Index Rebal/Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal/Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take look at Quiddity's expectations for index changes and capping flows for the TDIV Index for the June 2024 index rebal event.</li>
<li>Since my last insight, my index change expectations and flow expectations have changed significantly.</li>
<li>My latest estimate for one-way flow in June 2024 is US$1.06bn (down from US$1.22bn a month ago).</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take look at Quiddity's expectations for index changes and capping flows for the TDIV Index for the June 2024 index rebal event.
Since my last insight, my index change expectations and flow expectations have changed significantly.
My latest estimate for one-way flow in June 2024 is US$1.06bn (down from US$1.22bn a month ago).


Quiddity Leaderboard TDIV Jun 24: LONGs up 6% Vs SHORTs in a Month; Time to Update

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take look at Quiddity's expectations for index changes and capping flows for the TDIV Index for the June 2024 index rebal event.</li>
<li>I currently see 5 ADDs and 5 DELs but there are several names close to the border and expectations could change before the base date as prices move around.</li>
<li>The estimate for one-way flow in June 2024 is US$1.22bn.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take look at Quiddity's expectations for index changes and capping flows for the TDIV Index for the June 2024 index rebal event.
I currently see 5 ADDs and 5 DELs but there are several names close to the border and expectations could change before the base date as prices move around.
The estimate for one-way flow in June 2024 is US$1.22bn.


Quiddity Leaderboard TDIV Jun 24: 5 Changes; US$1.2bn One-Way

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs for the T50 and T100 Indices for the December 2023 Rebalance.</li>
<li>While I do not expect to see any changes to the T50 index, I expect <em>four</em> index changes for the T100 index.</li>
<li>Some of the names involved in the T100 index changes could have significant influence on our TDIV index flow expectations for December 2023.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs for the T50 and T100 Indices for the December 2023 Rebalance.
While I do not expect to see any changes to the T50 index, I expect four index changes for the T100 index.
Some of the names involved in the T100 index changes could have significant influence on our TDIV index flow expectations for December 2023.


Quiddity Leaderboard T50/​​​100 Dec 23: Multiple Moves Could Affect TDIV Flows

Event-Driven

U Ming Marine Transport Corp / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs for the T50 and T100 Indices for the December 2023 Rebalance.</li>
<li>While there are no changes expected for the T50 index there could be one change for the T100 index.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/u-ming-marine-transport-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3524:1" rel="noopener">U Ming Marine Transport Corp (2606 TT)</a> has moved closer to a potential T100 deletion which could also result in a TDIV deletion which has very significant flow implications.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs for the T50 and T100 Indices for the December 2023 Rebalance.
While there are no changes expected for the T50 index there could be one change for the T100 index.

U Ming Marine Transport Corp (2606 TT) has moved closer to a potential T100 deletion which could also result in a TDIV deletion which has very significant flow implications.


Quiddity Leaderboard T50/​​​100 Dec 23: U-Ming Potential TDIV Deletion Is the Main Talking Point

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

<div>
<p><em>This week in StubWorld ...</em></p>
</div>
<div>
<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wilmar-international-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:172:1" rel="noopener">Wilmar International (WIL SP)</a> continues to outperform <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ppb-group-berhad" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:793:1" rel="noopener">Ppb Group (PEP MK)</a> after the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yihai-kerry-arawana-holdin-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29184:1" rel="noopener">Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings Co Ltd (300999 CH)</a> spin-off; <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lg-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6653:1" rel="noopener">LG Corp (003550 KS)</a> is cheap, and there are catalysts in the pipeline apart from the recently announced demerger; and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-motor-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6315:1" rel="noopener">China Motor (2204 TT)</a> is trading cheap to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yulon-motor-company" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18249:1" rel="noopener">Yulon Motor Company (2201 TT)</a>, which in turn is trading rich to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiwan-acceptance-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13398:1" rel="noopener">Yulon Finance Corp (9941 TT)</a>. </p>
</div>
<hr>
<div>
<p>Preceding my comments on these holdcos are the weekly setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.</p>
</div>
<div>
<p>These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity threshold of US$1mn on a 90-day moving average, and a % market capitalisation threshold - the $ value of the holding/opco held, over the parent’s market capitalisation, expressed in percent - of at least 20%.</p>
</div>


This week in StubWorld ...


