Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>Following multiple amendments to the methodology, there could be 4 changes for the Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF in December.</li>
<li>Constituent changes along with capping changes will lead to a one-way turnover of 18.1% and in a round-trip trade of TWD 173.2bn (US$5.56bn).</li>
<li>There are multiple stocks that have same-way or opposite flow from trackers of other Taiwan indices and present some interesting trading opportunities.</li>
</ul>


Following multiple amendments to the methodology, there could be 4 changes for the Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF in December.
Constituent changes along with capping changes will lead to a one-way turnover of 18.1% and in a round-trip trade of TWD 173.2bn (US$5.56bn).
There are multiple stocks that have same-way or opposite flow from trackers of other Taiwan indices and present some interesting trading opportunities.


Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance Preview: Four Changes; US$5.6bn Trade

<ul>
<li>There could be 4 constituent changes for the Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Top 50 ETF in December as positioning for buying by one set of index trackers pushes stocks into other indices.</li>
<li>There will be passive inflows in some of the forecast adds week after next and the flows from these index trackers will come a few weeks later.</li>
<li>With large AUMs tracking the dividend indices, stocks that have moved up a lot now have low dividend yields and there could be opposite flows from those index trackers.</li>
</ul>


There could be 4 constituent changes for the Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Top 50 ETF in December as positioning for buying by one set of index trackers pushes stocks into other indices.
There will be passive inflows in some of the forecast adds week after next and the flows from these index trackers will come a few weeks later.
With large AUMs tracking the dividend indices, stocks that have moved up a lot now have low dividend yields and there could be opposite flows from those index trackers.


Taiwan Top 50 ETF Rebalance Preview: Plenty of Big Overlapping Flows Coming Up

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Nov 7th. The aggregated holding was USD1,377.2bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD2,766mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, Delta Electronics, MediaTek, Fubon Financial, Nanya Technology, Fubon Financial, TSMC, Delta Electronics, Mediatek, Nanya Technology.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Nov 7th. The aggregated holding was USD1,377.2bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD2,766mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, Delta Electronics, MediaTek, Fubon Financial, Nanya Technology, Fubon Financial, TSMC, Delta Electronics, Mediatek, Nanya Technology.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Nov 7th): TSMC, Delta Electronics, MediaTek, Fubon Financial

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Oct 31st. The aggregated holding was USD1,429.4bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD1,180mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, Delta Electronics, ASE Industrial, E.SUN Financial, Quanta Computer, Ase Industrial, Quanta Computer, TSMC, Delta Electronics, E.Sun Financial.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Oct 31st. The aggregated holding was USD1,429.4bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD1,180mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, Delta Electronics, ASE Industrial, E.SUN Financial, Quanta Computer, Ase Industrial, Quanta Computer, TSMC, Delta Electronics, E.Sun Financial.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Oct 31st): TSMC, Delta Electronics, ASE Industrial, E.SUN Financial

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Oct 24th. The aggregated holding was USD1,379.0bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD1,005mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, Hon Hai Precision, Wistron, Yageo, MediaTek, Hon Hai Precision, Yageo, TSMC, Wistron, Mediatek.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Oct 24th. The aggregated holding was USD1,379.0bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD1,005mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, Hon Hai Precision, Wistron, Yageo, MediaTek, Hon Hai Precision, Yageo, TSMC, Wistron, Mediatek.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Oct 24th): TSMC, Hon Hai Precision, Wistron, Yageo, MediaTek

Taiwan

Chailease Holding Co Ltd provides financing services such as leasing, installment sale, import/export factoring and direct financing.

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Chailease Holding (5871 TT)

Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance Preview: Four Changes; US$5.6bn Trade

There could be 4 changes in Dec. Estimated one-way turnover is 18.1% and round-trip trade is US$5.56bn. Some stocks will have same-way or opposite...

Brian Freitas

Taiwan Top 50 ETF Rebalance Preview: Plenty of Big Overlapping Flows Coming Up

We currently forecast 4 changes for the ETF in Dec. That could increase to 5. Multiple stocks will have same-way flow from other index trackers...

Brian Freitas

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Nov 7th): TSMC, Delta Electronics, MediaTek, Fubon Financial

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in TSMC (2330 TT), Delta Electronics (2308 TT),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Oct 31st): TSMC, Delta Electronics, ASE Industrial, E.SUN Financial

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in TSMC (2330 TT), Delta Electronics (2308 TT), ASE...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Oct 24th): TSMC, Hon Hai Precision, Wistron, Yageo, MediaTek

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in TSMC, Hon Hai Precision, Wistron, Yageo,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

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