Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Gross SOUTHBOUND volumes dropped again somewhat but still high at HK$619bn. NET buying by SOUTHBOUND was HK$23bn which is much smaller than the last several weeks.</li>
<li>The flows here are still striking and net to buy. There has to be institutional buying. And I assume it is to get the earnings yield and div pickup. </li>
<li>Included is a summary of important China Stocks-relevant news as I saw it this week.</li>
</ul>


Gross SOUTHBOUND volumes dropped again somewhat but still high at HK$619bn. NET buying by SOUTHBOUND was HK$23bn which is much smaller than the last several weeks.
The flows here are still striking and net to buy. There has to be institutional buying. And I assume it is to get the earnings yield and div pickup. 
Included is a summary of important China Stocks-relevant news as I saw it this week.


HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 21 Mar 2025); Lots Of "Day Trading" And Behind the Scenes Div-Buying

Quantitative Researcher, MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Quantitative Researcher

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-mobile-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27:1" rel="noopener">China Mobile (941 HK)</a> is about to release its 2024 results and as argued by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/gaudenz-schneider" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="accounts:66501" rel="noopener">Gaudenz Schneider</a> in his latest insight the stock usually displays minimal post-earnings volatility.</li>
<li>Our model shows room for higher prices, up to 86.95, but this needs to happen very quickly because the stock may pullback after the end of this week.</li>
<li>The stock is in a bullish pattern according to our model, it should continue to rally after the pullback, if results are good, so this is a tactical opportunity.</li>
</ul>



China Mobile (941 HK) is about to release its 2024 results and as argued by Gaudenz Schneider in his latest insight the stock usually displays minimal post-earnings volatility.
Our model shows room for higher prices, up to 86.95, but this needs to happen very quickly because the stock may pullback after the end of this week.
The stock is in a bullish pattern according to our model, it should continue to rally after the pullback, if results are good, so this is a tactical opportunity.


China Mobile (941 HK) Pre-Earnings Forecast and Outlook

Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-mobile-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27:1" rel="noopener">China Mobile (941 HK)</a> / <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-mobile-ltd-cca8f162-fa93-4d59-944e-86bad7251e5c" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35371:1" rel="noopener">China Mobile (600941 CH)</a> will release 2024 results on Thursday 20 March 2025. </li>
<li>Historically, the stock shows minimal post-earnings volatility, with rare exceptions. Options markets project moderate movement. Opportunities exist for investors with strong directional conviction.</li>
<li>Given China Mobile's recent history of dividend increases and strong stock performance, a significant dividend boost is possible.</li>
</ul>



China Mobile (941 HK) / China Mobile (600941 CH) will release 2024 results on Thursday 20 March 2025. 
Historically, the stock shows minimal post-earnings volatility, with rare exceptions. Options markets project moderate movement. Opportunities exist for investors with strong directional conviction.
Given China Mobile's recent history of dividend increases and strong stock performance, a significant dividend boost is possible.


China Mobile (941 HK): Expected Move on Profit Announcement and Option Insights

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>China exposure among GEM funds has rebounded to 26%, up from the 2024 low, but still far below the 37.5% peak. India has eased while Taiwan allocations hit new highs.</li>
<li>China remains a major EM underweight at -3.09% vs. benchmark, despite rising allocations. High Active funds stay the most underweight</li>
<li>Industrials see the strongest buying, while Utilities and Consumer sectors decline. Tencent and Alibaba dominate ownership, but many new names are entering the picture.</li>
</ul>


China exposure among GEM funds has rebounded to 26%, up from the 2024 low, but still far below the 37.5% peak. India has eased while Taiwan allocations hit new highs.
China remains a major EM underweight at -3.09% vs. benchmark, despite rising allocations. High Active funds stay the most underweight
Industrials see the strongest buying, while Utilities and Consumer sectors decline. Tencent and Alibaba dominate ownership, but many new names are entering the picture.


