Index Rebal/Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal/Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Quiddity's "Who is Ready" series of insights aims to objectively identify names listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange that are potential additions to the TOPIX Index in future.</li>
<li>Dozens of companies have been able to meet the key Section Transfer requirements on paper for several months but there have been no TOPIX Inclusions announcements in 2024 so far. </li>
<li>However, there are some pre-event candidates we believe are worth monitoring as they have previously confirmed their desire to move to the Prime Market.</li>
</ul>


Quiddity's "Who is Ready" series of insights aims to objectively identify names listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange that are potential additions to the TOPIX Index in future.
Dozens of companies have been able to meet the key Section Transfer requirements on paper for several months but there have been no TOPIX Inclusions announcements in 2024 so far. 
However, there are some pre-event candidates we believe are worth monitoring as they have previously confirmed their desire to move to the Prime Market.


TOPIX Inclusions: Who Is Ready (May 2024)

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

<ul>
<li>Murakami to tender stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jsr-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17620:1" rel="noopener">JSR Corp (4185 JP)</a>? Maybe the "double arb": i.e. short on swap, long on cash, will tender the cash, remain short the back end.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/austal-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14420:1" rel="noopener">Austal Ltd (ASB AU)</a> rejected (for now) <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hanwha-ocean-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12531:1" rel="noopener">Hanwha Ocean (042660 KS)</a>'s bid based on regulatory concerns.  Hanwha reckons these should not be an issue.</li>
<li>If you can tolerate owning the mobile biz, buy <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rakuten-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31:1" rel="noopener">Rakuten (4755 JP)</a> on dips. If not, avoid Rakuten Group and Rakuten Bank short-term; buy Rakuten Bank on larger dips.</li>
</ul>


Murakami to tender stake in JSR Corp (4185 JP)? Maybe the "double arb": i.e. short on swap, long on cash, will tender the cash, remain short the back end.

Austal Ltd (ASB AU) rejected (for now) Hanwha Ocean (042660 KS)'s bid based on regulatory concerns.  Hanwha reckons these should not be an issue.
If you can tolerate owning the mobile biz, buy Rakuten (4755 JP) on dips. If not, avoid Rakuten Group and Rakuten Bank short-term; buy Rakuten Bank on larger dips.


Last Week in Event SPACE: JSR, Austal, Rakuten, Hyundai Home Shopping, Hanmi Science

<ul>
<li>Quiddity's "Who is Ready" series of insights aims to objectively identify names listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange that are potential additions to the TOPIX Index in future.</li>
<li>There were no Section Transfers announced in the last 3 months so currently there are no live TOPIX Inclusion events at present.</li>
<li>There are currently 79 names capable of satisfying all the key section transfer requirements. Our long-term pre-event candidate <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/celsys-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20774:1" rel="noopener">CELSYS (3663 JP)</a> is one of them.</li>
</ul>


Quiddity's "Who is Ready" series of insights aims to objectively identify names listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange that are potential additions to the TOPIX Index in future.
There were no Section Transfers announced in the last 3 months so currently there are no live TOPIX Inclusion events at present.
There are currently 79 names capable of satisfying all the key section transfer requirements. Our long-term pre-event candidate CELSYS (3663 JP) is one of them.


TOPIX Inclusions: Who Is Ready (Apr 2024)

<ul>
<li>Quiddity's "Who is Ready" series of insights aims to objectively identify names listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange that are potential additions to the TOPIX Index in future.</li>
<li>There were no Section Transfers announced in January or February so currently there are no live TOPIX Inclusion events but there are some pre-event names to be monitored closely.</li>
<li>The upcoming TOPIX flows in end-April 2024 will be more complicated than the other quarterly rebalances as there will be more flows due to the annual liquidity factor review.</li>
</ul>


Quiddity's "Who is Ready" series of insights aims to objectively identify names listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange that are potential additions to the TOPIX Index in future.
There were no Section Transfers announced in January or February so currently there are no live TOPIX Inclusion events but there are some pre-event names to be monitored closely.
The upcoming TOPIX flows in end-April 2024 will be more complicated than the other quarterly rebalances as there will be more flows due to the annual liquidity factor review.


TOPIX Inclusions: Who Is Ready (Mar 2024)

<ul>
<li>Quiddity's "Who is Ready" series of insights aims to objectively identify names listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange that are potential additions to the TOPIX Index in future.</li>
<li>The TOPIX Inclusion events of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/visional-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32977:1" rel="noopener">Visional (4194 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/furuya-metal-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5196:1" rel="noopener">Furuya Metal (7826 JP)</a> took place at the end of January and the price performances were mostly in line with expectations.</li>
<li>Currently, there are no upcoming TOPIX Inclusion events that have been announced officially but there are couple of pre-event names that should be on your watchlist.</li>
</ul>


Quiddity's "Who is Ready" series of insights aims to objectively identify names listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange that are potential additions to the TOPIX Index in future.
The TOPIX Inclusion events of Visional (4194 JP) and Furuya Metal (7826 JP) took place at the end of January and the price performances were mostly in line with expectations.
Currently, there are no upcoming TOPIX Inclusion events that have been announced officially but there are couple of pre-event names that should be on your watchlist.


TOPIX Inclusions: Who Is Ready (Feb 2024)

Japan

CELSYS, Inc. provides application software and digital services. The Company operates creators support business, digital books support business and planning of middleware and contents services. CELSYS also offers painting and drawing app services.

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CELSYS (3663 JP)

TOPIX Inclusions: Who Is Ready (May 2024)

I expect Basket A to continue to outperform Basket B over the next few weeks. Basket A and B consists of names that can satisfy 6/6 and 5/6...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Last Week in Event SPACE: JSR, Austal, Rakuten, Hyundai Home Shopping, Hanmi Science

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

TOPIX Inclusions: Who Is Ready (Apr 2024)

There are currently 79 names that satisfy all 6 key Segment Transfer requirements based on current data. Another 84 names can satisfy 5 out of 6...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

TOPIX Inclusions: Who Is Ready (Mar 2024)

Our main pre-event candidate Celsys (3663 JP) has outperformed TOPIX by 21% in the last month. Another pre-event name Core Concept (4371 JP) has...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

TOPIX Inclusions: Who Is Ready (Feb 2024)

Our main pre-event name Celsys has experienced a drop in share price in recent weeks. It is still very close to being able to satisfy the Section...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

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