Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>The energy, materials and tech sectors have lost momentum, while telecoms and utilities sectors lead the market.  Consumer sectors are lagging.  HSCI has dipped below its 200 day moving average.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-china-gas-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:375:1" rel="noopener">Hong Kong &amp; China Gas (3 HK)</a> breaks to the upside as investors seek safety and yield.  
</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/petrochina-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:262:1" rel="noopener">PetroChina (857 HK)</a> has broken down relative to the MSCI China index and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/travelsky-technology-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19829:1" rel="noopener">Travelsky Technology Ltd H (696 HK)</a> breaks down from a triangle formation  but downside is limited.
</li>
</ul>


The energy, materials and tech sectors have lost momentum, while telecoms and utilities sectors lead the market.  Consumer sectors are lagging.  HSCI has dipped below its 200 day moving average.

Hong Kong &amp; China Gas (3 HK) breaks to the upside as investors seek safety and yield.  


PetroChina (857 HK) has broken down relative to the MSCI China index and Travelsky Technology Ltd H (696 HK) breaks down from a triangle formation  but downside is limited.



Technically Speaking, Breakouts and Breakdowns: HONG KONG (July 31)

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The China Power Sector has revived on the back of industry tariff reforms, higher consumption driven by AI adoption, and an increase in grid investments. Yet, there are still values.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-power-international" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15548:1" rel="noopener">China Power International (2380 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/huaneng-power-intl-inc-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28:1" rel="noopener">Huaneng Power Intl Inc H (902 HK)</a> are the power conglomerates that look attractive on fundamentals, earnings and valuations.</li>
<li>Among clean energy names, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-longyuan-power-group-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14215:1" rel="noopener">China Longyuan Power (916 HK)</a> is a laggard YTD. However, earnings growth should accelerate and its multiples are not stretched.</li>
</ul>


The China Power Sector has revived on the back of industry tariff reforms, higher consumption driven by AI adoption, and an increase in grid investments. Yet, there are still values.

China Power International (2380 HK) and Huaneng Power Intl Inc H (902 HK) are the power conglomerates that look attractive on fundamentals, earnings and valuations.
Among clean energy names, China Longyuan Power (916 HK) is a laggard YTD. However, earnings growth should accelerate and its multiples are not stretched.


China Power Sector: Where Can We Still Find Value?

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

<ul><li>China’s largest state-owned companies have poured hundreds of billions of yuan into wind and solar power projects, putting the country on course to hit its clean energy target six years ahead of schedule.</li><li>But the investment frenzy has also raised concerns over profitability and waste.</li><li>China has seen explosive growth in photovoltaic and wind power over the past three years as Beijing pushes to achieve a carbon peak by 2030 and carbon neutrality by 2060. To meet these goals, China in 2020 set a target to install 1.2 billion kilowatts of wind and solar power capacity by 2030. The country has moved faster than planned.</li></ul>

China’s largest state-owned companies have poured hundreds of billions of yuan into wind and solar power projects, putting the country on course to hit its clean energy target six years ahead of schedule.But the investment frenzy has also raised concerns over profitability and waste.China has seen explosive growth in photovoltaic and wind power over the past three years as Beijing pushes to achieve a carbon peak by 2030 and carbon neutrality by 2060. To meet these goals, China in 2020 set a target to install 1.2 billion kilowatts of wind and solar power capacity by 2030. The country has moved faster than planned.

State Companies’ Rush to Clean Energy Sparks Bubble Fears 

<ul>
<li>Although 5% GDP growth target for 2023 is at the low end of market speculation of 5.5-6%, we think this reflects the government's conservative stance amid post-COVID recovery. </li>
<li>A 0.2pp higher budget deficit and a special purpose bond quota of Rmb3.8trn suggested that government spending will stay as important economic driver.</li>
<li>Consumption is another major stimulus for economic growth, and more supportive measures will be rolled out - we have seen many cities planning to hand out consumption vouchers.</li>
</ul>


Although 5% GDP growth target for 2023 is at the low end of market speculation of 5.5-6%, we think this reflects the government's conservative stance amid post-COVID recovery. 
A 0.2pp higher budget deficit and a special purpose bond quota of Rmb3.8trn suggested that government spending will stay as important economic driver.
Consumption is another major stimulus for economic growth, and more supportive measures will be rolled out - we have seen many cities planning to hand out consumption vouchers.


China NPC: Implications of Government Working Report 2023

Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas, CrossASEAN Research

Henry Soediarko

Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

<ul>
<li>What to buy in Hong Kong when internet and property names are continuously monitored thus growth rate is clipped?</li>
<li>The utility sector provides the hedge due to its defensive nature.</li>
<li>Clean and renewable energy producers deserve more attention and therefore re-rating. </li>
</ul>


What to buy in Hong Kong when internet and property names are continuously monitored thus growth rate is clipped?
The utility sector provides the hedge due to its defensive nature.
Clean and renewable energy producers deserve more attention and therefore re-rating. 


China Utilities: Your Hedge During War Time

China

China Datang Renewable Power is a leading operator in China's renewable energy sector, primarily engaged in the development, investment, construction, and management of wind and solar power projects. The company also focuses on low-carbon technology research and renewable energy equipment services. It was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in Beijing, People's Republic of China.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

China Datang Renewable Power (1798 HK)

Technically Speaking, Breakouts and Breakdowns: HONG KONG (July 31)

Utilities and telecom sectors have gained favor in HK as investors seek low volatility and dividend yield. Hong Kong China Gas has formed a...

David Mudd

China Power Sector: Where Can We Still Find Value?

China's power sector is thriving with industry reforms and AI adoption, making China Power and Huaneng Power attractive. China Longyuan is a clean...

Osbert Tang, CFA

State Companies’ Rush to Clean Energy Sparks Bubble Fears

China’s largest state-owned companies have poured hundreds of billions of yuan into wind and solar power projects, putting the country on course...

Caixin Global

China NPC: Implications of Government Working Report 2023

A 0.2pp higher budget deficit and a Rmb3.8trn special purpose bond quota suggested government spending will remain important economic driver. More...

Osbert Tang, CFA

China Utilities: Your Hedge During War Time

Most of the clean and RE are still trading at discounted valuations despite the explosive growth last year. It's not too late to start owning some...

Henry Soediarko

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Technically Speaking, Breakouts and Breakdowns: HONG KONG (July 31)

Utilities and telecom sectors have gained favor in HK as investors seek low volatility and dividend yield. Hong Kong China Gas has formed a...

David Mudd

China Power Sector: Where Can We Still Find Value?

​China's power sector is thriving with industry reforms and AI adoption, making China Power and Huaneng Power attractive. China Longyuan is a clean...

Osbert Tang, CFA

State Companies’ Rush to Clean Energy Sparks Bubble Fears

China’s largest state-owned companies have poured hundreds of billions of yuan into wind and solar power projects, putting the country on course...

Caixin Global

China NPC: Implications of Government Working Report 2023

A 0.2pp higher budget deficit and a Rmb3.8trn special purpose bond quota suggested government spending will remain important economic driver. More...

Osbert Tang, CFA

China Utilities: Your Hedge During War Time

Most of the clean and RE are still trading at discounted valuations despite the explosive growth last year. It's not too late to start owning some...

Henry Soediarko

China's power sector is thriving with industry reforms and AI adoption, making China Power and Huaneng Power attractive. China Longyuan is a clean...