China & HK: Rebuild Slows Amid Heavy Sector and Stock Rotation

<ul>
<li>In our <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/china-mobile-941-hk-skyrockets-is-it-too-late-to-jump-in" target="_blank" rel="noopener">last insight</a> covering  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-mobile-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27:1" rel="noopener">China Mobile (941 HK)</a> we said the stock was overbought. It made a sharp pullback last week that may turn into a good BUY opportunity.</li>
<li>Support levels to buy range from 79.1 to 76.4, assuming this pullback is a buy-the-dip scenario, something we will discuss in this insight.</li>
<li>If the stock resumes its rally, the next WEEKLY profit targets will be between 82.64 and 84.4.</li>
</ul>


In our last insight covering  China Mobile (941 HK) we said the stock was overbought. It made a sharp pullback last week that may turn into a good BUY opportunity.
Support levels to buy range from 79.1 to 76.4, assuming this pullback is a buy-the-dip scenario, something we will discuss in this insight.
If the stock resumes its rally, the next WEEKLY profit targets will be between 82.64 and 84.4.


China Mobile (941 HK) Pullback Offers a Tactical Re-Entry Opportunity

Hong Kong

China Mobile Limited, through its subsidiaries, provides cellular telecommunications and related services in the People's Republic of China and Hong Kong SAR.

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China Mobile Ltd Spon Adr (CHL US)

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 21 Mar 2025); Lots Of "Day Trading" And Behind the Scenes Div-Buying

Tech and Consumer Discretionary saw its net buying slow considerably. Finance continues to see widespread buying, and as we approach dividends, the...

Travis Lundy

China Mobile (941 HK) Pre-Earnings Forecast and Outlook

China Mobile (941 HK) post-earnings positivity could propel the stock higher, up to 86.95, but the frenzy may be short-lived: our model says the...

Nico Rosti

China Mobile (941 HK): Expected Move on Profit Announcement and Option Insights

China Mobile to release 2024 results with potential for significant dividend boost and opportunities for investors with strong directional...

Gaudenz Schneider

China & HK: Rebuild Slows Amid Heavy Sector and Stock Rotation

China & HK allocations are recovering, yet remain a major EM underweight. Rotation is active but cautious—Industrial inflows rise, while high...

Steven Holden

China Mobile (941 HK) Pullback Offers a Tactical Re-Entry Opportunity

China Mobile (941 HK) recent pullback may present a good buying opportunity at support levels between 79 to 76.4, with potential profit targets of...

Nico Rosti

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 21 Mar 2025); Lots Of "Day Trading" And Behind the Scenes Div-Buying

Tech and Consumer Discretionary saw its net buying slow considerably. Finance continues to see widespread buying, and as we approach dividends, the...

Travis Lundy

China Mobile (941 HK) Pre-Earnings Forecast and Outlook

​China Mobile (941 HK) post-earnings positivity could propel the stock higher, up to 86.95, but the frenzy may be short-lived: our model says the...

Nico Rosti

China Mobile (941 HK): Expected Move on Profit Announcement and Option Insights

​China Mobile to release 2024 results with potential for significant dividend boost and opportunities for investors with strong directional...

Gaudenz Schneider

China & HK: Rebuild Slows Amid Heavy Sector and Stock Rotation

China & HK allocations are recovering, yet remain a major EM underweight. Rotation is active but cautious—Industrial inflows rise, while high...

Steven Holden

China Mobile (941 HK) Pullback Offers a Tactical Re-Entry Opportunity

​China Mobile (941 HK) recent pullback may present a good buying opportunity at support levels between 79 to 76.4, with potential profit targets of...

Nico Rosti

China Mobile (941 HK) post-earnings positivity could propel the stock higher, up to 86.95, but the frenzy may be short-lived: our model says the...

China Mobile to release 2024 results with potential for significant dividend boost and opportunities for investors with strong directional...

China Mobile (941 HK) recent pullback may present a good buying opportunity at support levels between 79 to 76.4, with potential profit targets of...