Asia L/S Equity PM/Macro/Thematic Idea Generation

Rikki Malik

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes or outlook</li>
<li>The investment world has turned upside down where established norms have gone into reverse.</li>
<li>The new investing environment needs to be paid attention to.</li>
</ul>


A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes or outlook
The investment world has turned upside down where established norms have gone into reverse.
The new investing environment needs to be paid attention to.


Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>One key element was the linking of consumption to the wealth effect</li>
<li>Continuation of targeted support for certain vulnerable sections of society</li>
<li>Tactical changes as well as structural ones to support consumption longer-term</li>
</ul>


One key element was the linking of consumption to the wealth effect
Continuation of targeted support for certain vulnerable sections of society
Tactical changes as well as structural ones to support consumption longer-term


China Consumption Plan: How Special Is This “Special Plan”?

<ul>
<li>A stealth bull market is underway in Chinese bank shares </li>
<li>Banks are well positioned to benefit as the economy grows and interest rates rise</li>
<li>Value remains in the sector despite the  move up in share prices</li>
</ul>


A stealth bull market is underway in Chinese bank shares 
Banks are well positioned to benefit as the economy grows and interest rates rise
Value remains in the sector despite the  move up in share prices


Who Is Crazy Enough to Buy a Chinese Bank?

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We discussed last week (Feb. 27 Int'l Compass) how both ACWI-US and the S&amp;P 500 displayed false breakouts, and to look for near-term pullbacks</li>
<li>We said expect pullbacks to range supports at $116 on ACWI-US and 5770-5850 or 5600-5670 on the S&amp;P 500 in the coming weeks, where we would be buyers.</li>
<li>The S&amp;P 500 is testing the 5770-5850 range now, while ACWI-US is testing its 200-day MA at $117. It is possible ACWI-US finds support here. Upgrading Europe to overweight</li>
</ul>


We discussed last week (Feb. 27 Int'l Compass) how both ACWI-US and the S&amp;P 500 displayed false breakouts, and to look for near-term pullbacks
We said expect pullbacks to range supports at $116 on ACWI-US and 5770-5850 or 5600-5670 on the S&amp;P 500 in the coming weeks, where we would be buyers.
The S&amp;P 500 is testing the 5770-5850 range now, while ACWI-US is testing its 200-day MA at $117. It is possible ACWI-US finds support here. Upgrading Europe to overweight


Upgrading Europe to Overweight; Monitoring U.S. (S&P 500) For a Downgrade; Buy Gold Miners and More

Chief Executive Officer, Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Chief Executive Officer

Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Emmer Capital Partners is an Asia Pacific focused financial advisory firm engaging in strategic financial asset allocation advice, bespoke thematic research and advising early-stage companies and connecting them to investors. Emmer Capital provides macro-economic and multi-asset investment strategy inputs to institutions, family offices, private wealth managers, private equity, and corporate boards directly and through independent research platforms. Emmer Capital also advises a wide range of startup companies on fund raising and business strategy. Emmer Capital's active engagement with the print and electronic media reaches a broad spectrum of investors across the globe.

<ul>
<li>In today's uncertain scenario, cash is king. Moreover, the high US treasury yields, which had rendered a dividend yield strategy relatively unattractive, are beginning to decline again.</li>
<li>In addition to considering today's dividend yields, we think it's also imperative to take into account companies' future earnings potential to assess future dividend stability.</li>
<li>Screening companies with at least 6% forward dividend yield and 5% forecast EPS CAGR over next 2 years, we arrive at our basket of 23 dividend yielders, 13 from HK/China.</li>
</ul>


In today's uncertain scenario, cash is king. Moreover, the high US treasury yields, which had rendered a dividend yield strategy relatively unattractive, are beginning to decline again.
In addition to considering today's dividend yields, we think it's also imperative to take into account companies' future earnings potential to assess future dividend stability.
Screening companies with at least 6% forward dividend yield and 5% forecast EPS CAGR over next 2 years, we arrive at our basket of 23 dividend yielders, 13 from HK/China.


Asian Equities: Asia's Robust Dividend Yielders

China

China CITIC Bank is a major commercial bank offering a comprehensive range of financial products and services, including corporate and personal loans, deposit services, wealth management, private banking, credit cards, investment banking, and international services. The bank also engages in capital markets, inter-bank operations, derivatives, and forex trading. It was founded in April 1987 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
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China CITIC Bank (998 HK)

Overview#20 - Welcome to Bizzaro World!

A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes and outlook. The new investing landscape is a complete reversal of what has worked...

Rikki Malik

China Consumption Plan: How Special Is This “Special Plan”?

One key new element is the linking consumption to the wealth effect, while continuing targeted support for vulnerable groups and structural changes

Rikki Malik

Who Is Crazy Enough to Buy a Chinese Bank?

Chinese bank shares are experiencing a stealth bull market. Value and drivers still remain in the sector despite the negativity on the economy

Rikki Malik

Upgrading Europe to Overweight; Monitoring U.S. (S&P 500) For a Downgrade; Buy Gold Miners and More

Upgrading Europe to Overweight; Monitoring U.S. $SPX for a Downgrade to Market Weight. $ACWI and $SPX likely bottoming here at 200-day MAs. Bullish...

Vermilion Research

Asian Equities: Asia's Robust Dividend Yielders

In uncertain times, firms distributing cash as dividends are naturally investors' darlings. Screening large caps on min 6% div yield and future...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Overview#20 - Welcome to Bizzaro World!

A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes and outlook. The new investing landscape is a complete reversal of what has worked...

Rikki Malik

China Consumption Plan: How Special Is This “Special Plan”?

One key new element is the linking consumption to the wealth effect, while continuing targeted support for vulnerable groups and structural changes

Rikki Malik

Who Is Crazy Enough to Buy a Chinese Bank?

​Chinese bank shares are experiencing a stealth bull market. Value and drivers still remain in the sector despite the negativity on the economy

Rikki Malik

Upgrading Europe to Overweight; Monitoring U.S. (S&P 500) For a Downgrade; Buy Gold Miners and More

Upgrading Europe to Overweight; Monitoring U.S. $SPX for a Downgrade to Market Weight. $ACWI and $SPX likely bottoming here at 200-day MAs. Bullish...

Vermilion Research

Asian Equities: Asia's Robust Dividend Yielders

​In uncertain times, firms distributing cash as dividends are naturally investors' darlings. Screening large caps on min 6% div yield and future...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Chinese bank shares are experiencing a stealth bull market. Value and drivers still remain in the sector despite the negativity on the economy

In uncertain times, firms distributing cash as dividends are naturally investors' darlings. Screening large caps on min 6% div yield and future...