Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist, Clifton Derivatives

John Ley

Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist

Clifton Derivatives

Independent derivative and volatility research firm focusing on events/catalysts, earnings, relative value and cross asset volatility strategies.

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>A late-week rebound changed the tone after a soggy start with single stock option volumes following suit.</li>
<li>The debut of 625 drew attention as both the shares and newly listed options began trading during a difficult week.</li>
<li>Financials separated themselves from the broader market as performance across the rest of the optionable universe remained weak.</li>
</ul>


A late-week rebound changed the tone after a soggy start with single stock option volumes following suit.
The debut of 625 drew attention as both the shares and newly listed options began trading during a difficult week.
Financials separated themselves from the broader market as performance across the rest of the optionable universe remained weak.


Hong Kong Single Stock Options Weekly Aug 31–Sep 4: SHEIN Options Trading Debuts With Mixed Results

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Via an accelerated exchange, <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/swire-pacific-limited-class-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10433:1" rel="noopener">Swire Pacific (19 HK)</a></strong> is soliciting tenders from its 2027 exchangeable bond holders and, in parallel, placing <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cathay-pacific-airways-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:243:1" rel="noopener">Cathay (293 HK)</a></strong> shares to fund the bond repurchase.</li>
<li>Preceding my comments on Swire, are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.</li>
<li>These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.</li>
</ul>


Via an accelerated exchange, Swire Pacific (19 HK) is soliciting tenders from its 2027 exchangeable bond holders and, in parallel, placing Cathay (293 HK) shares to fund the bond repurchase.
Preceding my comments on Swire, are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.
These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.


StubWorld: Swire Accelerates Cathay Exchange. "As" At Multi-Decade Premium To "Bs"

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Tracking Traffic

Focusing on Asian logistics, transportation, and travel companies

Equity Capital Markets

SHEIN Global Holdings / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>In this insight we analyze SHEIN's Marketing expenses, which rose sharply in FY25 and Q126</li>
<li>We also revisit SHEIN's Fulfilment expenses, which likely ballooned in Q226 on higher fuel</li>
<li>We believe high and rising Marketing, Fulfilment expenses to smother FY26 margins</li>
</ul>


In this insight we analyze SHEIN's Marketing expenses, which rose sharply in FY25 and Q126
We also revisit SHEIN's Fulfilment expenses, which likely ballooned in Q226 on higher fuel
We believe high and rising Marketing, Fulfilment expenses to smother FY26 margins


SHEIN IPO in Hong Kong: Examining Marketing Expense Trend | Fulfilment Expense in Q226 Likely Spiked

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Chinese domestic and outbound air travel activity rebounded sharply in July - why?</li>
<li>If we're right about the reasons for July's recovery in traffic, bounce likely to be short-lived</li>
<li>We expect platform Trip.com to confirm a weak outlook when it reports Q226 results</li>
</ul>


Chinese domestic and outbound air travel activity rebounded sharply in July - why?
If we're right about the reasons for July's recovery in traffic, bounce likely to be short-lived
We expect platform Trip.com to confirm a weak outlook when it reports Q226 results


Monthly Chinese Tourism Tracker | Air Travel Growth Rebounded in July | Why? And Is It Sustainable?

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Data from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/trip-com-group-ltd-23a341d0-4f63-4175-a8c5-ee990906cacd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36424:1" rel="noopener">Trip.com Group (9961 HK)</a> showed good improvement in travel demand for the 2024 New Year holidays. The volume of various orders has surged between 2x and 5x YoY. </li>
<li>Aggregate net profit for the tourism and hospitality sector has turned around to Rmb20.4bn in 3Q23, from losses of Rmb24.7bn a year ago, demonstrating solid profitability recovery.</li>
<li>An average of 32% drop in the sector's share price YTD is unjustified. We like <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tongcheng-travel-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27363:1" rel="noopener">Tongcheng Travel (780 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/air-china-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8239:1" rel="noopener">Air China (H) (753 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fosun-tourism-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27439:1" rel="noopener">Fosun Tourism (1992 HK)</a>.  </li>
</ul>


Data from Trip.com Group (9961 HK) showed good improvement in travel demand for the 2024 New Year holidays. The volume of various orders has surged between 2x and 5x YoY. 
Aggregate net profit for the tourism and hospitality sector has turned around to Rmb20.4bn in 3Q23, from losses of Rmb24.7bn a year ago, demonstrating solid profitability recovery.
An average of 32% drop in the sector's share price YTD is unjustified. We like Tongcheng Travel (780 HK), Air China (H) (753 HK) and Fosun Tourism (1992 HK).  


China Tourism and Hospitality Industry: Boom in 2024 New Year Travel Demand

Hong Kong

Cathay Pacific is a premium travel lifestyle brand offering scheduled passenger and cargo air transportation, along with low-cost travel and various lifestyle products and services. The airline connects Hong Kong, mainland China, and the world through its hub at Hong Kong International Airport. It was founded in Hong Kong in 1946.

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Cathay Pacific (293 HK)

Hong Kong Single Stock Options Weekly Aug 31–Sep 4: SHEIN Options Trading Debuts With Mixed Results

SHEIN’s options debut drew the spotlight during a difficult week, as a late rebound lifted the market tone and Financials separated themselves from...

John Ley

StubWorld: Swire Accelerates Cathay Exchange. "As" At Multi-Decade Premium To "Bs"

The accelerated exchange is unusual. Perhaps Cathay shares are being placed with EB holders. Pac is elevated on a NAV basis and implied stub. Pac's...

David Blennerhassett

SHEIN IPO in Hong Kong: Examining Marketing Expense Trend | Fulfilment Expense in Q226 Likely Spiked

In its first day of trading on September 1, SHEIN's shares closed down 0.1% in Hong Kong after initially falling close to 10%. We're re-surfacing a...

Tracking Traffic

Monthly Chinese Tourism Tracker | Air Travel Growth Rebounded in July | Why? And Is It Sustainable?

After weak growth in Q226, Chinese domestic and outbound air travel activity suddenly rebounded in July. But is the improvement sustainable? We...

Tracking Traffic

China Tourism and Hospitality Industry: Boom in 2024 New Year Travel Demand

China's National Immigration Administration estimates there will be 1.56m travelers passing through immigration during the 2024 Chinese New Year...

Osbert Tang, CFA

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