Wilmar International (WIL SP) continues to outperform Ppb Group (PEP MK) after the Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings Co Ltd (300999 CH) spin-off; LG Corp (003550 KS) is cheap, and there are catalysts in the pipeline apart from the recently announced demerger; and China Motor (2204 TT) is trading cheap to Yulon Motor Company (2201 TT), which in turn is trading rich to Yulon Finance Corp (9941 TT). 



Preceding my comments on these holdcos are the weekly setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.


These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity threshold of US$1mn on a 90-day moving average, and a % market capitalisation threshold - the $ value of the holding/opco held, over the parent’s market capitalisation, expressed in percent - of at least 20%.


StubWorld: PPB/Wilmar, LG Corp, China Motor/Yulon Motor

Taiwan

China Motor Corporation manufactures and markets trucks, vans, cars, and related parts and accessories.  The Company also has joint venture operations with Mitsubishi.

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China Motor (2204 TT)

Quiddity Leaderboard TDIV Jun 24: LONGs up 6% Vs SHORTs in a Month; Time to Update

I expect the Top 5 inflow names to outperform the Top 5 outflow names over the next few weeks. The base date for the June 2024 review is 27th May...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard TDIV Jun 24: 5 Changes; US$1.2bn One-Way

The Top 5 Expected Inflow names could outperform the Top 5 Expected outflow names over the next few weeks. The final index changes will be based on...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard T50/100 Dec 23: Multiple Moves Could Affect TDIV Flows

I expect the index changes to be confirmed after the close on 1st December 2023 and the Inclusion/Exclusion events to take place at the close on...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard T50/100 Dec 23: U-Ming Potential TDIV Deletion Is the Main Talking Point

Among the Top 15 T100 potential DELs, six names are also TDIV members. If any of them get deleted from T100, they will also be deleted from TDIV...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

StubWorld: PPB/Wilmar, LG Corp, China Motor/Yulon Motor

Wilmar continues to outperform PPB after the Yihai Kerry spin-off; and LG Corp (003550 KS) is cheap, and there are catalysts in the pipeline apart...

David Blennerhassett

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Quiddity Leaderboard TDIV Jun 24: LONGs up 6% Vs SHORTs in a Month; Time to Update

I expect the Top 5 inflow names to outperform the Top 5 outflow names over the next few weeks. The base date for the June 2024 review is 27th May...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard TDIV Jun 24: 5 Changes; US$1.2bn One-Way

The Top 5 Expected Inflow names could outperform the Top 5 Expected outflow names over the next few weeks. The final index changes will be based on...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard T50/​​​100 Dec 23: Multiple Moves Could Affect TDIV Flows

I expect the index changes to be confirmed after the close on 1st December 2023 and the Inclusion/Exclusion events to take place at the close on...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard T50/​​​100 Dec 23: U-Ming Potential TDIV Deletion Is the Main Talking Point

Among the Top 15 T100 potential DELs, six names are also TDIV members. If any of them get deleted from T100, they will also be deleted from TDIV...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

StubWorld: PPB/Wilmar, LG Corp, China Motor/Yulon Motor

Wilmar continues to outperform PPB after the Yihai Kerry spin-off; and LG Corp (003550 KS) is cheap, and there are catalysts in the pipeline apart...

David Blennerhassett

Quiddity Leaderboard T50/100 Dec 23: Multiple Moves Could Affect TDIV Flows

Quiddity Leaderboard T50/100 Dec 23: U-Ming Potential TDIV Deletion Is the Main Talking Point