas. I am convinced that a robust and comprehensive investment process requires macro and micro considerations. And it requires a deep understanding what you are looking for and what you are invested in. Digitization has changed the dynamics both how businesses operate and how investors compete for returns. Ideas can scale much faster and fail much faster than before. The biggest value creation happens before it can be spotted in financial statements. As a result, my approach can be best summarized as high conviction, high concentration growth investing, embedded into a macro framework built on the realization that our current demographic set-up, monetary paradigm and innovation cycle will likely deliver a strong decade for nominal and real returns of productive assets.

<ul><li>Fiscal spending has been the key driver for this bull market as it reaccelerated in late 2022 following the inflation and subsequent interest rate shock.</li><li>This impulse will likely diminish over the next months. It will be replaced by a credit impulse from rate cuts, the first few of which will be very powerful.</li><li>Market mechanics will be accommodating. Leverage in the system is low. In fact, the pain trade is still higher.</li></ul>

Fiscal spending has been the key driver for this bull market as it reaccelerated in late 2022 following the inflation and subsequent interest rate shock.This impulse will likely diminish over the next months. It will be replaced by a credit impulse from rate cuts, the first few of which will be very powerful.Market mechanics will be accommodating. Leverage in the system is low. In fact, the pain trade is still higher.

High Quality Stock Setups, Weekly Stock Bull Finder

Weekly Stock Bull Finder

High Quality Stock Setups

Finding high potential stock setups on quality companies

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>According to BeSpoke investment firm research, the top 10% of the most heavily shorted stocks are up an average of 36.3% so far this year.</li><li>This includes troubled retailer Bed Bath &amp; Beyond (BBBY) whose shares surged by more than 18% Thursday, a day after they missed a Feb. 1 interest payment and warned that it might file for bankruptcy within weeks.</li><li>Other stocks like online car dealer Carvana and any company which has anything remotely associated with artificial intelligence (AI) have seen similar spikes.</li></ul>

According to BeSpoke investment firm research, the top 10% of the most heavily shorted stocks are up an average of 36.3% so far this year.This includes troubled retailer Bed Bath &amp; Beyond (BBBY) whose shares surged by more than 18% Thursday, a day after they missed a Feb. 1 interest payment and warned that it might file for bankruptcy within weeks.Other stocks like online car dealer Carvana and any company which has anything remotely associated with artificial intelligence (AI) have seen similar spikes.

<ul>
<li>Farday Future failed to file its Q1 2022 financials by May 16th, saying it received an extension until May 23rd. This is the 3rd extension for Faraday's quarterly financials. </li>
<li>The company's cash has <em><strong>halved</strong></em> in the 3 months between the end of December 2021 and March 2022 end.</li>
<li>Disclosures are now cautious about its first model launch in July and its ability to fund operations through 2022. Finance needs stated to be $1.5bn or 2x its market cap. </li>
</ul>


Farday Future failed to file its Q1 2022 financials by May 16th, saying it received an extension until May 23rd. This is the 3rd extension for Faraday's quarterly financials. 
The company's cash has halved in the 3 months between the end of December 2021 and March 2022 end.
Disclosures are now cautious about its first model launch in July and its ability to fund operations through 2022. Finance needs stated to be $1.5bn or 2x its market cap. 


Faraday Future (FFIE) Fails to File Q1 Results; Changes Tone on 1st Model Launch Timing

United States

Carvana Co. operates an online platform for buying used cars. The Company offers test drives, vehicle financing, and car reviews. Carvana serves customers in the United States.

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Carvana (CVNA US)

Faraday Future (FFIE) Claims It Lined Up Funding but Details Are Vague

Faraday Future (FFIE) spiked by 21% yesterday on news that it's found investors with at least $100m in funding. They need $1.5bn. Their vague...

SC Capital

Faraday Future (FFIE)--Hanging by a Thread With 3 Months of Cash Left

After a short squeeze that spiked the stock by 80%+, Faraday reveals it only has around one quarter's worth of cash left & slashes sales estimates....

SC Capital

Fallacy Alarm's Elevator Pitch Party

Fiscal spending has been the key driver for this bull market as it reaccelerated in late 2022 following the inflation and subsequent interest rate...

Fallacy Alarm

Weekly Stock Bullfinder - Week of 2/6

According to BeSpoke investment firm research, the top 10% of the most heavily shorted stocks are up an average of 36.3% so far this year.

Weekly Stock Bull Finder

Faraday Future (FFIE) Fails to File Q1 Results; Changes Tone on 1st Model Launch Timing

Faraday has rallied 66% since last Wednesday on short covering. The EV start-up has 3 quarters of cash left & stated it needs financing worth 2x...

SC Capital

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