Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for the month ended Jun 30th.</li>
<li>We estimate that the net southbound flows in June were $4.6bn Inflows.</li>
<li>We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outflows, stake changes, and holdings, and highlight flows for Alibaba, Kingboard Laminates, Kingboard, Smic, Knowledge Atlas.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for the month ended Jun 30th.
We estimate that the net southbound flows in June were $4.6bn Inflows.
We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outflows, stake changes, and holdings, and highlight flows for Alibaba, Kingboard Laminates, Kingboard, Smic, Knowledge Atlas.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (June): AI Driven $4.6bn Inflows

Equity Research in HK and Mainland China

Li Tang

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

Vice-Premier Liu He wrote an article in the people's Daily on China's 'dual circulation' strategy on Wednesday in which he noted that the real estate industry influences investment and consumption, and is connected to people's livelihoods and development. Liu's speech maintains existing top-level property policy, but at the same time relates property to investment and consumption, implying that property policy setting could be considered jointly with investment and consumption targets. This suggests a more pragmatic approach towards property policy weighting up risks against growth benefits.
Rumour spread in the market that regulator will tighten the trust funding quota approved due to a risk concern, fears were quick to emerge of a liquidity squeeze for some of China's indebted developer, causing its shares and bonds to tumble. However, in the last week we have seen several cities such as Harbin in last week issuing the policy to support property sales. Those can be seen as policy support for the sector.

Vice-Premier Liu He wrote an article in the people's Daily on China's 'dual circulation' strategy on Wednesday in which he noted that the real estate industry influences investment and consumption, and is connected to people's livelihoods and development. Liu's speech maintains existing top-level property policy, but at the same time relates property to investment and consumption, implying that property policy setting could be considered jointly with investment and consumption targets. This suggests a more pragmatic approach towards property policy weighting up risks against growth benefits.
Rumour spread in the market that regulator will tighten the trust funding quota approved due to a risk concern, fears were quick to emerge of a liquidity squeeze for some of China's indebted developer, causing its shares and bonds to tumble. However, in the last week we have seen several cities such as Harbin in last week issuing the policy to support property sales. Those can be seen as policy support for the sector.

China's Real Estate Sector to Be Tightened

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jun 18th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.</li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Kingboard Laminates, Tencent, Petrochina, Kingboard, Weichai Power, Yangtze Optical Fibre And-H, CNOOC.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jun 18th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.
We highlight short changes in Kingboard Laminates, Tencent, Petrochina, Kingboard, Weichai Power, Yangtze Optical Fibre And-H, CNOOC.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Kingboard Laminates, Tencent, Petrochina, Kingboard, Weichai Power, CNOOC

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of June 26th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Kingboard, Alibaba, Kingboard Laminates, Smic, Tencent, China Mobile, CNOOC, Pop Mart Intl, Hua Hong Semi, Knowledge Atlas.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of June 26th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Kingboard, Alibaba, Kingboard Laminates, Smic, Tencent, China Mobile, CNOOC, Pop Mart Intl, Hua Hong Semi, Knowledge Atlas.


HK Connect Flows Weekly (Jun 26th): Kingboard, Alibaba, Kingboard Laminates, Smic, Tencent, CNOOC

For China regulator, the challenge is to keep the economic ship steady while avoiding creating asset market bubble such as real estate sector. Pan Gongsheng, deputy governor at the PBOC, said last week the central bank would focus on improving the macro-prudential monitoring, evaluating, and alerting systems in key areas including real estate financing.
We believe PBOC liquidity policy object towards real estate is adjusting from a reasonably hands-off approach in H1 to allow the property to support growth to mixed goals: curbing financial risks (developer debt/fast-rising land prices) and still allowing a property to support growth (given macro risks).
There are signs of a more stringent real estate financial regime in Q4 as regulators are seeking more transparency from property developers, calling for more details about current debts, to rein in borrowing costs and quell broader financial impacts.

For China regulator, the challenge is to keep the economic ship steady while avoiding creating asset market bubble such as real estate sector. Pan Gongsheng, deputy governor at the PBOC, said last week the central bank would focus on improving the macro-prudential monitoring, evaluating, and alerting systems in key areas including real estate financing.
We believe PBOC liquidity policy object towards real estate is adjusting from a reasonably hands-off approach in H1 to allow the property to support growth to mixed goals: curbing financial risks (developer debt/fast-rising land prices) and still allowing a property to support growth (given macro risks).
There are signs of a more stringent real estate financial regime in Q4 as regulators are seeking more transparency from property developers, calling for more details about current debts, to rein in borrowing costs and quell broader financial impacts.

China Developer Bond Issuance Still Grow Despite Tightening

Hong Kong

China Resources Land is a leading property developer, investor, and operator focused on urban construction and operation in Mainland China. The company develops and manages residential properties, shopping malls, offices, and hotels, and also engages in asset-light management and eco-system elementary businesses. It was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Hong Kong.

Price Gauge
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China Resources Land (1109 HK)

Hong Kong Connect Flows (June): AI Driven $4.6bn Inflows

We estimate inflows to be $4.6bn from mainland investors to HK stocks in June. We highlight flows for Alibaba, Kingboard Laminates, Kingboard,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China's Real Estate Sector to Be Tightened

Overall property policies lean towards tightening.The change will constrain highly leveraged developers mostly but providing opportunities for...

Li Tang

HK Short Interest Weekly: Kingboard Laminates, Tencent, Petrochina, Kingboard, Weichai Power, CNOOC

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jun 18th and highlight short interest changes in Kingboard Laminates (1888...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Connect Flows Weekly (Jun 26th): Kingboard, Alibaba, Kingboard Laminates, Smic, Tencent, CNOOC

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Kingboard (148 HK), Alibaba (9988 HK), Kingboard...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China Developer Bond Issuance Still Grow Despite Tightening

The new real estate financial rules have not yet had an impact on developers,China Developer bond issuance still grow despite tightening rule.

Li Tang

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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